TIPS - Cagliari Calcio VS US Lecce

[(Cagliari Calcio) Strength]:
1. Cagliari Calcio achieved two consecutive home wins recently, performing excellently at home. In their last home game, they defeated Hellas Verona FC 4-0.
2. In the last 5 encounters between the two teams, Cagliari Calcio recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, holding a slight advantage in head-to-head records.
3. Cagliari Calcio won 3 of their last 4 matches in AH, showing strong ability to win recently.
 

[(Cagliari Calcio) Weakness]:
1. Cagliari Calcio currently have 28 points, ranking 12th in Serie A, with a 10-point lead over the relegation zone, facing minimal relegation pressure. The team largely secured survival and is in a mid-table position with little to play for, lacking the urgency to earn points, so their fighting spirit should not be overestimated.
2. Cagliari Calcio have multiple starters confirmed to be absent, including forward Gennaro Borrelli (muscle strain, out for about a month), Alessandro Deiola (injured again), and long-term absentees Andrea Belotti, Mattia Felici, and Michael Folorunsho.
3. Cagliari Calcio lost 2-0 away to AS Roma in the last Serie A round, ending their previous good winning streak, which may have some impact on team morale.
4. Cagliari Calcio conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating relatively average defensive performance recently.
 

[(US Lecce) Strength]:
1. US Lecce currently have 21 points, ranking 17th in the league. Although they have temporarily escaped the relegation zone, they only lead by 3 points, and the relegation situation remains critical. Every point is crucial. This match is seen as a key battle for survival, with the entire team highly motivated to earn points, and they will fight hard for at least a point even in an away game.
2. US Lecce secured a 2-1 home victory over Udinese Calcio in the last league round, successfully ending an eight-game winless streak, significantly restoring team confidence and morale.
3. US Lecce won 4 of their last 5 matches in AH, indicating a positive trend recently.
 

[(US Lecce) Weakness]:
1. US Lecce's important attacking player, winger Lameck Banda, is suspended for one match due to a ruling by the Sports Arbitration Court and will miss this game, weakening their offensive firepower. Young forward Francesco Camarda is still recovering from shoulder surgery and continues to be absent, further reducing forward options.
2. US Lecce have a poor away record this season with a very low win rate. So far this season, they have only recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses in 11 away matches.
3. US Lecce scored only 5 goals and conceded 12 in their last 10 matches, showing an imbalance in both offensive and defensive performances recently.
 

[Tips]:
After an inspiring three-game winning streak, Cagliari Calcio suffered a 2-0 away defeat to AS Roma in the last round, halting their momentum.

The team currently have 28 points, ranking 12th, with a 10-point lead over the relegation zone, making their survival situation very optimistic.

This serves as both motivation and a potential factor for complacency.

In contrast, US Lecce have just broken free from an eight-game winless streak.

Their 2-1 home victory over Udinese Calcio in the last round was a much-needed boost, significantly lifting the team's morale.

With this win, they have temporarily widened the gap to the relegation zone to 3 points, but the relegation alarm is far from over.

Every match is a final for them.

Lecce's desire to fight for survival will far exceed Cagliari's relatively relaxed mindset.

Comprehensive analysis suggests that Lecce are worth a closer look in this away match.
 

[Recommended]:
US Lecce (+0/0.5)