Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction: Can Cherries Pick Off Slot’s Reds?



Posted Saturday, January 24, 2026 by 7M Sport

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction: Can Cherries Pick Off Slot’s Reds?

[(AFC Bournemouth) Strength]:
1. AFC Bournemouth currently have 27 points, ranking 15th in the league, 10 points above the relegation zone. They are still not in a safe position and will be highly motivated to defend their home ground and earn points against Liverpool F.C.
2. AFC Bournemouth's home performance this season has actually been decent, earning 19 points from 11 home games with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a win rate close to 50%, making it a key source of points.
3. AFC Bournemouth's offense has been relatively solid. Despite injuries and the departure of their top scorer, the team has scored 10 goals in their last 6 Premier League matches.
4. Although AFC Bournemouth's win rate has been low recently, their performance in AH has been excellent, as they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, with one push, and did not lose their last two home games against Tottenham Hotspur F.C. and Arsenal F.C.

[(AFC Bournemouth) Weakness]:
1. AFC Bournemouth have multiple injury concerns, with starting forward players Enes Unal, Justin Kluivert, Ben Doak, and playmaker Marcus Tavernier all sidelined. Additionally, midfielders David Brooks, Tyler Adams, and multiple defenders are also dealing with injuries.
2. Despite drawing with Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. last week, AFC Bournemouth's competitive form has been in a prolonged slump. In their last 13 Premier League matches, they have managed only one win, dropping significant points.
3. AFC Bournemouth's defense is their biggest weakness. They have conceded 41 goals in the league this season, with 13 goals conceded in their last 6 matches. Their poor results are directly linked to their fragile backline.
4. In recent head-to-head history, AFC Bournemouth have been at a significant disadvantage. They have lost 9 of their last 10 encounters with Liverpool F.C. across all competitions, including a 4-2 away defeat in the first meeting this season.

[(Liverpool F.C.) Strength]:
1. Due to their mid-season slump, Liverpool F.C.'s goals for this season have shifted to the Champions League and securing a top-four finish. With Manchester United F.C. trailing by just one point, the Reds are determined to maintain their top-four position and will be fully motivated to earn points away from home.
2. Liverpool F.C. welcomed back their playmaker Mohamed Salah, who featured in the midweek Champions League match, boosting the team's offensive capabilities.
3. Liverpool F.C.'s 3-0 away victory over Olympique de Marseille in the midweek Champions League demonstrated the team's strong match control and scoring ability after adjustments. Since their win over West Ham United F.C. in late November, the team have gone unbeaten in their last 13 matches with 7 wins and 6 draws.
4. Liverpool F.C.'s defensive stability remains relatively high, conceding only 5 goals in their last 6 Premier League matches, averaging less than one goal per game.
5. Liverpool F.C. won all of their last 3 away matches against AFC Bournemouth and 8 of their last 10 visits, giving them a strong psychological advantage.
6. Liverpool F.C.'s performance away from home in AH has been strong recently, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, with a 60% win rate in their last 10 away games.

[(Liverpool F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Liverpool F.C. still have a number of injured players, with Alexander Isak, Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, and Stefan Bajcetic continuing their recovery. Substitute winger Federico Chiesa suffered an injury in the midweek Champions League match and is doubtful for this game.
2. Liverpool F.C.'s recent form has been characterized by strong control but inefficiency in finishing. The team are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League matches but have drawn their last 4 league games.
3. Liverpool F.C.'s offensive output in the Premier League has been slightly sluggish recently, scoring only 7 goals in their last 6 matches. Given their attacking lineup, this statistic is certainly below expectations.

[Tips]:
AFC Bournemouth are currently in the most difficult period of the season, as their form has been consistently poor, confidence is severely lacking, and more critically, they are facing a large-scale injury crisis, especially with multiple starting attackers missing in the midfield and forward lines, further weakening their already lackluster offense.

In contrast, Liverpool F.C., despite experiencing four consecutive draws in the league, halted their momentum with a convincing victory in the Champions League midweek.

The return of playmaker Mohamed Salah is a significant boost.

The team's overall strength, squad depth, and competitive form far surpass their opponents.

More importantly, the recent head-to-head history between the two teams has been overwhelmingly one-sided.

Considering both sides' recent form, squad availability, tactical matchups, and the significant historical psychological advantage, Liverpool, with their improving form, superior strength, and strong motivation, are highly likely to end their league draw streak away from home and secure all three points.

[Recommended]:
Liverpool F.C. (-0.5)

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