Monchengladbach vs St Pauli Prediction 3 December 2025

🔊 A thrilling cup night awaits at Borussia-Park as Mönchengladbach host St. Pauli in the round of 16, a rematch that remains fresh in the minds of both clubs. On November 1st in Hamburg, Borussia had no trouble dismantling the "Pirates" with a 4-0 victory, taking all three points and leaving their opponents with no answers. Now, St. Pauli travel with the intent to prove that the rout was a fluke, not a verdict. However, Gladbach are doubly dangerous at home: they play aggressively, move swiftly, and confidently exploit space. Given the recent history between these sides, the match promises tension, emotions, and an attempt at revenge that will either reignite intrigue or once again highlight the gulf in class.

Head-to-Head

The last official match between the teams took place on 01 November 2025 and ended in a 0-4 defeat. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team – St. Pauli):

• possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
• corners: 8 vs 1;
• fouls: 11 vs 8;
• yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
• shots on target: 4 vs 11.

📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Borussia Mönchengladbach and St. Pauli:

• 4 matches played;
• home victories – 3, away victories – 0, draws – 1;
• goals scored – 11 to 2;
• average goals in the 1st half – 1.5, in the 2nd half – 1.75;
• average total goals per match – 3.25.

Borussia M'gladbach Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on during the 12th round of the Bundesliga, featuring Borussia Mönchengladbach as the hosts and Leipzig as the visitors. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.

Here are the match statistics (Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Leipzig):

• possession: 41% vs 59%;
• corners: 5 vs 6;
• fouls: 9 vs 9;
• yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
• shots on target: 0 vs 4.

🏆 Borussia are heading into the match in their best form of the season. In the previous cup round, the Foals convincingly dispatched Karlsruhe with a 3-1 victory, thanks to goals from Syuto Matino, Nico Elvedi, and Haris Tabakovic. At that time, it was only their second win of the season, following a hard-fought away triumph over Delmenhorst in the first round (3-2), while in the Bundesliga, Gladbach had yet to secure a win.

⚫ However, the victory over Karlsruhe marked a turning point. After that, Gladbach found their stride: they thrashed St. Pauli in Hamburg (4-0), then confidently defeated Cologne at home (3-1) — a series of performances that convinced management to sign Eugen Polanski on a permanent deal until the summer of 2028. The team continued to build momentum, dismantling Heidenheim (3-0) away and drawing with Leipzig (0-0) last Friday, showcasing mature football. Gladbach now appear composed, aggressive, and confident, entering the match as clear favorites.

St. Pauli Team Overview

The visitors played their last official match on during the 12th round of the Bundesliga (home team – Bayern, away team – St. Pauli). The match ended with a 3-1 scoreline.

Here are the game stats (St. Pauli vs Bayern):

• possession: 19% vs 81%;
• corner kicks: 2 vs 10;
• fouls: 8 vs 5;
• yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
• shots on target: 1 vs 3.

🏆 St. Pauli continue their fight for survival this season, but their form leaves much to be desired. In the German Cup, the "Pirates" managed to overcome Hoffenheim in a dramatic encounter at the Millerntor Stadium: defender Hauke Wahl opened the scoring in the first minute, the visitors equalized in the second half, and the match went into extra time. Only in the penalty shootout did Alexander Blessin's team prove more accurate, winning 8-7.

🟤 However, in the Bundesliga, the team's situation is dire. After a promising start with two wins and a draw in their first three matches, St. Pauli have suffered nine consecutive defeats, setting a club record for futility. Last weekend in Munich, they nearly secured a point: after taking an early lead in the sixth minute, they conceded three goals and lost 3-1. Currently, the "Pirates" sit 17th, second from bottom, and will be clear underdogs in their away match against a confident Gladbach.

Latest news

Borussia M'gladbach

🎙 Eugen Polanski reflected on the match against Leipzig: "We're happy to take a point against Leipzig. Of course, we would have liked to win this match, but considering we were up against the second team in the standings, we can definitely be pleased with both our performance and how we conducted ourselves. We knew we had to put in even more effort compared to recent games. This was necessary due to the quality of our opponent. Defensively, we allowed them very few chances. In possession, we had some good spells, but often struggled to find the right positions. Towards the end, Leipzig increased the pressure again, and we were also fortunate with a shot hitting the post. But the team earned this result through very hard work."

