Burnley vs Crystal Palace Prediction 4 December 2025

🔊 Can Crystal Palace bounce back after suffering two consecutive defeats? Their losing streak began with a loss to Strasbourg in the Conference League. In the last Premier League round, the Eagles couldn't overcome Manchester United. On Tuesday, they face a trip to Burnley at Turf Moor. The Clarets are in an even worse position, having lost four in a row. Which team has a better chance of breaking their losing streak? We'll provide an insightful prediction in our analysis.

Head-to-Head

📊 Burnley have been unable to defeat Crystal Palace in the Premier League for over four years. Their last victory came in 2021 with a 3-0 scoreline. The subsequent four encounters ended with two draws and two wins for the Eagles. In 4 out of these 5 matches, the total goals exceeded 2.5.

Burnley Team Overview

Scott Parker's team is becoming increasingly entrenched in the relegation zone after their defeat to Chelsea (0-2). This loss marked their third consecutive Premier League setback. Burnley are not involved in any other competitions, as their League Cup journey ended in September with a defeat to Cardiff from the Championship (1-2). They are just one point away from the crucial 17th place in the league. However, three of Burnley's next four opponents are from the lower half of the table, promising intense battles to climb out of the basement.

Yet, judging by their recent Premier League match against Brentford (1-3), Parker's side appear unprepared to compete even for a spot in the lower half of the standings. Their trip to the Brentford Community Stadium was notably unsuccessful. While the Clarets nearly matched possession (48% to 52%), they were far less dynamic in attack, registering just 0.94 xG from seven shots compared to the hosts' 3.16 xG from 14 attempts.

Crystal Palace Team Overview

Crystal Palace's losing streak hasn't reached Burnley's level yet, but there are concerns about a potential looming crisis. Although the Eagles marked their return from the international break with a victory over Wolverhampton (2-0), they faltered in their next two outings. First, they fell short against Strasbourg in the Conference League (1-2). Then, they were defeated by Manchester United in the Premier League (1-2). Admittedly, the level of opposition increased with each game. However, even against Wolves, Oliver Glasner's side faced challenges, conceding 1.28 expected goals while managing 1.27 themselves.

The clash with Man United at Selhurst Park was quite competitive, despite ending in a 1-2 defeat. The Eagles managed to take the lead first, albeit with some difficulty, from the penalty spot. Jean-Philippe Mateta had to retake his penalty in the first half. But shortly after halftime, between the 54th and 63rd minutes, the visitors struck twice. Despite both teams having an equal number of shots (14 each) and similar expected goals (2.03 xG for Palace versus 2.05 xG for the Red Devils), the Eagles couldn't restore parity.

Latest news

Burnley

🎙 Burnley's head coach commented on the defeat to Brentford in their latest Premier League fixture. "Summing up the game, I can say we knew how challenging this match would be. They've secured significant results against strong teams competing in European competitions. So, we understood the task ahead. We can accept defeats in this division, but I think the disappointment and pain come in the final stages," said Scott Parker.

❌ In Burnley's injury list are Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni, and Connor Roberts. However, the Clarets' medical team deserves praise, as the list of injured players hasn't grown for quite some time.

Crystal Palace

📝 According to media reports, contract negotiations for Crystal Palace's top scorer Jean-Philippe Mateta have hit a stalemate. The forward has made a strong start to the current season and earned his first call-up to the French national team. His current deal runs until 2027, but clubs from other countries, including Atalanta (Serie A), have already shown interest. These rumors have displeased the Eagles' head coach, who has previously criticized the club's management for a passive summer transfer window. Ahead of the winter transfer window, Oliver Glasner stated: "If you're playing in European competitions for the first time in your history, you should invest, not save. I think January is too late for transfers. We will have played more than 50% of our matches. Everything was clear, and I said nothing, but today, I think it's time to talk about how we missed the chance to have a more successful season back in the summer."

❌ In Sunday's match against Manchester United, Ismaïla Sarr was forced off due to an injury. According to Oliver Glasner, the forward's ankle was severely swollen after a collision with a United player. The Senegalese forward could miss several games. Otherwise, Crystal Palace's injury list remains unchanged, with Caleb Kporha, Chadi Riad, Cheick Doucouré, and Born Sosa still sidelined.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Thomas Kirk. This season, he has overseen nine Championship games, averaging 4.1 yellow cards per match. Both teams' stats are fairly similar. In Crystal Palace's last five matches, an average of 4.4 yellow cards were issued, while Burnley's games saw 3.8. These figures aren't extreme, but the level of competitiveness in their individual matches is quite high. Notably, in 3 out of their last 4 head-to-head encounters, at least four yellow cards were shown. We anticipate that on Tuesday at Turf Moor, the total number of yellow cards will exceed 3.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Despite sitting ninth in the table, Crystal Palace boast one of the Premier League's best defensive records, ranking in the top three for fewest goals conceded. However, they struggle with scoring efficiency, netting only slightly more than Burnley—17 goals to Burnley's 15 over 13 matches. It's worth noting that Burnley's home games rarely feature high-scoring affairs, with no more than three goals scored in their last six consecutive matches. Considering the visitors' solid defense, we believe that the total goals will be under 2.5 in the upcoming game.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Oliver Glasner favors a counter-attacking style of play, often employing formations like 3-4-2-1 and 3-4-3. Their attacks rely more on central playmakers rather than wing play, which affects the number of set pieces from corner flags. Crystal Palace rank fourth from the bottom in the Premier League for average corners per game (3.85), and Burnley are at the very bottom (2.85). We expect a low number of corners in the upcoming match. Our prediction: total corners will be under 10.5.

Crystal Palace, a recent member of the Premier League's top five, have been experiencing fluctuations due to the tight standings in the table under Oliver Glasner's management. A win in their upcoming match could propel the "Eagles" back into contention for elite European tournaments. Although this international season hasn't been favorable for the Londoners, they are expected to secure points against a former lower-tier English side. Burnley haven't tasted success against Palace in over four years in their head-to-head encounters, and we anticipate that Tuesday's clash at Turf Moor won't change that dynamic. Editor's choice: Crystal Palace win. Predicted scoreline – 1-0 in favor of the visitors.