Preview Le Havre AC VS Toulouse FC

[(Le Havre AC) Strength]:
1. Le Havre AC currently rank 13th in Ligue 1, positioned in the lower-middle. Facing Toulouse, who are far higher in the standings, they aim to rely on solid home defense to secure at least a point.
2. Le Havre AC's home performance this season is the solid foundation of their survival. In the 11 home games played so far, they have achieved a respectable record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a home win rate of 36.4% and an unbeaten rate as high as 81.8%.
3. Defense is the cornerstone of Le Havre AC's presence in Ligue 1. In their last six matches, they have conceded only 5 goals, averaging less than 1 goal per game, with 3 clean sheets.
4. Le Havre AC have shown strong performance against the spread recently, winning the game data in all of their last 5 matches and maintaining a perfect record against the spread in their last 3 home games.
 

[(Le Havre AC) Weakness]:
1. In their last six league matches, Le Havre AC have achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a win rate of 33.3%, earning 8 points. Their form has been inconsistent.
2. Le Havre AC have scored only 5 goals in their last six matches, averaging less than 1 goal per game, indicating a clear lack of attacking firepower.
3. Le Havre AC have performed poorly against Toulouse in recent seasons, with only 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 encounters.
 

[(Toulouse FC) Strength]:
1. Toulouse currently rank 7th in Ligue 1, just one step away from the European qualification zone, making them strong contenders for a European spot this season. They are determined to secure all three points in this away match against a lower-middle table team.
2. Toulouse have achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six league matches, with a win rate of 50%, earning 10 points. Their form is better than their opponents'.
3. Toulouse have scored 10 goals in their last six matches, averaging over 1 goal per game. Their away average this season also exceeds 1 goal per game, indicating stable attacking firepower.
4. Toulouse have conceded 5 goals in their last six matches, averaging less than 1 goal per game, with 3 clean sheets, demonstrating solid defensive performance.
 

[(Toulouse FC) Weakness]:
1. Toulouse's away performance this season has been inconsistent. In the 10 away games played so far, they have achieved 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with an away win rate of 40%.
2. In the first leg of this season, Toulouse drew 0-0 with Le Havre AC at home. In their last three away games against Le Havre AC, they have won only once.
3. Toulouse have lost the game data in their last 3 consecutive matches, with 2 losses against the spread in their last 3 away games, indicating overall poor performance against the spread.
 

[Tips]:
Although Le Havre AC's overall ranking and paper strength are not as good as Toulouse's, they possess a top-tier home defense system in Ligue 1, conceding only 10 goals in 11 home games, with a home unbeaten rate exceeding 80%. This includes victories over strong opponents like Strasbourg and draws against Monaco, making their home performance noteworthy. Toulouse lost their last away game to Angers, ending a streak of multiple away unbeaten matches. While Toulouse hold a certain advantage in overall strength compared to Le Havre AC, the data institutions' support for the away team in this match is relatively low, indicating poor confidence. This match is recommended for Le Havre AC to remain unbeaten at home.
 

[Recommended]:
Le Havre AC (+0/0.5)