Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo Prediction 30 November 2025

🔈 What are the odds of the "Carbayones" breaking the winning streak of the "Colchoneros" in their upcoming Saturday clash? The evening slot in the Saturday schedule of La Liga features a matchup between Atletico Madrid and Real Oviedo at the Wanda Metropolitano. It's fair to say that Luis Carrión's squad is currently putting on the least convincing performances in the league, making it challenging to succeed at the highly atmospheric Madrid venue. Bookmakers seem to agree, giving Diego Simeone's side a tenfold advantage.

Head-to-Head

📊 Interestingly, in the 2022/23 season, the clubs faced each other in the Round of 32 of the Copa del Rey. On that occasion, the "Colchoneros" emerged victorious at the "Nuevo Carlos Tartiere" with a 2-0 win, thanks to goals from Marcos Llorente and Pablo Barrios. Notably, Real Oviedo's last away victory over Atlético Madrid dates back to the distant 1993/94 La Liga campaign, where they won 3-0. When looking at the average scoring over their last 10 head-to-head encounters, the "Indios" average 2 goals per game, while the "Carbayones" manage 1.2.

Atletico Madrid Team Overview

🔴 Atletico Madrid's current form is nothing short of exhilarating. The Rojiblancos are riding a six-match winning streak across all competitions. At present, Diego Simeone's squad sit in 4th place in the league standings, trailing the top spot by just four points. It's worth noting that the team has maintained its defensive prowess despite some tactical shifts—conceding only 0.85 goals per game, which is the best in the league. The Wanda Metropolitano has been a fortress for Atletico this season, with six wins and one draw in seven La Liga matches.

⚪ Earlier this week, Atletico faced a challenging European encounter against Inter Milan (2-1). It's crucial to highlight Diego Simeone's tactical flexibility, which allowed the Rojiblancos to deliver two distinct yet equally solid halves. Jose Maria Gimenez's winning goal in the 93rd minute was hardly undeserved, even with the limited number of clear scoring chances. Last weekend, Atletico successfully visited the Coliseum Alfonso Perez, securing a narrow victory against Getafe (1-0).

Real Oviedo Team Overview

🔵 The "Carbayones" continue to struggle, going winless in seven consecutive matches across all competitions. Currently, Luis Carrión's squad sits at the bottom of the table, trailing the safety of 17th place by just 2 points. The main issue for this La Liga newcomer remains their lack of creativity in the attacking phases, with only 0.54 goals per game—the worst record in the league. The coaching changes have yet to yield the desired results for the club's management, as Luis Carrión struggles to find balance within the lines and mold a competitive team suited for the challenges of Spain's top flight.

🟡 In their last La Liga outing, the Carbayones played to a goalless draw with Rayo Vallecano (0-0). It's worth noting that Real Oviedo were fortunate to add even a single point to their tally—Rayo failed to capitalize on Ilyas Chair's early second-half dismissal and missed a penalty in the 67th minute. Luis Carrión's pragmatic tactical approach aims for effective play during transitional phases, but the lack of understanding among players often leads to frequent turnovers and errant passes.

Latest news

Atletico Madrid

🎤 Following their midweek European triumph, Diego Simeone spoke with journalists, addressing several pressing questions: “We had a plan to engage in an intense match and work hard from the start. As you saw, many players tried to win the ball and launch counterattacks. In the second half, we relied on our wide players who were waiting for the chance to make a decisive impact, which they did. We achieved a result in a tough game; we knew how to withstand the most challenging moments when they dominated possession. But after a few minutes, the players relaxed, and the game changed from how it began. The goal came at a crucial time. We needed it because when a center-back scores, it's always a good thing. This goal will give us belief to keep working and trust in what we have, and that’s very positive.”

❌ Atlético Madrid's injury list includes Robin Le Normand (knee injury) and Marcos Llorente (muscle injury). The participation of Jan Oblak (leg injury) remains uncertain.

Real Oviedo

📰 In the last round of La Liga, a true legend of Spanish football, Santi Cazorla, made his return to the field. The 40-year-old shared his thoughts on his condition and the team's situation ahead of the 14th round of the championship: “I felt really good. It’s been two very long months without competition, but I worked hard to come back in the best shape possible. The feelings were better than expected, and I'm glad I could help the team. The first half was very good. We outplayed our opponent, and that's the path we need to follow. Until the sending off, we deserved three points. After that, we had to struggle, as is usually the case when you're down a player. We need a win as soon as possible, and hopefully, it will come at the 'Metropolitano'. We step onto the field without fear, knowing they are a great opponent, but we are convinced that if we play well, it will also be difficult for them to beat us.”

❌ In Oviedo's injury list are Javi Lopez (muscle injury) and Alvaro Lemos (knee injury). Additionally, Ilyas Chaira will be unavailable due to suspension.

⚽ Goal Prediction

⚽ Goal Prediction

In 4 out of Atlético Madrid's last 5 matches, there have been at least 3 goals scored. It's crucial to consider the high scoring rate of "Los Colchoneros" in the current La Liga season, averaging around 1.9 goals per game. At the same time, it's important to note that "Los Carbayones" concede an average of approximately 1.5 goals per game. Taking all statistical trends into account, we recommend the following bet – Atlético's individual total over 2 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

"Los Colchoneros" rank among the league leaders in average corners earned per game, with about 7.5. Meanwhile, "Los Carbayones" allow too many opportunities at their own end, conceding around 6.5 corner kicks per match to their opponents. The home-field advantage, along with the formidable attacking prowess of Diego Simeone's squad, will play a significant role. The editor's pick is – Atlético's individual total corners over 6.5.

Real Oviedo's players are undoubtedly working hard to improve their game, but securing a positive result at the Wanda Metropolitano will be extremely challenging. Atlético are arguably the most consistent team in the league at this stage of the season, with a well-established playing style and the ability to capitalize on their strengths. Our editorial team anticipates a final score of 3-0. The key bet is Atlético to win with a -1.5 handicap.