TIPS - Sevilla FC VS Deportivo Alaves

[(Sevilla FC) Strength]:
1. Sevilla FC currently rank 13th in La Liga, leading Deportivo Alaves only on goal difference. The team urgently need a victory to reverse their decline and widen the gap from the relegation zone, showing strong determination.
2. Sevilla FC have a relatively high home win rate this season, securing 1 win and 1 draw in their last two home matches, indicating a recovery in home form.
 

[(Sevilla FC) Weakness]:
1. Sevilla FC's two center-backs, Marcao Teixeira and Andres Castrin, are unavailable, and winger Ruben Vargas is also ruled out for this match.
2. In their last six league matches, Sevilla FC only managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a win rate as low as 16.7%, earning only 5 points, indicating extremely poor form.
3. Sevilla FC have no home advantage this season. In the 12 home matches played so far, they have recorded only 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a home win rate as low as 33.3%.
4. Sevilla FC scored 6 goals in their last six matches, averaging 1 goal per game, showing weak attacking firepower and a lack of effective means to penetrate compact defenses.
5. Sevilla FC had an average record against Deportivo Alaves in recent seasons, winning only 3 of their last 10 encounters and failing to win in their last three home matches against them.
6. Sevilla FC's recent trend in AH is poor, winning only 4 of their last 10 matches and failing to win 3 of their last 4 home matches.
 

[(Deportivo Alaves) Strength]:
1. Deportivo Alaves currently have the same 25 points as Sevilla FC, ranking 14th only due to an inferior goal difference. With relegation pressure present, and considering the team's recent improvement in away form and their opponents' similarly poor state, Deportivo Alaves are confident in earning points away from home.
2. Deportivo Alaves' recent trend in AH is decent, winning 4 of their last 6 matches and both of their last two away matches.
 

[(Deportivo Alaves) Weakness]:
1. In their last six league matches, Deportivo Alaves recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a win rate of 33.3%, showing inconsistent overall performance.
2. Deportivo Alaves have an extremely poor away record this season, being a typical weak team on the road. In the 11 away matches played so far, they have only managed 2 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with an away win rate as low as 18.2%.
3. Deportivo Alaves scored 6 goals in their last six matches, averaging 1 goal per game, matching Sevilla FC's offensive efficiency. The team's ability to score away from home is extremely limited.
4. Deportivo Alaves conceded 9 goals in their last six matches, averaging over 1 goal conceded per game, indicating defensive instability. They have conceded 16 goals in 11 away matches.
5. Deportivo Alaves have a poor record when visiting Sevilla FC, winning only 1 of their last 9 away matches against them.
 

[Tips]:
On paper and in terms of historical pedigree, Sevilla FC undoubtedly hold the advantage.

However, based on their actual performance this season, recent form, and psychological aspects of past encounters, they have no advantage whatsoever.

Sevilla's biggest issue is that their home aura has long faded; the once formidable Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan now holds no intimidation, with a home win rate of only 30% and significant defensive vulnerabilities.

Considering both teams' lack of attacking firepower, but with relegation pressure driving them to fight defensively, a draw is the most likely outcome that cannot be ignored.

Even if Sevilla can take a lead with a slight home advantage, given their defensive focus this season, it is difficult to ensure they maintain that advantage until the final whistle.

Overall, based on the overall level shown by both teams this season, Deportivo Alaves are expected to avoid defeat away from home.
 

[Recommended]:
Deportivo Alaves (+0/0.5)