Dortmund vs Leverkusen Prediction 3 December 2025

🔊 On Tuesday, Signal Iduna Park hosts the marquee matchup of the German Cup Round of 16: Borussia Dortmund welcome Bayer Leverkusen. The teams clashed just a few days ago in the Bundesliga, where the Black and Yellows snatched a 2-1 victory at the BayArena. Now, Leverkusen arrive eager for revenge, while Dortmund aim to assert their dominance and progress further in the Cup. The match promises to be fast-paced, intense, and emotionally charged, with high stakes for both sides.

Head-to-Head

The last official match between the teams took place on 30 November 2025 and ended with a score of 1-2. Let's look at the comparative statistics from that encounter (Bayer were the home side):

• possession: 63% vs 37%;
• corners: 10 vs 3;
• fouls: 7 vs 9;
• yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
• shots on target: 4 vs 4.

📊 Analytical review of previous official games between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen:

• 37 matches played;
• home wins – 19, away wins – 8, draws – 10;
• goals scored (home/away) – 74 against 50;
• average total goals per match – 3.35.

Borussia Dortmund Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on during the 12th round of the Bundesliga, with Bayer hosting Borussia Dortmund. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

Here are the game statistics (Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer):

• possession percentage: 37% vs 63%;
• corner kicks: 3 vs 10;
• fouls: 9 vs 7;
• yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
• shots on target: 4 vs 4.

🏆 Borussia Dortmund approach the match following an intense and challenging period. In the previous round of the DFB-Pokal, Niko Kovac's side secured their spot in the Round of 16 with a hard-fought away victory against Eintracht in Frankfurt. After an early goal from the hosts, Julian Brandt leveled the score in the second half, and Dortmund proved more accurate in the penalty shootout, winning 4-2.

🟡 Since then, the team have played two Champions League matches: a heavy defeat in England against Manchester City (1-4) and a commanding home victory over Villarreal (4-0). In the Bundesliga, Dortmund have twice let victories slip away—drawing in Hamburg (1-1) and at home against Stuttgart (3-3). Last Saturday, they managed to hold on for a win in Leverkusen (2-1), despite conceding a late goal, thanks to strikes from Aaron Anselmino and Karim Adeyemi. Currently, Dortmund are showing resilience, adept at handling tense matches, and head into the cup clash with valuable experience in overcoming tough situations.

Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview

The visitors played their last official match on during the 12th round of the Bundesliga, where Bayer hosted Borussia Dortmund. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-2.

Here are the match statistics (Bayer vs Borussia Dortmund):

• possession: 63% vs 37%;
• corner kicks: 10 vs 3;
• fouls: 7 vs 9;
• yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
• shots on target: 4 vs 4.

🏆 Bayer approached their clash with Dortmund after a demanding and intense period. In the previous round of the Cup, the "Pharmacists" faced an away match against one of the Second Bundesliga leaders, Paderborn. After an hour of play, the score remained goalless, but a red card for the hosts gave Leverkusen the advantage: Alejandro Grimaldo put his team ahead. In the last minute of regular time, Paderborn equalized, sending the match into extra time. The hosts took the lead and were close to a stunning upset. However, goals from Kwansa, Maza, and Garcia secured Bayer's victory (4-2).

🔴 Following that, Kasper Hjulmand's squad experienced a series of contrasting matches: a heavy defeat in Munich (0-3), then an away win over Benfica in the Champions League (1-0), a home demolition of Heidenheim (6-0), and a victory against Wolfsburg (3-1). In the Champions League again, Leverkusen pulled off a sensational win against Manchester City away (2-0), but last Saturday in the Bundesliga, they ran out of steam against Dortmund at the "BayArena" (1-2). The team has shown character and resilience in tough matches, but the tight schedule and previous exertions may have affected their freshness ahead of the cup tie.

