Girona vs Real Madrid Prediction 1 December 2025

🔈 Can the "Red and Whites" become an insurmountable obstacle for Real Madrid? The Sunday evening slot in La Liga features a clash between Girona and Los Blancos—a matchup that has captivated countless neutral football fans over the past couple of years. However, this season the clubs are pursuing entirely different objectives: Michel's squad aims to secure their place in Spain's top flight, while Xabi Alonso's men are focused on bringing the championship title back to the Santiago Bernabéu. Despite the away game status, bookmakers are nearly certain of a victory for the Galacticos, giving the visitors fivefold odds in their favor.

Head-to-Head

📊 In the last four head-to-head encounters, Los Blancos have consistently defeated the Red and Whites. Moreover, during this stretch, Michel's side has failed to find the back of the net. Girona's previous success against Real Madrid dates back to the 2022/23 La Liga season, when Valentin Castellanos' four-goal performance decided the match with a 4-2 scoreline. Let's take a look at the average scoring record in their entire head-to-head history: Girona have 3 wins, 1 draw, and Real Madrid have claimed victory 8 times.

Girona Team Overview

⚪ The "Red and Whites" have slightly improved their play in recent rounds, losing only once in their last four matches. This has allowed the club to climb off the very bottom of the league table and settle at 18th place. However, a fundamental issue preventing Girona from finding consistency is their mediocre defensive line. On average, Girona concede about 1.92 goals per game, which is the worst record in the league. Despite this, Michel's side are a threat at "Montilivi" — they remain unbeaten in their last four home games.

🔴 The absence of a European campaign hasn't significantly benefited Girona this season — the team consistently prepares on a weekly cycle but remains embroiled in the relegation battle. Nonetheless, in the last round of La Liga, Girona managed to take points off Real Betis (1-1). The only goal for Girona was scored by Vladyslav Vanat, marking his fourth goal across all competitions this season. Fans of the club hope that the 23-year-old Ukrainian can have a similar impact on results as his compatriot Artem Dovbyk once did.

Real Madrid Team Overview

⚪ Anything short of winning the national championship will be seen as a failure for Los Blancos this season. Over the offseason, the club's management went all out to address the squad's weak spots by acquiring young and skilled players. Alongside these changes, Xabi Alonso's arrival has brought a shift in philosophy that seems to align well with the Galácticos' DNA. Currently, the Madrid club sits atop the league table with 32 points.

📌 Real Madrid have been most effective on the road this season, securing 14 points from 7 away games. However, in their last La Liga outing, Los Blancos dropped crucial points in a 2-2 draw against Elche. Alonso's squad didn't appear cohesive, sparking rumors of a divide between those who fully support the head coach and those calling for a change at the helm. Midweek, the Galácticos were involved in a thrilling encounter, narrowly clinching a victory against Olympiacos (4-3). This match once again highlighted several ongoing issues for Real, particularly noticeable during ball distribution.

Latest news

Girona

🎤 Ahead of the crucial clash against Real Madrid, Michel shared his expectations and goals for the game: "We need to give it 200 percent. It's very challenging, but we'll be there with our supporters. I want the best atmosphere at Montilivi. It's not a final, but we need the points. Everyone knows how Real play, what their strengths are. They're tough to stop, with world-class players. We have to deliver an outstanding performance in both defense and attack. They've scored many times against opponents, and they have exceptional players. Among many other strengths, Real Madrid always respects their opponents, no matter who they are. Our young players have vibrant personalities and remain calm. They won't feel pressure against an opponent like tomorrow's. Securing three points would be a significant step for us."

❌ Among Girona's unavailable players for the upcoming match are Ricardo Artero (ankle injury), Daley Blind (back injury), Juan Carlos (knee injury), Vladislav Krapivtsov (Achilles injury), Thomas Lemar (leg injury), David Lopez (hamstring injury), Portu (knee injury), Cristian Stuani (calf injury), and Donny van de Beek (Achilles injury).

Real Madrid

🎤 Recently, Xabi Alonso spoke to the media to assess his team's performance in their clash with Olympiacos (4-3): "It was crucial to secure the win and break the cycle we were in. To feel that sense of victory again. The three points are vital for our push to break into the top eight. It was a hard-fought victory in a tense battle, but it was necessary. In the Champions League, every team has their moments. I was very pleased with our team: despite trailing 0-1, we didn't panic. We turned things around, and in the second half, both sides had more opportunities. We are all united. We know the season promises to be long and very intense, with various moments along the way. Unity is fundamental, trust in each other. There will be times when we must know how to persevere and not fall apart. Today's win is a step forward."

❌ In the capital club's injury list are David Alaba (muscle injury), Dani Carvajal (knee injury), Éder Militão (groin injury), and Dean Heysen (muscle injury). The participation of Franco Mastantuono (groin injury) and Antonio Rüdiger (thigh injury) remains doubtful for the match.

⚽ Goal Prediction

⚽ Goal Prediction

The head-to-head clashes between these teams are traditionally marked by a significant number of goal-scoring opportunities and goals — in 8 out of the last 10 encounters, at least 3 goals were scored. It's crucial to note the average goal-scoring rate of each team in the current La Liga season: Girona averages 2.8 goals, while Real Madrid averages 3.1. Given these trends, a bet on over 3 goals seems reasonable.

🚩 Corner Prediction

On average, Real Madrid earns about 6.2 corner kicks per game. Their skillful wing play and frequent overlaps by the full-backs contribute to a high number of corners each match. It's also noteworthy that Girona concedes around 6.2 corners per game. Considering these factors, betting on Real Madrid's individual total corners over 5.5 appears to be a sound choice.

Head-to-head clashes between the "Whites and Reds" and the "Whites" are traditionally thrilling and high-scoring, as current statistical trends suggest. Our editorial team believes that the defensive issues both clubs face will likely fuel a goal fest. A final score of 1-3 seems quite possible. The key bet is on total over 3 goals scored.