Preview: Leeds United vs Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups
Posted Friday, January 30, 2026 by 7M Sport

[(Leeds United) Strength]:
1. Leeds United showed a strong rebound recently, currently sitting 16th in the table with 22 points and successfully climbing out of the relegation zone for now. Facing the league leaders at Elland Road, their motivation is to maintain their positive momentum and use their home-field advantage to snatch points from the top-tier opponents.
2. With a high unbeaten rate lately, Leeds United suffered only one defeat in their last 10 Premier League outings, and even that was a heart-wrenching stoppage-time winner by Newcastle United F.C. They have demonstrated immense resilience on the pitch.
3. Leeds United have been highly efficient at picking up points at home, securing 11 points from their last six home matches, with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. During this run, they famously defeated Chelsea F.C. and held both Liverpool F.C. and Manchester United F.C. to draws.
4. Leeds United scored 19 goals in 11 home games and an average of over 1 goal per game in the last 6 league matches, featuring efficient offense at home.
5. Leeds United were unbeaten in the last 10 games in AH, with a win rate of 60%.
[(Leeds United) Weakness]:
1. Leeds United winger Daniel James is unavailable for this match, while defenders Gabriel Gudmundsson and Jaka Bijol are also sidelined due to injury.
2. Leeds United conceded an average of over 1 goal per home game this season so far and had 7 goals conceded in the last 6 league games, boasting average defense.
3. In terms of head-to-head history in the Premier League, Leeds United find themselves at an absolute disadvantage. In their last 12 meetings across all competitions, Leeds United failed to win a single match, with a record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses.
[(Arsenal F.C.) Strength]:
1. Arsenal F.C. still lead the Premier League table by four points, but recent slips in the league have seen their advantage diminish, leading to a surge in title-race pressure. The team are desperate for a victory to halt their domestic slump and solidify their position at the top. Their motivation for this clash is intense, with nothing less than three points being the goal.
2. Having secured a spot in the Champions League Round of 16 early, Arsenal F.C. implemented significant squad rotations in their midweek Champions League fixture. This has preserved the fitness of most starters, allowing them to approach this match in peak physical condition.
3. Arsenal F.C. have an away win rate of 67% in the Premier League this season and remained unbeaten with 6 wins and 1 draw in the last 7 away matches across all competitions, performing stably on the road.
4. Arsenal F.C. scored 11 goals in the previous 6 league games, averaging nearly 2 goals per game, featuring stable attack.
5. Arsenal F.C. hold a dominant head-to-head record against Leeds United, winning eight of their last ten Premier League meetings, including victories in their last two trips to Elland Road.
6. Arsenal F.C. lost only one of the previous 7 away games and won 3 of the last 4 in AH.
[(Arsenal F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Arsenal F.C. starting defenders William Saliba and Jurrien Timber are in doubt for this match, while youngster Max Dowman remains sidelined with an injury.
2. Arsenal F.C.'s recent form has fluctuated significantly, and they are currently navigating a difficult patch. In the Premier League, they are winless in their last three outings (2 draws, 1 loss), and most recently suffered a home defeat to Manchester United F.C. after leading—a result that shattered their unbeaten home record this season.
[Tips]:
Based on recent form, Leeds United are undoubtedly the more impressive side, with their compact defensive structure, efficient set-piece routines, and a raucous home atmosphere making them a formidable competitor.
However, Arsenal F.C. possess an unquestionable and overwhelming advantage in overall squad quality, depth, and psychological edge from past encounters.
Considering Arsenal F.C.'s dual drive of superior strength and intense motivation, along with the return of starters to the lineup, they are more likely to break their league deadlock in this pivotal battle.
Thus, the Gunners are favored to leverage their superior collective power and star brilliance to secure a vital away victory.
[Recommended]:
Arsenal F.C. (-1)
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