Newcastle vs Tottenham Prediction: Will EFL Cup Holders Beat Spurs?
Posted Monday, December 01, 2025 by 7M Sport

[(Newcastle United F.C.) Strength]:
1. Newcastle United F.C. are currently in excellent form. After a commanding 4-1 away win against Everton in the previous round, the team secured two consecutive victories in the league. Returning home for this match, they are determined to extend their winning streak and leverage home advantage to push for a higher position in the standings.
2. Newcastle United F.C.'s recent league performance has improved, with consecutive wins over Everton and Manchester City, securing a two-match winning streak. Their morale is boosted after a significant 4-1 victory in the last round.
3. Newcastle United F.C. maintained a stable home record in the league this season, securing four wins and two losses so far, with a win rate exceeding 60%. Their home ground is undoubtedly a key venue for grabbing points.
4. Newcastle United F.C. have shown stable offensive performance recently, scoring 11 goals in their last six league matches, averaging nearly two goals per game, indicating high offensive efficiency.
5. Newcastle United F.C. and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. met once this season in the EFL Cup, with Newcastle securing a 2-0 victory at home. They have now won four consecutive matches against Tottenham across all competitions.
6. Newcastle United F.C. have 5 wins and 1 push in the last 6 home games across all competitions, with a win rate of 60% in the last 10 home matches in AH.
[(Newcastle United F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Newcastle United F.C. goalkeeper Nick Pope and defenders Harrison Ashby, Kieran Trippier, and Sven Botman, who remain sidelined. Center striker Yoane Wissa is also still unavailable for this match.
2. Newcastle United F.C.'s defensive stability is relatively poor, conceding 11 goals in their last six league matches. This season, they have averaged over one goal conceded per game at home in the league.
[(Tottenham Hotspur F.C.) Strength]:
1. Tottenham Hotspur F.C. performed better away than at home in the league this season, with four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six away matches, achieving a win rate of over 60%.
2. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s offensive performance has been decent recently, scoring 11 goals in their last six matches across all competitions, averaging nearly two goals per game.
[(Tottenham Hotspur F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Tottenham Hotspur F.C. are in poor form recently, suffering three consecutive losses across all competitions. Severe injury issues have led to a continued decline in the team's results. Facing a particularly tough away match against Newcastle United F.C. in this round, the team are under immense psychological pressure, which may affect their motivation and performance.
2. Tottenham Hotspur F.C. still have a number of injured players, including James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Cristian Romero, and Yves Bissouma, among other regular starters who continue to be absent.
3. Tottenham Hotspur F.C. suffered two consecutive losses in the league, with their league ranking dropping to 12th. In their last six league matches, they have managed only one win, one draw, and four losses.
4. Tottenham Hotspur F.C. had significant defensive issues recently, conceding as many as 11 goals in their last three matches, averaging over three goals conceded per game.
5. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s win rate against Newcastle United F.C. in recent seasons has been disappointingly low, losing all of their last four encounters. They were eliminated by Newcastle in the first round of the EFL Cup this season.
6. Tottenham Hotspur F.C. lost the last 3 games across all competitions and 4 of the last 5 away matches in AH.
[Tips]:
Although Newcastle United F.C.'s ranking is slightly lower than Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s, their recent form is clearly superior, especially with their extremely strong home performances.
The team boast in-form attackers like Nick Woltemade and Harvey Barnes, while midfielder Bruno Guimaraes excels in organizing play.
Historically, Newcastle hold a significant psychological advantage when facing Tottenham at home.
While Tottenham have considerable quality, their recent losing streak has left morale low, with noticeable issues in both attack and defense.
The absence of starting midfielders like James Maddison further weakens the team, and their lack of defensive stability away from home is a major concern.
Overall, Newcastle have a high likelihood of securing a home victory.
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Newcastle United F.C. (-0.5/1)
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