Liga MX Preview: C.D. Guadalajara VS Deportivo Toluca - prediction, team news, lineups



Posted Friday, July 17, 2026 by 7M Sport

[(Guadalajara Chivas) Strength]:
1. C.D. Guadalajara will face the first league match of the new season, and they will surely want to take advantage of home ground to win the game and start with a victory, showing full fighting spirit.
2. C.D. Guadalajara reached the playoff stage in both the Clausura and Apertura tournaments last season, and their record is commendable.
3. C.D. Guadalajara scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, netting 6 goals, showing decent attacking ability.
4. C.D. Guadalajara kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 8 matches, with a relatively solid defense.
5. C.D. Guadalajara remained unbeaten in their last 14 home matches with 11 wins and 3 draws, showing stable home form and high points efficiency.
 

[(Guadalajara Chivas) Neutral]:
1. C.D. Guadalajara recently played one friendly match, ending in a 0-0 draw with Correcaminos UAT.
 

[(Deportivo Toluca) Strength]:
1. Deportivo Toluca will also face the first league match of the new season, with a strong desire to win, and they will give their all on the road, showing no lack of fighting spirit.
2. Deportivo Toluca won the championship in the Clausura tournament last season and reached the quarterfinals in the Apertura tournament, with an overall good and stable record.
3. Deportivo Toluca won the last three encounters against C.D. Guadalajara, holding an advantage.
 

[(Deportivo Toluca) Weakness]:
1. Deportivo Toluca recently played two friendly matches, achieving 1 draw and 1 loss, without a win.
2. Deportivo Toluca have been shut out by opponents in 3 of their last 4 matches, showing poor attacking ability.
3. Deportivo Toluca conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating significant defensive issues.
4. Deportivo Toluca failed to win in their last 6 away matches with 1 draw and 5 losses, showing poor away form.
 

[Tips]:
Both C.D. Guadalajara and Deportivo Toluca had commendable records in the league last season, but judging from recent form, Guadalajara are clearly superior.

Moreover, Guadalajara have been stable at home recently, while Toluca have a very low away win rate.

Even though Toluca won the last three encounters against Guadalajara, it is still hard to trust them.

Based on the current AH line, it is advisable to favor the home team to win.
 

[Recommended]:
Guadalajara Chivas (-0/0.5)

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