Sao Paulo vs Flamengo - live score, predicted lineups
Posted Wednesday, January 28, 2026 by 7M Sport
[(Sao Paulo FC) Strength]:
1. Sao Paulo are ranked near the bottom, even in the relegation zone, in the Campeonato Paulista, indicating poor overall competitive form. As the first home match of the new season and the opening game, Sao Paulo urgently need a victory to respond to fans' doubts and reverse the unfavorable start, showing strong determination.
2. Sao Paulo had a decent home performance last season, with an overall win rate exceeding 50%, achieving 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in 19 home matches.
[(Sao Paulo FC) Weakness]:
1. Sao Paulo have performed poorly in the early stages of the Campeonato Paulista, with poor form. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have only managed one win.
2. Sao Paulo's recent offensive performance in the Campeonato Paulista has been average, scoring 5 goals in 5 matches, averaging only 1 goal per game.
3. Sao Paulo's recent defensive stability has been lacking, conceding goals in their last three matches, including a 3-goal loss to Palmeiras, highlighting the need for improvement in their defensive quality.
4. Sao Paulo managed only 1 draw and 1 loss in their two encounters with Flamengo last season, and have won only 3 out of their last 10 meetings across all competitions, lacking a psychological advantage.
5. Sao Paulo's recent performance in covering the spread has been average, with only 4 out of their last 10 matches resulting in a win against the spread.
[(CR Flamengo (RJ)) Strength]:
1. As the defending champions of last season's Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A, Flamengo naturally aim to continue their success and make a strong start to their title defense. The team boast a championship-caliber squad and a stable tactical system, with the clear goal of securing an away victory.
2. Flamengo were the champions of last season's Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A, losing only 5 out of 38 matches, showcasing their superior overall strength.
[(CR Flamengo (RJ)) Weakness]:
1. Flamengo's form has also fluctuated during their pre-season preparations for the new season. In their last five matches of the Brazil Campeonato Carioca, they have only managed one win.
2. Flamengo's away performance last season ranked second, with a record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, resulting in a win rate below 50%. Their performance in the first away match of the new season remains to be tested.
3. Flamengo have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging over 1 goal conceded per game, indicating some instability in their defensive line.
4. Flamengo's past performances at Sao Paulo's home ground have been average. Last season, they were held to a 2-2 draw away, and based on the data from their last 10 encounters, they even have a slight disadvantage.
5. Flamengo's recent performance in covering the spread has been average, losing the spread in 4 out of their last 5 matches, and losing the spread in all of their last 3 away matches.
[Tips]:
As both teams are in the adjustment period at the beginning of the season, the match may exhibit a 'slow start' characteristic. Sao Paulo, with the advantage of playing at home and a strong desire to win, can compensate for some of their shortcomings in form. Meanwhile, Flamengo, as the defending champions, although slightly lacking in squad depth, may have a slight edge in terms of individual player abilities and the maturity of their tactical system. The key to the match likely lies in whether Sao Paulo can capitalize on their home momentum to seize a strong start. Despite being the defending champions of the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A, Flamengo may face some issues with team cohesion and adaptation in their first away match of the new season. Additionally, their past performances at Sao Paulo's home ground have not been particularly favorable. Based on this analysis, the recommendation for this match is that Sao Paulo can secure an unbeaten result at home.
[Recommended]:
Sao Paulo FC (+0.5)
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