Premier League Preview: Leeds United VS Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups
Posted Thursday, April 30, 2026 by 7M Sport
[(Leeds United) Strength]:
1. Leeds United F.C. currently sit 15th in the Premier League with 40 points, 6 points above the relegation zone. The relegation situation is relatively optimistic but not yet fully secure. Hosting already-relegated Burnley at Elland Road, Leeds United F.C. aim to take all three points and secure a big win to continue their fight for survival.
2. Leeds United F.C. recently lost 1-0 to Chelsea F.C. in the FA Cup semi-final. In their last six matches across all competitions, they have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, showing stable overall performance.
3. Leeds United F.C.'s home form this season is decent, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six home matches across all competitions.
4. Offensively, Leeds United F.C. have scored 7 goals in their last six league matches. Noah Okafor has been in extremely hot form recently, scoring 5 goals since February, making him the team's most efficient scorer in recent times.
5. Leeds United F.C. have shown significant improvement defensively recently, conceding only 4 goals in their last six league matches, averaging less than one goal per game.
6. Leeds United F.C.'s recent overall performance in AH is average, winning only 4 of their last 10 matches.
[(Leeds United) Weakness]:
1. Starting left wing-back Gabriel Gudmundsson suffered a hamstring injury in the FA Cup semi-final and will miss this match and the next round against Tottenham Hotspur F.C. Midfielder Ilia Gruev is out for the season due to a knee meniscus injury. Attacker Noah Okafor and defender Jaka Bijol also have minor injury issues.
2. In the first leg of this season, Leeds United F.C. lost 2-0 away to Burnley F.C. They have failed to win in their last three encounters, putting them at a psychological disadvantage.
[(Burnley F.C.) Strength]:
1. Burnley F.C. have remained unbeaten in their last three matches against Leeds, including a 2-0 home win in the first leg of this season.
[(Burnley F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Burnley F.C. were relegated 4 rounds early after losing 1-0 to Manchester City F.C. in the last round. With poor morale, the team will play for honor in the remaining matches. Given the reality of relegation, there are significant doubts about the players' fighting spirit and focus.
2. Playmaker Josh Cullen, right-back Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer are confirmed absent. Hannibal Mejbri, Axel Tuanzebe, and Zeki Amdouni are close to returning but are doubtful for the match.
3. Burnley F.C. have recorded a dismal 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last six league matches, with a win rate of 0%. They have lost all of their last four matches, with form hitting rock bottom.
4. Burnley F.C.'s away form this season has been extremely poor, with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last six away matches.
5. Offensively, Burnley F.C. have scored just 5 goals in their last six league matches, averaging less than one goal per game, showing weak attacking firepower.
6. Defense is Burnley F.C.'s biggest weakness this season, conceding 12 goals in their last six matches, averaging 2 goals per game, with no clean sheets.
7. Burnley F.C.'s recent performance in AH has been poor, winning only 4 of their last 10 matches.
[Tips]:
Leeds United F.C. will play at Elland Road.
The team remained unbeaten in their last 5 Premier League matches and lost only 2 of their last 8 games, showing solid overall form.
Burnley F.C., on the other hand, have been relegated 4 rounds early, are winless in their last 9 league games, and have lost all of their last 4 matches, with morale at rock bottom and a severe lack of fighting spirit.
In terms of head-to-head history, Burnley won 2-0 at home in the first leg, but are at a clear disadvantage away to Leeds, having lost 7 of their last 10 visits.
Considering Burnley's low morale after relegation, their extremely poor away defense, and Leeds' urgent need for a win to secure survival with reliable home attacking firepower, it is expected that Leeds will achieve a big victory at home.
[Recommended]:
Leeds United (-1/1.5)
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