Latest news

Borussia Dortmund

🎙 Nico Kovac's reaction after the victory in Leverkusen in the recent 12th round: "The main thing is that we deserved the win, even though we should have wrapped up the game earlier. We had excellent chances to score a third goal. It was hard work, we knew that, and the team handled it brilliantly from the start. In the first half, we could have linked up better with our two forwards. In my opinion, we weren't aggressive enough. Then, in the second half, we stepped it up. Here in Leverkusen, you need to control the game very well. It's a compliment, I like it, and that's exactly the kind of football we need. We have to win matches, and today we did that against a really strong opponent. We defended very well, and I'm very proud of that."

❌ Niklas Süle will not be available for the game. Maximilian Bayer and Felix Nmecha remain doubtful.

Bayer Leverkusen

🎙 Kasper Hjulmand shared his thoughts after the match against Dortmund: "We're disappointed. Not so much with our play, but with the final result. It was an evenly matched game, and the smallest details decided the outcome."

❌ Just like over the weekend, Arthur, Janis Blaswich, Ezequiel Fernandez, Ezequiel Palacios, Lucas Vazquez, and Axel Tape will miss the encounter.

Prediction for the 1st half

First Half Statistics: Borussia Dortmund (home) vs Bayer Leverkusen (away)

• matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 2;
• wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
• losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
• draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
• average goals scored: 0 vs 0.5;
• average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

• wins: 4 vs 5;
• losses: 3 vs 3;
• draws: 3 vs 2;
• average first-half total: 1.1 (scored – 0.6, conceded – 0.5) vs 2.3 (scored – 1.4, conceded – 0.9).

• Borussia Dortmund score in the first half in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head encounters with Bayer Leverkusen.
• Borussia Dortmund score in the first half at home in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with Bayer Leverkusen.
• Borussia Dortmund score in the first half at home in 13 of their last 14 matches.

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 37;
• Home wins – 19, Away wins – 8, Draws – 10.

• Bayer cover a +1.5 spread away in 15 of their last 16 matches.
• Bayer cover a +1.5 spread in 5 consecutive matches (DFB-Pokal).

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches

• Average goals scored by home team - 2, away team - 1.35;
• Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.35;
• Both teams scored: overall - 23 times; at home team's ground - 8 times.

• Borussia Dortmund score under 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters.

Corners Prediction

Borussia Dortmund: Statistics

• Season: average total in tournament - 6; at home - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; at home - 7.33.

Bayer: Statistics

• Season: average total in tournament - 5, away - 5;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 4.3; away - 2.83.

• Borussia Dortmund deliver fewer than 6.5 corners in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches.
• Borussia Dortmund deliver fewer than 6.5 corners at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters.
• Borussia Dortmund deliver fewer than 6.5 corners in 7 consecutive matches.

Cards Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches

• Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.76 (1.38 for the home team and 1.38 for the away team);
• Average total yellow cards at home ground - 2.39 (0.83 for the home team and 1.56 for the away team).

Borussia Dortmund: Statistics

• Season: average total in tournament - 2; at home - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; at home - 1.33.

Bayer: Statistics

• Season: average total in tournament - 2, away - 2;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; away - 2.17.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 37;
• Both teams scored overall - 23 times;
• At home team's ground - 8 times.

• Borussia Dortmund score and concede in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches.

Dortmund head into the match in strong form: the team maintains their pace in a packed schedule, handles pressure well, and secures wins in tight contests, as they demonstrated against Leverkusen last week. Their cup experience with Eintracht also showcased their resilience and ability to clinch victories even under challenging conditions.

Leverkusen, despite impressive wins in the Champions League and strong cup performances, have been feeling the strain and couldn't muster the strength to overcome Dortmund last Saturday. The recent head-to-head history also tips the scales in favor of the "Black and Yellows," especially on home turf. Dortmund are viewed as the favorites for this cup clash, with their experience in navigating tough matches and psychological edge. Our prediction: both teams to score (yes), considering this outcome has occurred in the last five consecutive head-to-head meetings between these clubs. It's possible the scoreline could mirror Saturday's, with Borussia claiming another victory in regular time and advancing to the quarter-finals – 2-1.