❌ The 'Foals' face some absences ahead of the encounter: Jonas Omlin, Fabio Chiarodia, Nathan Ngoumou, Philipp Sander, and Jan Olschowsky will not play. Jens Castrop's participation is doubtful as his condition is still being assessed.

St. Pauli

🎙 Head coach Alexander Blessin after the match against Bayern: "It's truly frustrating when you think about how much we invested and how close we were to victory. Last season, we were also on the verge of winning. The game had everything. We played really well, fought hard, and aside from hitting the post three times, we barely allowed any chances at our end. We had several good counter-attacks and even had a chance to make it 2-1. The guys threw themselves into the battle, and it was great to see them encouraging each other. As the game went on, it felt like we could achieve something, so we're very disappointed to have been punished in added time. We talked about small steps, but beyond today's result, this was a big step. We played well, and many things went right. To achieve something here [in Munich], you need a perfect day. The guys deserved more because they gave it their all. We can't afford to let up even a bit right now. There's a midweek game ahead, and we'll see how fresh they are."

❌ Ahead of the match, St. Pauli face significant personnel issues. David Nemeth remains out, and the participation of Adam Dzwigala, Andreas Untondji, and Matias Pereira Lage is still in doubt, further complicating the team's situation before their trip to Mönchengladbach.

Prediction for the 1st half

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Number of encounters – 4;
• First-half wins for the home team – 1; for the away team – 0; draws – 0;
• Average first-half total: 1.5;
• Today's home team averages 1.25 goals, while the visitors average 0.25.

First-Half Stats: Borussia Mönchengladbach (home) vs St. Pauli (away)

• Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
• Wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
• Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
• Draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
• Average goals scored: 1 vs 0;
• Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

• Wins: 4 vs 1;
• Losses: 2 vs 6;
• Draws: 4 vs 3;
• Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored – 0.6, conceded – 0.7) vs 1.2 (scored – 0.3, conceded – 0.9).

• St. Pauli have conceded in the first half of their last 5 away matches.

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Number of encounters – 4;
• Home wins – 3, Away wins – 0, Draws – 1.

• St. Pauli have lost 9 of their last 10 matches.
• St. Pauli have suffered defeat in their last 5 away games.

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Today's home team averages 2.75 goals, while the away team averages 0.5;
• The average total goals in these encounters is 3.25;
• Both teams have scored: overall - 2 times; at the home team's ground - 0 times.

Statistics: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli

• Average tournament total: 4.5 vs 2;
• Average goals scored: 3 vs 1;
• Average first-half total: 1.5 vs 0.5;
• Average second-half total: 1.5 vs 0.5;
• Borussia Mönchengladbach: Average home total in the tournament - 3;
• St. Pauli: Average away total in the tournament - 0;
• Last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.67) vs 0.5 (away - 0.4).

• Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 7 matches.

Corners Prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach: Statistics

• Season: Average tournament total - 9; at home - 10;
• Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.2; at home - 4.33.

St. Pauli: Statistics

• Season: Average tournament total - 16, away - 24;
• Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.8; away - 2.4.

• St. Pauli have taken fewer than 5.5 corners away in 10 of their last 11 matches.

Cards Prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach: Statistics

• Season: Average tournament total - 0.5; at home - 1;
• Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.6; at home - 1.33.

St. Pauli: Statistics

• Season: Average tournament total - 3, away - 0;
• Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.2; away - 1.4.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Number of encounters – 4;
• Both teams have scored overall - 2 times;
• At the home team's ground - 0 times.

Gladbach approach the match in excellent form: the team performs confidently both at home and away, riding a winning streak and having thrashed St. Pauli just a month ago. Their cup successes further underscore the team's resilience – the "Foals" know how to secure victory even in challenging situations.

St. Pauli are in crisis: the club sits 17th in the league, suffering a string of defeats and facing serious personnel issues, including doubts over the participation of key players. Both psychologically and in terms of resources, the "Pirates" will find it extremely difficult to challenge Gladbach. Gladbach are clear favorites for this encounter, especially on their home turf where they play with confidence and aggression. Our prediction: Borussia Mönchengladbach win. We anticipate another dominant performance – 3-0.