Spanish Segunda Division Preview: Almeria VS Malaga - prediction, team news, lineups
Posted Friday, June 19, 2026 by 7M Sport
[(Almeria) Strength]:
1. The two teams drew 0-0 in the first leg, and the outcome of this match will directly determine who gets the final promotion spot. Both sides will go all out, and their fighting spirit is unquestionable.
2. UD Almeria midfielder Sergio Arribas currently leads the scorer list with 25 goals and is the core of the team's attack.
3. UD Almeria remained unbeaten in their last 4 matches with 2 wins and 2 draws, maintaining a relatively stable overall form.
4. UD Almeria scored 85 goals in this Segunda Division season, averaging 1.89 goals per game, making them the second strongest offensive team in the league, with undeniable scoring ability.
5. UD Almeria won 9 and lost 1 of their last 10 home games, with a win rate of 90%, fully demonstrating their home advantage.
6. UD Almeria won their last 3 matches in AH, showing a recovery trend in their recent performance, meeting expectations.
[(Almeria) Weakness]:
1. UD Almeria conceded 8 goals in their last 5 home games, indicating poor defensive quality at home recently, and their backline performance needs improvement.
[(Malaga) Strength]:
1. Malaga CF remained unbeaten in their last 8 matches, winning 5 of them, and their competitive form is no less than that of the home team.
2. Malaga CF conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating excellent defensive performance recently, with significant improvement in defensive ability compared to before.
3. Malaga CF won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, with a win rate of 80%, and their away performance should not be underestimated.
[(Malaga) Neutral]:
1. Malaga CF scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches, showing a relatively mediocre offensive performance recently, with not particularly strong scoring desire.
2. Malaga CF ended their last 5 consecutive matches with UNDERs in O/U, indicating a relatively conservative overall playing style recently. The O/U trend can be monitored in this match.
[(Malaga) Weakness]:
1. The two teams have faced each other 34 times in total, with Malaga CF winning 10, drawing 12, and losing 12, slightly trailing in overall head-to-head record.
[Tips]:
The outcome of this match directly determines the promotion qualification, and both sides are fully motivated.
UD Almeria have been stable recently with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last four games, ranking second in league offensive firepower.
Their home strength is formidable, with 9 wins in the last 10 home games, but their home defense has obvious flaws, conceding 8 goals in the last 5 home games.
Malaga CF are also in good form, remaining unbeaten in 8 consecutive matches, with solid recent defense, conceding only 2 goals in the last 5 games.
Their away performance is outstanding, with 4 wins in the last 5 away games, the only weakness being a lackluster attack.
In 34 encounters, Malaga have a slight disadvantage in record, but their balanced and steady offensive and defensive system is enough to compete with the opponents.
Considering the team's recent defensive level and strong away performances, Malaga are expected to remain unbeaten in regular time.
[Recommended]:
Malaga (+0/0.5)
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