Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction 4 December 2025

🔊 Will Arsenal drop points again? It's midweek in the Premier League, and the league leaders will aim to capitalize on this opportunity to get back to winning ways. In the 14th round, the Gunners face Brentford, who are in for a tough trip to the Emirates. According to the odds offered by bookmakers, it doesn't look promising for the Bees. However, their last visit to this stadium was not without surprises, which we'll discuss in more detail in the next section of our prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Arsenal's last defeat to Brentford occurred in 2021. Since then, the teams have faced each other eight times, with the Bees managing to earn points in only two of those encounters. Interestingly, both instances happened at the Emirates, and both ended in a 1-1 draw. Additionally, there's an intriguing trend to note— the first half has ended in a draw in each of their last five meetings.

Arsenal Team Overview

Arsenal continue to hold the top spot in the league standings, although their lead over Manchester City has been trimmed to five points. The Gunners have faltered twice in their last three matches. While the 2-2 draw with Sunderland, where the opponent equalized in the dying minutes, can be chalked up to unfortunate circumstances, last weekend's 1-1 draw with Chelsea cannot be described in the same way.

It seems the Gunners were too fatigued following their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich (3-1), where they delivered a top-notch performance. They simply lacked the energy for the derby. Otherwise, it's hard to understand why Mikel Arteta's side, who played more than a half with a man advantage, failed to impose their game on the Blues. The only area where they outperformed Chelsea was in possession. Yet Arsenal could have snatched victory if Jurrien Timber hadn't obstructed Viktor Gyökeres from taking a shot on goal after a cross late in the match.

Brentford Team Overview

Brentford find themselves right in the middle of the standings, sitting at 10th place. Considering the summer change in management, this is an excellent interim result. However, the challenge is that the Bees are distinctly a home-oriented team. They rank 3rd in the league for home game performances, yet only 17th when it comes to away results.

In the last round, Keith Andrews' side took care of Burnley (3-1) in a home fixture. Despite a significant advantage in expected goals (3.16-0.94), it wasn't an easy ride for Brentford, as all goals were scored after the 80th minute. Igor Thiago made his mark with a brace. The Brazilian, with 11 goals, is second in the Premier League's scoring charts, trailing only Erling Haaland.

Latest news

Arsenal

🎙 Mikel Arteta at the press conference following the London derby: "This week has been tough both emotionally and physically due to the opponents we've faced. Before coming here, we lost two very important players. We had one less day to recover, and we played at Stamford Bridge, where Chelsea just defeated Barcelona, one of Europe's top teams, so they're a challenging opponent."

❌ Gabriel is definitely out for the upcoming match, and his central defense partner William Saliba, who picked up a knock in training, is also unlikely to feature. Kai Havertz and Leandro Trossard are also at risk of not being fit in time for the game against Brentford.

Brentford

🔝 Only three players from the top five European leagues outperform Igor Thiago in terms of scoring this season: Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane, and Erling Haaland. "Right now, he's the most prolific Brazilian in the top divisions, which is truly impressive, isn't it? Playing for the national team is his big dream," said Keith Andrews, discussing Thiago's potential call-up to the Selecao.

❌ Antoni Milambo, Fabio Carvalho, and Josh Dasilva will not take to the field this year due to knee issues. Additionally, Arsenal loanee Reiss Nelson will miss the match.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by a team led by Tony Harrington. The English referee isn't known for being excessively strict, averaging 3.5 yellow cards per game in the current Premier League season. However, we won't be betting on the total number of cautions, as there's a more intriguing option. Arsenal average just 0.5 yellow cards per home match and will be highly motivated after dropping points. Brentford will find it extremely challenging to defend, making a bet on the visitors winning the yellow card battle seem logical.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Surprisingly, Arsenal have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five home games against Brentford, resulting in a successful bet on both teams to score (yes). Igor Tiago is in excellent form, and the Gunners' defense isn't at full strength, so there's a high likelihood this trend will continue.

🚩 Corner Prediction

While Mikel Arteta's men have struggled to keep their goal intact, in the same five recent matches against Brentford at the Emirates, the Gunners have delivered more than 6.5 corners. The Bees are likely to focus on defense and playing with a low block, giving the hosts plenty of opportunities to execute their favored set pieces.

Since the start of the season, Arsenal have only failed to beat Manchester City at home (1-1). Apart from the "Citizens", only Tottenham have managed to score against the "Gunners" at the Emirates (4-1). Mikel Arteta currently faces squad issues, and his team have conceded in four consecutive matches, so keeping a clean sheet might be a challenge for David Raya. However, the hosts are expected to win convincingly, considering Brentford's significant struggles on the road. Keith Andrews might switch to a five-defender formation, but we doubt it will be enough to contain the London side. We predict a scoreline of 4-1 and back Arsenal to win with a -1 handicap.