Crystal Palace F.C. VS Zrinjski Mostar TIPS

[(Crystal Palace F.C.) Strength]:
1. Crystal Palace drew 1-1 with their opponents in the first leg away match. For this Premier League team, the UEFA Conference League is an important battlefield for honors this season. Facing opponents far inferior in strength, elimination at home would be unacceptable. The entire team are under pressure to secure a victory, and their fighting spirit is strong.
2. Judging from the starting lineup in the first leg, Crystal Palace fielded their strongest team, with goalkeeper Dean Henderson, defensive core Richards, and attacking players like Sarr and Larsen all playing. The team's total market value is as high as 536 million euros, while their opponents are only worth 8.18 million euros, giving them an absolute advantage in squad depth.
3. Crystal Palace have been in poor form recently, with only 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches. Although they secured a last-minute 1-0 victory in the previous league match, it was against bottom-placed Wolves, who were down to 10 men, so the quality of the win is questionable.
4. Although Crystal Palace were held to a draw in the first leg, they dominated the match with over 70% possession and had 11 shots, 5 of which were on target, outperforming their opponents.
 

[(Crystal Palace F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Crystal Palace's performance in the UEFA Conference League has not been stable, winning only 1 of their last 4 cup matches and being held to a draw by Zrinjski Mostar in the first leg.
2. Crystal Palace's attacking performance has been poor recently, scoring only 9 goals in their last 10 matches, averaging less than 1 goal per game.
3. Crystal Palace have conceded 8 goals in their last 6 matches, averaging over 1 goal conceded per game, indicating poor defensive stability.
4. Crystal Palace's recent performance against the spread has been poor, winning only 4 of their last 10 matches against the spread, and only 20% of their last 10 home matches.
 

[(Zrinjski Mostar) Strength]:
1. Zrinjski Mostar held Crystal Palace to a 1-1 draw at home in the first leg, a result that can be considered a huge success for the Bosnian team. In this away match against a Premier League team, they aim to defend with all their might, strive for another draw, or even create a miracle with counterattacks.
2. Defense is the foundation of Zrinjski Mostar's game. In the first leg, they conceded only 1 goal despite being under heavy pressure from Crystal Palace, and they are likely to employ the same defensive tactics in the second leg.
3. The 1-1 scoreline in the first leg has given Zrinjski Mostar hope of creating a miracle. The team are relaxed and have no burden.
 

[(Zrinjski Mostar) Weakness]:
1. Zrinjski Mostar have achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six league matches, with a win rate of 33.3%, showing significant fluctuations in overall form.
2. There is a huge gap between the overall level of the Premier League of Bosnia and Herzegovina, where Zrinjski Mostar play, and the Premier League. In this away match against a Premier League team, their away performance will face a severe test.
3. Zrinjski Mostar have scored only 4 goals in their last 6 league matches. With such a lackluster attacking performance in their domestic league, it will be even more difficult for them to score in this away match against a Premier League team.
4. Zrinjski Mostar's performance against the spread in the UEFA Conference League has been volatile, winning only 5 of their last 10 matches against the spread, and losing 4 of their last 5 away matches in European competitions.
 

[Tips]:
In this second leg of the UEFA Conference League playoff, Crystal Palace hold an absolute advantage in all aspects such as strength, home ground, and market value. There is a huge gap between the Premier League and the Premier League of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and these objective facts determine that the match will inevitably be dominated by Crystal Palace's offense, with Zrinjski Mostar efending with all their might. For Zrinjski Mostar, the draw in the first leg has given them immense confidence. As a team with a market value of only 8.18 million euros, they have no psychological burden. Playing away, they will undoubtedly adopt a defensive formation, using tenacious defense and physicality to disrupt Crystal Palace's attacking rhythm. Overall, Crystal Palace's overall strength far surpasses that of their opponents. Considering the team's recent fluctuations in form, the reality of their low home win rate, as well as the opponents' resilient defense and the psychological advantage gained from the first leg, it is extremely difficult for Crystal Palace to achieve a victory by more than three goals. This match is recommended as Crystal Palace winning but failing to cover the spread.
 

[Recommended]:
Zrinjski Mostar (+2/2.5)