Everton vs Leeds: Can Toffees Improve Home Form After Impressive Win at Villa?

[(Everton F.C.) Strength]:
1. Everton won their last match 1-0 against Aston Villa, ending their winless streak and boosting morale to some extent.
2. Everton have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, showing improvement in their attacking play, with overall commendable performances.

[(Everton F.C.) Neutral]:
1. Everton have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home this season, with a win rate of 36.4%. Their ability to capitalize on home field advantage is relatively average, with overall mediocre performances.
2. Everton have seen only two of their last 10 matches end with OVER, indicating a relatively conservative overall playing style.

[(Everton F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Michael Keane was sent off with a straight red card in the match against Wolves and will continue to serve his suspension for this game.
2. Jack Grealish was injured in Everton's 1-0 victory over his former club Aston Villa. A statement from Everton on Monday revealed that Grealish will consult specialists after suffering a foot injury. Later that day, reports indicated that the 30-year-old Grealish has suffered a stress fracture and could be sidelined for months rather than weeks.
3. Everton have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a decline in defensive quality. The backline needs to improve.

[(Leeds United) Strength]:
1. Leeds United are currently only 5 points clear of the relegation zone, and their survival situation is still not very optimistic. They must secure points to consolidate their position, so their motivation will not be low.
2. Leeds United forward Nmecha scored a last-minute winner in stoppage time of the last match, helping the team secure an away victory. His individual performance deserves recognition.
3. Leeds United forward Calvert-Lewin was named Premier League Player of the Month for December. He played 5 Premier League matches in December, scoring 6 goals. After joining Leeds United on a free transfer from Everton last summer, he has made 20 appearances this season, contributing 9 goals and 1 assist. His performance against his former club in this away match is worth watching.
4. Leeds United won their last match 1-0 against Fulham, securing victories in both the FA Cup and the league. Their desire to win has improved compared to earlier, showing decent form.
5. Leeds United have scored 30 goals this season, averaging 1.36 goals per game, indicating relatively stable attacking performances.
6. Leeds United have not failed to cover the spread in their last 11 matches, showing an excellent trend in covering the spread recently, with overall performances meeting external expectations.

[(Leeds United) Neutral]:
1. Leeds United have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. Although their away defensive performance has improved recently, there is still significant room for progress.
2. The two teams have faced each other 11 times in total, with each side winning 4 matches. They are evenly matched psychologically in head-to-head encounters.

[(Leeds United) Weakness]:
1. Leeds United have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 7 losses away from home this season, with a win rate of 9.1%. Their ability to secure away victories this season is extremely poor, almost non-existent.

[Tips]:
Everton ended their winless streak by defeating Aston Villa in their last match, boosting morale and showing improvement in their attacking play, scoring 7 goals in their last 5 games, which is commendable. Although their home win rate is average, they have the advantage of playing at home. They only need to address their defensive shortcomings, having conceded 6 goals in their last 5 games, to fully contend for victory. Leeds United are 5 points clear of the relegation zone, with strong motivation to secure points for survival. Calvert-Lewin was named Premier League Player of the Month for December, adding intrigue as he faces his former club. The team have recently won in both domestic competitions, showing a resurgence in form. However, their away performance is a significant weakness, with only a 9.1% win rate on away field this season, making it extremely difficult for them to secure victories away from home. Historically, the two teams have been evenly matched in head-to-head encounters. Considering Everton's home field advantage and Leeds United's poor away form, Everton are favored to win this match.

[Recommended]:
Everton F.C. (-0/0.5)