Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano - prediction, team news, lineups



Posted Tuesday, January 13, 2026 by 7M Sport

[(Deportivo Alaves) Strength]:
1. Deportivo Alaves have won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 in their last 5 home matches, with a win rate of 40%, showing a relatively average ability to capitalize on home field advantage recently.

[(Deportivo Alaves) Weakness]:
1. Deportivo Alaves' relegation situation in La Liga is extremely critical, and the team may struggle to focus on the cup competition, raising questions about their motivation.
2. Deportivo Alaves lost 1-3 to Villarreal in their last match, failing to secure a win in their last three games, indicating a very poor competitive state.
3. Deportivo Alaves have only scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches, with weak offensive performance being one of the main reasons for their difficulty in securing victories.
4. Deportivo Alaves have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, with their defense virtually non-existent and lacking significant defensive contributions.
5. Deportivo Alaves have failed to cover the spread in their last 3 matches, showing a declining trend in their ability to beat the spread.

[(Rayo Vallecano) Strength]:
1. Rayo Vallecano defeated RCD Mallorca 2-1 in their last match, securing victories in both league and cup competitions, which has boosted the team's morale.
2. Rayo Vallecano have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, with their offensive line in hot form recently, consistently finding the back of the net in almost every game.
3. The two teams have faced each other 17 times in total, with Rayo Vallecano winning 10, drawing 2, and losing 5, giving them a psychological advantage in head-to-head encounters.

[(Rayo Vallecano) Neutral]:
1. Rayo Vallecano have won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 in their last 5 away matches, with a win rate of 40%, showing average away performance and overall steady results.
2. Rayo Vallecano's last 4 matches have all ended with OVER.

[(Rayo Vallecano) Weakness]:
1. Rayo Vallecano have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating certain defensive vulnerabilities that need improvement and strengthening.

[Tips]:
Deportivo Alaves are in poor form recently, having failed to secure a win in their last three matches. The team are deeply mired in the relegation battle in La Liga, and their motivation for the cup competition is questionable. Offensively, they have only scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches, showing weak firepower, while their defense is virtually non-existent, conceding as many as 9 goals during the same period. Their home win rate is only 40%, making it difficult for them to demonstrate reliable competitiveness. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, have just secured a victory, boosting morale with wins in both competitions. They have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a hot offensive form. Although there are defensive vulnerabilities and their away performances have been average, they have a significant psychological advantage, having won 10, drawn 2, and lost 5 in their 17 historical encounters. Overall, it is recommended that Rayo Vallecano remain unbeaten in regular time.

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