Oviedo vs Mallorca Prediction

🔊 Will the "Islanders" capitalize on their opponent's organizational issues? In the opening match of the 15th round of La Liga, Real Oviedo will face Mallorca at the Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. The league newcomers, following a coaching change, are still searching for their first victory and remain at the bottom of the standings. Meanwhile, the "Cinnabar Reds" have managed to secure crucial points in recent rounds and have moved out of the danger zone. Bookmakers see no clear favorite, offering equal odds for success.

Head-to-Head

📊 Over the last five head-to-head matches, the "Cinnabar Reds" have not lost to the "Carbayones." The last time these teams faced off was during the 2020/21 Segunda División season, where both encounters ended in draws (2-2 at "Nuevo Carlos Tartiere" and 0-0 at "Iberostar"). In their previous 15 top-flight meetings, Real Oviedo managed just a single victory, which came during the 1990/91 season (1-0). We'll soon find out if the "Carbayones" can overcome this challenging opponent.

Real Oviedo Team Overview

🔵 Over the course of seven consecutive rounds in La Liga, Real Oviedo have been unable to secure a win. In their last four matches, they have failed to score a single goal. These pronounced organizational issues emerged right after Veljko Paunović's departure. Luis Carrión, despite his higher profile, has not introduced tactical flexibility and has only exacerbated the team's problems. Currently, the newcomers to La Liga sit at the bottom of the league table, trailing three points behind the crucial 17th spot. It's also concerning that Real Oviedo lack composure at home, with just one victory in seven attempts (against Real Sociedad at the end of August – 1-0).

🟡 A lack of creativity in attack and significant issues with finishing chances are the club's key weaknesses. Real Oviedo's average goals scored is about 0.5 per game, the worst in the league. At home, the situation worsens with only 0.29 goals per match. In the last round of La Liga, Luis Carrión's side suffered a 2-0 away defeat to Atletico Madrid, once again exposing the weaknesses of "Los Carbayones." The most prolific player for Oviedo is 36-year-old Salomón Rondón, who has managed to score just two goals.

Mallorca Team Overview

🔴 The "Reds" are also embroiled in a relegation battle. Thanks to some recent successes, they've managed to pull 1 point clear of the drop zone, sitting in 16th place. Jagoba Arrasate's teams have always been known for their solid defensive line, which often caused headaches for opponents. However, this season, the "Reds'" defense can't be called exemplary—conceding an average of 1.57 goals per game. On the road, this figure climbs to 2 goals per game. A lack of flexibility from the coaching staff is an issue cited by a number of fans from the namesake city.

⚫ Midweek, Mallorca played a cup match in the round of 32. Despite a significant class difference, the "Islanders" struggled to secure qualification to the next round—edging Numancia (3-2). The standout performer was Abdon Prats, who netted a brace. In their national league campaign, they managed to earn a point in their recent home encounter against Osasuna (2-2). Had it not been for a lapse in concentration in the last 10 minutes and more composed positional defending, victory would surely have been theirs. The most significant player for Jagoba Arrasate's side is Vedat Muriqi, with 8 goals in 13 matches.

Latest news

Real Oviedo

🎤 After the 0-2 defeat to Atletico, Luis Carrion spoke to the media: “We started in a strong position, they were playing short passes, but after a few moments when they got in behind us... we were too timid in our pressing, and they began to break through easily. We could have pressed much more, but we didn’t, and they really dominated us. Moreover, the goals came from situations that could have been avoided, and we need to improve on that. The Friday match against Mallorca is crucial for us. We were convinced we could have performed better here and showed that in the second half. Atletico are an excellent team, and we paid the price for it. We need to clear our heads; I still believe we deserve more points than we have, and I'm confident we can secure those vital three points against Mallorca.”

❌ In Real Oviedo's injury list are Alvaro Lemos (knee injury) and Javi Lopez (muscle injury). Brandon Dominguez's participation in the match remains doubtful due to a leg injury.

Mallorca

🎤 After dropping points in the 2-2 draw with Osasuna, Jagoba Arrasate highlighted the reasons his team couldn't secure the win: "It's a tough blow. We controlled the game well, considering how evenly matched it was, and when you have to do the hardest thing... conceding a goal to level the score in the final minutes is very frustrating. We need to analyze why this happened and continue to progress. Up until the 2-1 scoreline, the game was good. After that goal, you start to get a little scared, and it gave them the confidence to come back. And then, in those final minutes, you concede crosses and corners, and what happened can happen. This disappointment should last only a few hours because on Friday we're heading to Oviedo with all that entails. We can't rest on our laurels; we must keep moving forward."

❌ Among Mallorca's unavailable players, Dani Rodriguez stands out due to suspension. Toni Lato (muscle injury) and Leo Roman (muscle injury) are also doubtful for the match.

⚽ Goal Prediction

⚽ Goal Prediction

This match holds equal importance for both sides. A victory here would solidify their standings and potentially earn crucial points. With that in mind, expect high attacking intensity from both clubs. The defensive stats reveal that Real Oviedo and Mallorca struggle to keep clean sheets. Moreover, in the last five head-to-head encounters at the "Nuevo Carlos Tartiere," both teams have found the back of the net. The editorial choice is both teams to score (yes).

🚩 Corner Prediction

Both teams rank among the league's lowest in average corners per game: Real Oviedo with 3.6 and Mallorca with 3.4. Additionally, notable trends should be considered. In 4 of the last 5 matches involving the "Islanders," there were no more than 10 corner kicks. A similar pattern is evident in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings between these sides. The editorial choice is total corners under 10.5.

Both clubs are far from their peak form and are still trying to find their best game. However, it's important to consider their head-to-head history and experience in Spain's top division. The last victory for the "Carbayones" over the "Islanders" in La Liga was nearly 35 years ago. Meanwhile, in recent years, the "Vermilions" have established themselves as a solid mid-table side capable of challenging any team in the league. We predict a final score of 1-2, with the key bet being Mallorca will not lose.