7M - Match Preview: Chelsea vs Leeds: Odds, Predictions & Match Analysis – 10th February 2026

Chelsea will be targeting a crucial victory to strengthen their league position when they host Leeds United at Stamford Bridge this Tuesday in Premier League round 26. Failing to take all three points against the visitors would be considered a significant disappointment for the Blues.

Entering this round, Chelsea sit 5th in the standings with 43 points. Leeds United, having played 25 matches, have collected 29 points, which places them 16th.

With ambitions of securing a top-six finish, Chelsea will be determined to produce a strong performance. While Leeds may not appear on paper to possess the necessary quality to stop the hosts, they will be aiming to cause an upset.

Chelsea approach the match with confidence in their attacking ability, backed by impressive form from their past ten league games. They have averaged two goals per match, scoring 20 in total, while conceding 13 at an average of 1.3 per game, and kept two clean sheets.

Leeds have also been reasonably productive in attack, netting 15 times in their last ten outings for an average of 1.5 goals per game. However, they conceded 14 goals in return, keeping two clean sheets but letting in an average of 1.4 goals per match.

In their most recent encounter, Chelsea suffered a 3-1 defeat to Leeds. However, the Blues did secure a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season.

Prediction & Form Guide

Chelsea's Form: Chelsea's form has been somewhat mixed. They secured a 3-2 win over West Ham, then suffered a 1-0 loss to Arsenal, before bouncing back with a 3-1 victory against Wolverhampton. At home in their last six league matches, they have won three, drawn two, and lost one, scoring 11 and conceding seven goals.

Leeds' Form: Leeds have experienced varied results in their last three games: a 1-1 draw with Everton, a 4-0 defeat to Arsenal, and most recently a 3-1 win over Nottingham Forest. Their away form is a concern, having failed to win any of their last six league matches on the road (four draws, two defeats), being outscored 10 to 8.

Analysis: Anything less than a home win would be a major surprise. Given Chelsea's attacking momentum, Leeds could be in for a tough evening. Chelsea have shown little mercy against teams in the bottom six this season, securing seven wins and 22 points from nine such games, scoring 23 and conceding eight—the best record of any Premier League side against the division's lower-ranked teams. Conversely, in their last eight matches against top-six sides, Leeds have managed just one win and six points, scoring ten but conceding 19 goals.

Chelsea's season record stands at 12 wins, seven draws, and six losses. Leeds' record is seven wins, eight draws, and ten losses.

Key Statistics

Chelsea have won their last 3 Premier League matches, scoring over 1.5 goals each time.

Chelsea have won 3 of their last 4 matches while scoring over 2.5 goals.

6 of Chelsea's last 8 league matches have seen over 2.5 total goals.

4 of Leeds' last 5 away league matches have seen under 2.5 total goals.

Squad Lists

Chelsea Squad: Coach Liam Rosenior (41) will select from: Goalkeepers: Filip Joergensen, Gabriel Slonina, Robert Sanchez. Defenders: Benoit Badiashile, Caleb Wiley, Jorrel Hato, Josh Acheampong, Levi Colwill, Malo Gusto, Mamadou Sarr, Marc Cucurella, Reece James, Tosin Adarabioyo, Trevoh Chalobah, Wesley Fofana. Midfielders: Andrey Santos, Cole Palmer, Dario Essugo, Enzo Fernandez, Jamie Gittens, Moises Caicedo, Romeo Lavia. Forwards: Alejandro Garnacho, Estevao, Joao Pedro, Liam Delap, Marc Guiu, Mykhaylo Mudryk, Pedro Neto, Shumaira Mheuka.

Leeds United Squad: Coach Daniel Farke (49) will select from: Goalkeepers: Alex Cairns, Illan Meslier, Karl Darlow, Lucas Perri. Defenders: Gabriel Gudmundsson, James Justin, Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Sam Byram, Sebastiaan Bornauw. Midfielders: Anton Stach, Ao Tanaka, Brenden Aaronson, Charlie Crew, Daniel James, Ethan Ampadu, Facundo Buonanotte, Ilia Gruev, Jaka Bijol, Sean Longstaff. Forwards: Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Joel Piroe, Lee Erwin, Lukas Nmecha, Noah Okafor, Wilfried Gnonto.

Team News: Leeds will be without the suspended duo of defender Joe Rodon and forward Dominic Calvert-Lewin. Chelsea report a fully available squad.

Head-to-Head (H2H): Despite losing the last meeting 3-1, Chelsea hold a strong historical advantage in recent encounters (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in last 10). A home win is priced at 1/2.

Betting Tips: Chelsea's Cole Palmer (4 goals in last 6 league apps) and Leeds' Brenden Aaronson (3 league goals this season) are key attacking threats. Chelsea have won 6 of their last 10 home games (2 draws, 2 losses), keeping 5 clean sheets. Leeds have won only 1 of their last 10 away matches (4 draws, 5 losses), keeping just 1 clean sheet. In the last 10 H2H meetings, over 2.5 goals occurred in 6 matches, with both teams scoring in 5.