AZ Alkmaar - SBV Excelsior prediction & tips 21.01.2026

Posted Tuesday, January 20, 2026 by 7M Sport

[(AZ Alkmaar) Strength]:
1. AZ Alkmaar currently sit 8th in the league with 28 points, just 4 points away from the top 4. The team are determined to secure points at home to push for a top-4 finish.
2. Troy Parrott has scored 19 goals and provided 3 assists for the team this season, making him the team's top scorer and ranking 4th in the league's scoring charts. In the recent match against AFC Ajax, he scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist.
3. AZ Alkmaar have won 2 and drawn 1 in their last 3 matches, scoring 8 goals while conceding 3. Their offensive performance has been outstanding.
4. After their 6-0 victory over AFC Ajax in the KNVB Cup, AZ Alkmaar lost 3-1 to PEC Zwolle, clearly due to excessive fatigue. Fortunately, the players have had sufficient rest time for this match, and their form should recover.

[(AZ Alkmaar) Weakness]:
1. Two key midfielders, Jordy Clasie and Sven Mijnans, are both sidelined due to injuries. Forward Mexx Meerdink and defender Denso Kasius are also out long-term due to injuries.

[(SBV Excelsior) Strength]:
1. Excelsior Rotterdam currently sit 14th in the league with 20 points, leading the relegation zone by 4 points. To widen the gap from the relegation zone, the team are highly motivated.
2. Midfield core Noah Naujoks has scored 6 goals for the team this season, making him the team's top scorer.

[(SBV Excelsior) Weakness]:
1. Excelsior Rotterdam have drawn 1 and lost 1 in their last two matches, scoring 3 goals while conceding 7. Their defensive performance has been poor.
2. In their 8 league away matches this season, Excelsior Rotterdam have only managed 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, scoring just 9 goals while conceding 22. Their away form has been poor.
3. In the last two encounters between the two teams, Excelsior Rotterdam suffered two defeats, conceding 12 goals without scoring any.

[Tips]:
AZ Alkmaar achieved a resounding 6-0 victory over AFC Ajax in the KNVB Cup. Although they subsequently lost 1-3 to PEC Zwolle, this was clearly due to excessive player fatigue. For this home match, the players will have had sufficient rest time. In their last two encounters against Excelsior Rotterdam, AZ Alkmaar displayed a dominant performance, scoring 12 goals while keeping clean sheets. Excelsior Rotterdam's away form this season has also been poor, making them susceptible to a heavy defeat in this match.

[Recommended]:
AZ Alkmaar (-1.5/2)