TIPS - Monterrey VS Deportivo Toluca



Posted Sunday, January 11, 2026 by 7M Sport

[(Monterrey) Strength]:
1. As Monterrey's first home match of the new season, the team are highly motivated to secure a winning start. Monterrey were eliminated by Deportivo Toluca last season, making this match a revenge battle with strong desire for victory.
2. Monterrey's squad is relatively complete before the match, with no reports of starters missing due to injuries.
3. Monterrey's top scorer, German Berterame, scored 20 goals in Liga MX last season, ranking second in the scoring charts. German Berterame's performance has been outstanding.
4. Monterrey recently achieved two consecutive wins in friendly matches, showing excellent form adjustment. In their last friendly match, they defeated Atlas 2-1.
5. Monterrey recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in 8 home matches during the Apertura last season, demonstrating outstanding home performance.
6. Monterrey recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 10 home matches against Deportivo Toluca, demonstrating outstanding home performance.
7. Monterrey are favored by a 0.75 handicap at home in this match, receiving strong external support and putting them in a very advantageous position.

[(Monterrey) Weakness]:
1. Monterrey ranked 7th in the Liga MX Apertura standings last season and were eliminated by Deportivo Toluca in the quarter-finals, ending their campaign there.
2. Monterrey conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating relatively average defensive performance recently.

[(Deportivo Toluca) Strength]:
1. Deportivo Toluca have no reports of important players being injured or suspended before the match and can field their full-strength lineup.
2. Deportivo Toluca's top scorer, Paulinho, scored 27 league goals last season and ultimately won the top scorer award.
3. Deportivo Toluca ranked 1st in the Liga MX Apertura last season but lost to Club America in the final, finishing as runners-up. Their overall performance was quite impressive.
4. Deportivo Toluca won two of their last three Liga MX matches, performing quite impressively overall. In their last Liga MX match, they defeated Tigres UANL 2-1.
5. Deportivo Toluca recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in 9 away matches during the Apertura last season, demonstrating solid away performance.
6. Deportivo Toluca scored 11 goals and conceded only 8 in their last 10 matches, showing balanced performance in both offense and defense recently.

[(Deportivo Toluca) Weakness]:
1. Deportivo Toluca finished as runners-up in the Apertura last season. However, they have only won once in their last 10 away visits to Monterrey, putting them at a significant psychological disadvantage and lacking motivation.
2. Deportivo Toluca lost 7 of their last 10 matches in AH, indicating relatively average performances recently.

[Tips]:
Monterrey recently achieved two consecutive wins in friendly matches, showing excellent form adjustment.

The team ranked 7th in the Liga MX Apertura standings last season, ultimately stopping at the quarter-finals.

Deportivo Toluca won two of their last three Liga MX matches, performing quite impressively overall.

They ranked 1st in the Liga MX Apertura last season and finished as runners-up.

Monterrey recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 10 home matches against Toluca, demonstrating outstanding home performance.

Monterrey are favored by a 0.75 handicap at home in this match, putting them in a very advantageous position.

Comprehensive analysis suggests that Monterrey are expected to defeat Toluca at home and successfully seek revenge.

[Recommended]:
Monterrey (-0.5/1)

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