Albacete vs Real Madrid Preview, prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds | Copa del Rey 2025-26

[(Albacete) Strength]:
1. Albacete Balompie are currently performing poorly, ranking in the lower half of Spanish Segunda Division, but they will undoubtedly give their all to create a miracle against the La Liga giants Real Madrid at home, aiming to pull off an upset with the support of the home crowd.
2. Albacete Balompie have performed well in this season's Copa del Rey, having successively eliminated Spanish Segunda Division side CD Leganes and La Liga side Celta Vigo to advance.
3. Albacete Balompie's recent performance in terms of betting spreads has been decent, winning the game data in 5 of their last 10 matches. They have covered the spread in all 3 of their Copa del Rey matches this season.

[(Albacete) Weakness]:
1. Albacete Balompie's recent competitive form has been inconsistent. In their last six matches across all competitions, their record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a win rate of less than 20%.
2. Albacete Balompie's performance at home has also lacked sufficient stability. So far this season in La Liga 2, they have only managed 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a win rate of just 30%.
3. Albacete Balompie's offensive performance has been lackluster recently, scoring only 4 goals in their last 6 league matches, averaging less than 1 goal per game.
4. Albacete Balompie have met Real Madrid 4 times in La Liga, losing all 4 matches without any psychological advantage.

[(Real Madrid CF) Strength]:
1. Apart from the loss to Barcelona in the final, Real Madrid have actually been in excellent form recently. They currently hold the second position in La Liga, with a league win rate exceeding 70% so far this season.
2. Real Madrid's offensive performance has been stable recently, scoring 16 goals in their last 6 matches, averaging nearly 3 goals per game. Their top scorer, Mbappe, returned to action in the Supercopa de Espana final.

[(Real Madrid CF) Neutral]:
1. Real Madrid have won all 4 of their recent La Liga encounters against Albacete Balompie, but in these matches, they only managed a big victory once, with the others being 2-1 wins.

[(Real Madrid CF) Weakness]:
1. Having just experienced a tough battle against Barcelona in the Supercopa de Espana, Real Madrid's players face significant physical fatigue. It is highly likely that the team will make personnel rotations for this Copa del Rey match. Additionally, the recent coaching change turmoil may have affected the team's morale, casting doubt on their motivation for this game.
2. Real Madrid's center-back Militao and full-backs Arnold and Mendy continue to be sidelined due to injuries and will be unavailable for this match.
3. Real Madrid recently lost 2-3 to Barcelona in the Supercopa de Espana final, missing out on the championship. Subsequently, the club announced the dismissal of coach Alonso, indicating that the team's internal atmosphere is not ideal.
4. The Copa del Rey is one of the most difficult domestic top-tier trophies for Real Madrid to win. Even during their glorious period of winning 5 Champions League titles from 2014 to 2022, they only managed to win the Copa del Rey once in 2014. In the first round of this season's competition against a lower-division team, they only narrowly advanced.
5. Real Madrid's recent performance in terms of betting spreads has been poor, winning the game data in only 3 of their last 10 matches. Their win rate in covering the spread in their last 10 official away matches is only 30%.

[Tips]:
Real Madrid hold a comprehensive and overwhelming advantage over Albacete Balompie in terms of overall strength, individual player abilities, recent form, and historical head-to-head records. For Real Madrid, this is a match that must be won amidst a congested schedule but without excessive exertion. It is expected that there will be significant squad rotation, with the strategic focus being on controlling the game, avoiding injuries, and progressing smoothly. To some extent, this limits Real Madrid's motivation to pursue a resounding victory. On the other hand, for Albacete Balompie, this is the most important match of their entire season. The entire team are bound to unite with determination, defending their honor at home with ironclad defense and unwavering fighting spirit. Their attitude and competitive drive will far exceed their usual league performances. Although Real Madrid's advancement to the next round is almost an irreversible outcome, Albacete Balompie, with the advantage of playing at home, a pressure-free mindset, and united defensive efforts, are fully capable of avoiding a heavy defeat.

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