Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction 29 November 2025

🔈 Can Eduardo Coudet's team pose a serious challenge to the reigning national champions? One of the most intriguing fixtures of La Liga's 14th round is the clash between Barcelona and Alaves at the Camp Nou. In recent matches, the Blaugrana have managed to close the gap on league leaders Real Madrid, and this weekend, the Catalan club could potentially reclaim the top spot. Hansi Flick and his squad have an added motivation – to redeem themselves in front of their fans after a humiliating defeat at Stamford Bridge earlier in the week. Bookmakers heavily favor the home side, giving them a tenfold advantage.

Head-to-Head

📊 Alaves haven't tasted victory over Barcelona since the 2016/17 La Liga season. Back then, the "Glorious" managed to upset the odds at Camp Nou with a 2-1 win, thanks to standout performances from Deyverson and Ibai. Currently, Barcelona's unbeaten streak against the team from Vitoria-Gasteiz has stretched to 16 consecutive matches. Last season, Barca twice dashed Alaves fans' hopes with a 3-0 win at Mendizorrotza and a 1-0 triumph at Montjuïc.

Barcelona Team Overview

🔵 The "Blaugrana" are solely focused on defending their title in this season's La Liga. Currently, the Catalan club has closed in on Real Madrid, who sit atop the league standings, with just a one-point gap. Notably, Barcelona's performances at home have been exemplary, securing 18 points out of a possible 18—the best record in the league. Their scoring prowess is also impressive, averaging 2.77 goals per game (the top mark in the league), while conceding around 1.15. Advanced statistics indicate that Barcelona are on the right track.

🔴 A major disappointment for Barcelona fans was the heavy 0-3 defeat to Chelsea during the midweek Champions League Matchday 5 clash. Ahead of the encounter, it seemed the "Blaugrana" could be tactically flexible enough to prevent the "Blues" from dictating play. However, a lack of creativity in their attacking line led to Chelsea's total dominance throughout the match. A key battle was the personal duel between Lamine Yamal and Marc Cucurella—the defender remarkably kept the young star in check, effectively putting him in his pocket.

Deportivo Alaves Team Overview

🔵 The "Glorious" have slipped from their mid-table position after suffering back-to-back defeats in the national league. Over their last five La Liga matches, Alaves managed just one victory — a 2-1 win against Espanyol. Currently, the team from Vitoria-Gasteiz sits 14th in the standings, only four points clear of the relegation zone. Notably, the "Bean Destroyers" struggle with scoring, averaging just 0.85 goals per game. However, their defensive efficiency under Eduardo Coudet remains impressive, conceding only 0.92 goals per match — the third-best record in the league.

⚪ Last weekend, Alaves faced Celta (0-1) at the Mendizorrotza Stadium. To put it mildly, this encounter was lackluster and left unanswered questions about the future prospects and ambitions of both clubs. The "Glorious" managed only two shots on target over 90 minutes, with a total xG of just 0.67. Eduardo Coudet's tactical model heavily relies on the presence of key players and their physical condition. In his 4-4-2 formation, the Argentine coach demands maximum commitment and high intensity from his squad in various phases of play.

Latest news

Barcelona

🎤 Barcelona's head coach Hansi Flick commented on his team's recent 3-0 loss to Chelsea: "We missed the chance to score first in that great opportunity. Playing with a man down against a team like Chelsea was not easy. We fought hard, and I saw some positives, but we lost possession too often. That's all I can say. We lost easy balls and made simple inaccurate passes. We need to analyze all of this. I'm not sure how many minutes, but we played with ten men for a long time. Chelsea are very good with ball control. We must accept this but also stay positive. It's tough to break into the top eight, but we will keep trying."

❌ Barcelona's injury list still includes Gavi (knee injury) and Marc-André ter Stegen (back injury). Additionally, Fermín López sustained a groin injury following the recent European clash.

Deportivo Alaves

🎤 Alaves players are determined to give it their all in pursuit of a historic result at Camp Nou this coming Saturday. One of the defensive leaders, Nahuel Tenaglia, shared his thoughts: "The feeling and mentality are that we can beat anyone. We have to do our job and give 110%. We need to leave everything on the pitch and approach the game with a positive mindset. We know their pedigree, but we must step onto the field with confidence. We're a bit short on goals, and we're working on that. We don't concede much, but we need to improve our scoring. We play good football, but we need to find the net. We're lacking a bit of attacking momentum, but we're addressing that. Being a legend is a great honor. I love this city, its people, and the club, and I strive to repay them in kind."

❌ The participation of Brazilian Kalebe and Spaniard Toni Martinez in the upcoming away match remains doubtful due to injuries. Meanwhile, Facundo Garces is certain to miss out as he serves a suspension.

⚽ Goal Prediction

⚽ Goal Prediction

In each of Barcelona's last 10 matches, there have been at least 3 goals scored. It's important to consider the Blaugrana's average scoring rate in the current La Liga season, which stands at approximately 2.77 goals per game (the best in the league). Alaves' issues with game organization are likely to impact their defensive reliability as well as their attacking efficiency. We suggest the following bet option – Barcelona's individual total over 2.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Let's form a bet based on current statistical trends. In 4 of the last 5 matches involving the Blaugrana, there have been no more than 10 corner kicks. This trend is also evident in 5 of the last 6 encounters involving the Babazorros. Finally, let's highlight the average number of corners observed in head-to-head clashes between these teams – around 9.9 per game. Our choice is – Alaves' individual total corners under 3.5.

The "Blaugrana" will be highly motivated in their upcoming match, spurred on by the revamped Camp Nou and the humiliating defeat in London earlier this week. Despite all respect for Eduardo Coudet's squad, Alaves cannot match Barcelona's resources, and their recent instability only seals their fate further. Our editorial team anticipates a convincing victory for Barca, potentially with a scoreline of 3-0. The key bet is a Barcelona win with a -1.5 handicap.