La Liga Preview: Atletico Madrid VS Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team news, lineups



Posted Saturday, April 25, 2026 by 7M Sport

[(Atletico Madrid) Strength]:
1. Atletico Madrid are experiencing a cliff-like decline with 4 consecutive league defeats, showing poor morale. Playing at home, this match is the only chance to end the losing streak and revive morale. In front of home fans, winning to repay their support is the team's undeniable responsibility.
2. Atletico Madrid recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches against Athletic Bilbao, giving them a clear psychological advantage.
3. Atletico Madrid are favored by 0.25 goals at home in this match, with the market leaning towards supporting them, which is favorable in terms of the situation.
 

[(Atletico Madrid) Weakness]:
1. Atletico Madrid's top scorer Alexander Sorloth and important rotation player Ademola Lookman are doubtful for the match due to injury. If they are absent, the offensive system will need to be restructured. Thiago Almada, who is creative, is suspended due to a red card, further weakening the passing and breakthrough ability in the frontcourt.
2. Atletico Madrid recently suffered 4 consecutive La Liga defeats and is in poor form. In the last La Liga match, they lost 3-2 away to Elche.
3. Atletico Madrid recently suffered 2 consecutive home defeats, and their recent home performance has been poor.
4. Atletico Madrid conceded 9 goals in the last 5 matches, and their recent defensive performance has been mediocre.
 

[(Athletic Bilbao) Strength]:
1. Athletic Bilbao currently have 41 points and rank 9th. They are only 3 points away from the European football zone. At the tail end of the league, every point is crucial. Defeating direct competitors Atletico Madrid is a shortcut to improving their ranking.
2. Athletic Bilbao's playmaker Mikel Jauregizar is suspended due to a red card, which has a huge impact on the team's rhythm and control in transitioning from defense to attack.
3. Athletic Bilbao won 1-0 at home against Osasuna in the last La Liga match, ending a 2-match losing streak and boosting overall morale.
 

[(Athletic Bilbao) Weakness]:
1. Athletic Bilbao recently suffered 3 consecutive away defeats and has weak away performance. In the last away match, they lost 2-0 to Getafe.
2. Athletic Bilbao scored only 4 goals and conceded 8 in the last 5 matches, showing an imbalance in their recent offensive and defensive performance.
3. Athletic Bilbao lost 3 of the last 5 matches in AH, showing a recent lack of ability to win.
 

[Tips]:
Atletico Madrid recently suffered 4 consecutive La Liga defeats and are in poor form.

Athletic Bilbao recently suffered 3 consecutive away defeats and have weak away performance.

Although Atletico are plagued by injuries, the atmosphere at the Wanda Metropolitano and Diego Simeone's determination to fight for a top-four finish are often the team's strongest weapons in difficult times.

Athletic Bilbao's away performance has always been its weakness.

With Mikel Jauregizar absent, it is extremely difficult for them to topple a highly motivated Atletico on the road.

In comprehensive analysis, Atletico Madrid are favored to win at home in this match.
 

[Recommended]:
Atletico Madrid (-0/0.5)

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