Everton vs Newcastle Prediction 30 November 2025

🔊 What will be the outcome of the clash between two Premier League mid-table teams, Everton and Newcastle? Seeing the Magpies in this position is unusual, especially after they haven't finished below seventh in the last three seasons. Meanwhile, the Toffees are slightly ahead of their usual pace from previous years. Both teams dismantled the Manchester clubs in the last round. However, Eddie Howe's squad stumbled midweek in Marseille during the Champions League, marking their fourth consecutive away defeat. The Merseysiders are unbeaten in their last three matches, regardless of the venue. Whose streak will continue at Hill Dickinson? Our editorial team will provide an insightful prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Newcastle have been unable to defeat Everton for two consecutive seasons. Over this stretch, the teams have faced each other four times in the Premier League: the Toffees secured two victories, while the other two matches ended in draws. These encounters have not been particularly thrilling, with the total goals not exceeding 2.5 in three out of the four games. However, the Merseysiders haven't always dominated the Magpies. For instance, in the six matches prior to this period, Everton managed just one win, whereas Newcastle triumphed five times.

Everton Team Overview

Under the guidance of David Moyes, the Toffees have found their stride recently. Everton are unbeaten in their last three Premier League matches, with two of those opponents hailing from the top half of the table. These performances have allowed the Merseyside club to edge closer to the top 10. Currently, the Blues sit in 11th place, and notably, they are one spot ahead of their neighbors from Liverpool.

In the 12th round, Everton pulled off a stunning victory against Manchester United at Old Trafford (1-0). The result was all the more surprising given that the Scousers were down to 10 men from the 13th minute. Nevertheless, they managed to take the lead before halftime. For much of the game, they were on the defensive, registering only three shots with just 30% possession. Yet, they secured the crucial three points. This result also brought them level on points with Manchester United.

Newcastle United Team Overview

The Magpies bounced back from two consecutive Premier League defeats by defeating Manchester City at St. James' Park in the 12th round (2-1). However, Eddie Howe's side still have a long way to go in terms of consistency, especially on the road. Midweek, they suffered another away defeat in the Champions League against Marseille (1-2). The match was evenly contested, as indicated by the similar number of shots (20 to 18) and expected goals (1.57 to 1.53 in favor of Newcastle). The visitors even opened the scoring early in the game. But shortly after the break, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's efforts put the French side ahead, and they held onto their lead until the final whistle. This marked the fourth consecutive away defeat for the Magpies.

On home turf, however, Newcastle deliver a much stronger performance. In their last match, the Magpies defeated Manchester City (2-1). The visitors dominated possession as usual (68% to 32%) and attacked more frequently (17 shots to 9). Yet this advantage didn't translate into sharper chances (1.94 xG to 1.87 xG in favor of City). As a result of the round, Eddie Howe's team managed to distance themselves from the relegation zone, moving up to 14th place. They now sit four points away from both the top eight and the relegation zone.

Latest news

Everton

🎙 Idrissa Gueye made life difficult for his teammates by getting sent off in the 13th minute against Manchester United. The last-man foul was quite unusual. The Senegalese midfielder received a red card for slapping Michael Keane, becoming the first Premier League player since 2008 to be dismissed for an altercation with a teammate. Here's how the midfielder commented on the incident: “First of all, I want to apologize to Michael Keane. I take full responsibility for my reaction. I also apologize to my teammates, the coaching staff, the fans, and the club. What happened does not reflect who I am or the values I stand for. Emotions can run high, but nothing can justify such behavior. I'll do my best to ensure it never happens again,” said Gueye.

❌ Club legend and captain Seamus Coleman, despite being 37, still competes in the Premier League. He often features in secondary competitions, but he’ll be making even fewer appearances there for a while. In the match against Manchester United, the defender suffered a hamstring injury. Jarred Branthwaite faces the same issue and, alongside Nathan Patterson, hasn't played a single game this season. Merlin Röhl is recovering from hernia surgery. Meanwhile, Idrissa Gueye will miss the upcoming match due to a suspension following his red card.

Newcastle United

❗ A shocking incident unfolded after the conclusion of the Champions League match between Marseille and Newcastle. Representatives of the English club reported that French police used pepper spray, batons, and shields against the visiting fans. It was expected that supporters would remain in the stadium for up to an hour after the final whistle for safety reasons. They were then supposed to be escorted in groups of 500 to the metro, to make their way back to Juliette Square — a designated meeting point set by Marseille authorities and police. However, after the first group was allowed to leave the field, police began using unwarranted and disproportionate force to prevent the others from moving on.

❌ Kieran Trippier is continuing his recovery from a hamstring injury, with his return anticipated around mid-December. William Osula's participation in the upcoming game is doubtful due to ankle issues. On a positive note, Anthony Gordon has fully recovered from a thigh injury. The Englishman started from the first minute against Marseille in the Champions League.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Craig Pawson. His average for yellow cards in the last 20 Premier League games stands at 3.7, dropping to just 2.7 over the past 10 matches. Neither team is known for particularly rough play. In the last five league rounds, Everton's matches have seen slightly more cautions: 3 compared to 2.6. With only three points separating the teams in the standings, tensions could rise. However, the odds for total yellow cards under 4.5 look quite appealing.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Newcastle have struggled on the road, with just one win in eight away games this season—against Champions League newcomers Union Saint-Gilloise (4-0). Eddie Howe’s side has failed to score more than once in any other away match. While the Magpies falter away from home, Everton are strong at Goodison Park, suffering just one loss in seven home games. In six of those seven matches, the Merseysiders conceded no more than one goal. Our prediction: Newcastle total goals under 1.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Let's focus on Everton's corner stats at "Hill Dickinson." Over six rounds, the Toffees average a solid 5.5 corners per game. Although David Moyes' team rarely pins opponents back with their preferred 4-2-3-1 setup, it emphasizes counter-attacking. The flanks, led by Jack Grealish and Iliman Ndiaye, consistently challenge opponents, especially through set-pieces. We expect Everton's total corners to be over 4.5.

Given how long it's been since Newcastle last won on the road, their slight edge in the odds is surprising, especially considering Everton's performances at Hill Dickinson Stadium. David Moyes' side have lost just one of their seven matches there. Moreover, the fact that the Toffees sit higher in the table than their upcoming opponents speaks volumes. We suggest taking advantage of the hosts' underdog status and betting on Everton to avoid defeat. Looking at their head-to-head history, the Blues might even tip the match in their favor, perhaps with a scoreline of 2-1.