UEFA Europa League Preview: FC Qarabag VS CSKA Sofia - prediction, team news, lineups



Posted Tuesday, July 21, 2026 by 7M Sport

[(Qarabag) Strength]:
1. Qarabag's main forward Zakaria Sawo has scored 3 goals and provided 3 assists in the last two matches, making him a key core of the team's attack.
2. Qarabag defeated Vestri 3-0 in the last match, advancing with a 6-0 aggregate score over two leg to the Second qualifying round.
3. Qarabag have scored a total of 15 goals in their last 5 home matches, showing extremely strong attacking firepower at home, with no concerns about scoring.
4. Qarabag have conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 home matches, indicating a significant improvement in their home defensive quality, with their defensive performance worthy of praise.
5. Qarabag have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 home matches, with an 80% win rate, demonstrating excellent ability to capitalize on home advantage.
 

[(Qarabag) Neutral]:
1. Only one of Qarabag's last 4 home matches has resulted in OVER, indicating a low over-rate at home recently, which is worth noting for this match.
 

[(CSKA Sofia) Strength]:
1. PFC CSKA Sofia drew 0-0 with Slavia Sofia in the first round of the new First Professional Football League (Bulgaria) season, halting a 5-match winning streak across all competitions, though their overall performance remains commendable.
2. PFC CSKA Sofia have won 6, drawn 1, and lost 3 of their last 10 away matches, with a 60% win rate, showing decent ability to play away from home.
 

[(CSKA Sofia) Neutral]:
1. PFC CSKA Sofia have conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating a mediocre away defensive performance that is only average.
 

[(CSKA Sofia) Weakness]:
1. PFC CSKA Sofia have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 away matches, showing insufficient attacking strength on the road, with room for improvement in scoring ability.
2. In a total of 3 previous encounters, PFC CSKA Sofia have won 1 and lost 2, putting them at a slight disadvantage in head-to-head history.
3. PFC CSKA Sofia have lost 4 of their last 5 official away matches in AH, showing a low win-rate on the road, with performance falling short of expectations.
 

[Tips]:
Qarabag advanced with two clean-sheet wins in European competitions, boosting morale. They have scored 15 goals in their last five home matches, showcasing explosive attacking power, while conceding only 2 goals in the same period, reflecting balanced offense and defense.

With an 80% home win rate, their home dominance is extremely strong. PFC CSKA Sofia drew in the first round of the new season, ending a winning streak. Their away attack is weak, scoring only 4 goals in the last five away games, and their defense is mediocre.

Although they have a 60% win rate in ten away matches, their overall strength is inferior to their opponents.

In three previous encounters, PFC CSKA Sofia have lost more often, putting them at a psychological disadvantage. The visitors' weak away attack is unlikely to pose a real threat and cannot break through Qarabag's solid home defense.

The home team, relying on their strong offense and defense, will firmly control the tempo and secure a smooth victory.
 

[Recommended]:
Qarabag (-0.5/1)
 

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