TIPS - Aston Villa VS Leeds United

[(Aston Villa F.C.) Strength]:
1. Morgan Rogers scored 8 goals for Aston Villa F.C. in the Premier League this season, currently the team's top scorer.
2. After 26 rounds in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa F.C. have achieved 15 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, currently ranking 3rd in the standings, performing well.
3. In their last 6 encounters, Aston Villa F.C. have achieved 4 wins and 2 draws without a loss, holding a psychological advantage.
 

[(Aston Villa F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Aston Villa F.C. have managed only 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 4 competitive matches, showing a decline in form.
2. Aston Villa F.C. have lost 2 of their last 3 competitive home matches, indicating a drop in home strength.
3. Aston Villa F.C. have won only 1 of their last 5 competitive matches in AH, failing to meet external expectations.
 

[(Leeds United) Strength]:
1. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored 10 goals for Leeds United F.C. in the Premier League this season, currently the team's top scorer.
2. Leeds United F.C. have achieved 1 win and 2 draws in their last 3 competitive matches, showing good form.
3. Leeds United F.C. have achieved 1 win and 3 draws in their last 4 competitive away matches, demonstrating high efficiency in earning points on the road.
4. Leeds United F.C. have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 competitive matches, meeting external expectations.
 

[(Leeds United) Weakness]:
1. After 26 rounds in the Premier League this season, Leeds United F.C. have achieved 7 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, currently ranking 15th in the standings, with lackluster performance.
2. Leeds United F.C. have managed only 1 win, 5 draws, and 7 losses in their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, showing poor away form.
 

[Tips]:
Aston Villa F.C.'s recent multi-front campaigns have led to physical decline, with playmaker John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, and Boubacar Kamara all injured, severely hampering both offensive and defensive transitions.

Their efficiency in breaking down defenses at home has noticeably dropped.

Although ranked third, the team's depleted squad and diminished tactical execution make them prone to errors under intense pressure.

Leeds United F.C. are fully motivated in their relegation battle, with a high recent draw rate and strong away resilience.

Their 3-4-2-1 system provides solid defense, and their midfield pressing and counterattacks are highly targeted.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin's role as a focal point is prominent, and the team excel at countering strong home sides that push forward.

Leeds' squad availability is better than their opponents'.

The AH line is only -0.5 for the home side, suggesting insufficient support.

Thus, Leeds, relying on solid defense and steady counterattacks, are expected to remain unbeaten away.
 

[Recommended]:
Leeds United (+0.5)