AS Monaco FC - Paris Saint-Germain FC prediction & tips 17.02.2026

[(AS Monaco FC) Strength]:
1. Monaco defeated Nantes 3-1 in the last match, ending a two-game winless streak and boosting both morale and form.
2. Monaco have scored 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, indicating an improvement in their recent home offensive performance, with overall commendable displays.
3. Monaco conceded 4 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a significant improvement in recent defensive quality, with commendable defensive capabilities.
 

[(AS Monaco FC) Neutral]:
1. In the Champions League league phase, Monaco recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in 8 matches, showing an average overall performance.
2. Monaco have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 home matches, with a 40% win rate, showing average ability to defend home advantage and overall performance.
3. Monaco have seen high-scoring outcomes in 4 of their last 5 home matches, showing an upward trend in high-scoring rates at home, which could be worth noting for this match.
 

[(AS Monaco FC) Weakness]:
1. In 54 previous encounters, Monaco have 15 wins, 16 draws, and 23 losses, placing them at a psychological disadvantage.
 

[(Paris Saint-Germain FC) Strength]:
1. Dembele scored a goal in the last match. Since January 2025, among French players in the top five European leagues, Dembele ranks second with 21 goals, while his French teammate Mbappe leads with 43 goals.
2. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 9 goals in their last 5 away matches, showing stable offensive performance on the road with an average of over 1 goal per game.
 

[(Paris Saint-Germain FC) Neutral]:
1. Paris Saint-Germain drew 1-1 with Newcastle in their last Champions League match, with a record of 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 3 Champions League games. This marks PSG's longest winless streak in the Champions League since October-November 2024 (4 matches without a win), which also prevented them from securing a top-8 spot in the league phase.
2. Statistics show that so far this season, Paris Saint-Germain have only won one of their four away matches against top-six Ligue 1 teams (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Monaco currently rank 7th in Ligue 1.
 

[(Paris Saint-Germain FC) Weakness]:
1. Paris Saint-Germain lost 1-3 to Rennes in the last match, ending their seven-game winning streak in Ligue 1. Statistics show that PSG have lost 3 matches in Ligue 1 so far this season. In the previous two seasons, they only lost 2 matches in the entire league campaign.
2. Paris Saint-Germain conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating lingering defensive issues on the road, with the backline needing adjustments and improvements.
3. Paris Saint-Germain have only covered the spread in 2 of their last 10 matches, indicating poor recent performance in covering the spread, falling short of expectations.
 

[Tips]:
Monaco defeated Nantes 3-1 in the last round, ending their winless streak and boosting morale. Their recent home offense and defense have improved, but their home win rate is only 40%, indicating average home defense capability. In 54 previous encounters, they have 15 wins, 16 draws, and 23 losses, placing them at a psychological disadvantage. Paris Saint-Germain lost 1-3 to Rennes in the last round, ending their seven-game winning streak in the league and continuing their winless run in the Champions League. Their away performance against strong teams is average, and defensive issues persist on the road. However, PSG hold clear advantages in overall strength, squad depth, and clutch performance. Eager to bounce back, they aim to secure a first-leg victory. Considering the gap in overall strength and championship determination, Paris Saint-Germain are favored to win away from home.
 

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