Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction 2 December 2025

🔈 Can Iñigo Pérez's side deliver a performance that delights their fans in the upcoming La Liga clash? The final match of the 14th round will see the "Campo de Vallecas" hosting a head-to-head encounter between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia. Both clubs have been underwhelming in the early stages of the season, finding themselves in the lower half of the standings. However, bookmakers are factoring in the quality of football shown by each team and are giving the home side a twofold advantage. 

Head-to-Head

📊 Over the last 9 head-to-head encounters, Valencia have celebrated victory just once, during the 2023/24 La Liga season (1-0). Last season, the "Bees" triumphed at Mestalla (1-0) and settled for a draw at Campo de Vallecas. It's important to note that matches between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia are traditionally marked by a high degree of caution. The average goals scored by each side in their previous 10 meetings stand at 0.9 for Rayo Vallecano and 0.9 for Valencia.

Rayo Vallecano Team Overview

🔴 The capital side hasn't been as effective this season compared to last. Iñigo Pérez's pressing model is no longer groundbreaking, and most teams in the league have adapted to competing against Rayo Vallecano. Currently, the "Bees" sit 13th in the standings, just five points shy of the European competition spots. It's crucial to note that "Campo de Vallecas" remains a fortress for the local club – they've suffered only one home defeat in eight matches across all competitions this season.

⚪ Rayo Vallecano are winless in their last three matches across all competitions. Last weekend, Iñigo Pérez's squad settled for a goalless draw with the struggling Real Oviedo (0-0). This match highlighted the main issue for the capital club – poor finishing, compounded by inefficiency in ball distribution in the opponent's half. The expected goals ratio was 1.74 to 0.43 in favor of the "Bees." Midweek, Iñigo Pérez's team suffered a setback in their European clash against Slovan (1-2). Now, the Spanish club faces a tough challenge to recover and deliver their best performance against Valencia.

Valencia Team Overview

🟠 The "Bats" are eager to distance themselves from the relegation zone in the upcoming rounds. Currently, Carlos Corberan's squad sits in 16th place in the standings, with 13 points to their name. It's crucial to note Valencia's dismal away performance — just 2 points from 6 matches, the worst record in the league. At times, it seems that the players from this namesake city struggle more with mental challenges than tactical issues. A lack of cohesion in their defensive line also contributes to their inconsistent results, as they concede around 1.62 goals per game.

📌 Last weekend, Valencia secured a vital victory in the "Valencian derby" with a 1-0 win. Hugo Duro's 79th-minute goal remained the sole score of the match. The 26-year-old Spanish forward now has 6 goals in 13 La Liga appearances this season. In terms of gameplay, the "Bats" deserved this triumph. They consistently sought to create chances through wing play and active midfield contributions. A glance at the xG metrics clearly illustrates the home side's solid advantage: 1.49 compared to 0.72.

Latest news

Rayo Vallecano

🎤 Following the defeat to Slovan Bratislava, Iñigo Pérez pinpointed the reasons his team couldn't extend their unbeaten run in the Conference League: "I completely agree with you that we were far from our best. Our performance was anything but a well-oiled machine. This was especially true in the first half of the first half, when we almost conceded and struggled to control the ball. During halftime, I tried to convince my players of the need to showcase their individual qualities and increase their intensity. Did it yield results? As we can see, it did not. A loss of concentration and a series of individual errors became the nails in our coffin."

❌ Rayo Vallecano's injury list includes Óscar Trejo (muscle injury), Abdul Mumin (knee injury), Diego Méndez (leg injury), and Pedro Díaz (leg injury). Due to suspensions, they cannot count on the support of Pathé Ciss and Isi Palazón.

Valencia

🎤 Ahead of the clash with Rayo Vallecano, Carlos Corberan spoke to the press and addressed several key questions: “We're working on improving our dynamics, our play, the overall impression we leave, and our results. Our goal is to find a path that keeps us competitive and stick to it as long as possible. We are constantly evolving. We don't want to be limited by whether we're playing away or at the Mestalla. Our mindset should remain consistent. We step onto the pitch to showcase our best because that's how we prove we're a competitive team. In attack, they frequently utilize the wings; set pieces will be crucial, and it's essential to handle them well. We've prepared for this and are hoping for a strong performance.”

❌ In Valencia's infirmary are Eray Cömert (leg injury), Mouctar Diakhaby (hamstring injury), and Largie Ramazani (muscle injury). Additionally, Thierry Correia's fitness remains in question.

⚽ Goal Prediction

⚽ Goal Prediction

As previously noted, head-to-head encounters between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia are traditionally filled with emotion but tend to be low-scoring affairs. In their last five meetings, no more than two goals have been scored. Both clubs have been lackluster in attack, averaging just 0.9 goals per game. The editorial pick is under 2.5 total goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Let's focus on the relatively high average number of corners recorded in the teams' head-to-head matchups—around 10.6 per game. This trend is mirrored in their current season performances: Rayo Vallecano averages 11.5, while Valencia averages 9.7 corners per match. Notably, in 8 out of the last 10 encounters involving the "Bees," there have been at least 11 corner kicks. The editorial pick is over 9.5 total corners.

When setting the key odds, it's crucial to consider Valencia's away performance this season (no wins and two draws in six matches), as well as their head-to-head history (one win in the last nine encounters for the "Los Che"). Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano have suffered just one defeat at home across all competitions this season. Our editorial team predicts a final score of 1-0, with the key pick being a Rayo Vallecano victory.