Brentford vs Burnley Prediction 29 November 2025

🔊 How will the clash between Premier League mid-table side Brentford and bottom-dwellers Burnley end? There's a six-point gap and as many places separating the two teams in the standings. Both sides enter this match following defeats in the previous round. However, the Bees return to their home ground, the Brentford Community Stadium, where they've lost just once this season. For the Clarets, it's a different story on the road, with only one away win to their name. Which streak is more likely to be broken on Saturday? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction of the teams' chances.

Head-to-Head

📊 The teams have faced off four times in the Premier League. The results show a perfect balance: two wins each. Notably, in three out of the four matches, the total goals exceeded 2.5.

Brentford Team Overview

Following a sensational 3-2 victory over Liverpool, Brentford have been alternating their results. Between away defeats to Crystal Palace (0-2) and Brighton (1-2), they managed a home triumph against Newcastle (3-1). Keith Andrews’ side are consistent only at their home ground, the Brentford Community Stadium. In terms of points earned at home, the Bees rank in the top six of the Premier League. However, on the road, they have collected as many points as their upcoming opponent (three).

Brentford came very close to securing away points for the second time this season in the 12th round of the Premier League. The Bees visited Brighton and played in their usual style. They conceded possession to the Seagulls (36% to 64%), yet they were not significantly less threatening in attack (10 shots to 14). The visitors even scored first, with their top scorer and the league’s second-best, Igor Thiago, converting a penalty. After the break, Brighton turned the game around, taking a 2-1 lead. In injury time, the Londoners had a chance to draw level again. However, Thiago went from hero to villain, missing a penalty by shooting straight at the goalkeeper.

Burnley Team Overview

The Clarets have slipped back into the Premier League relegation zone after suffering three consecutive defeats. Their only somewhat competitive match was against West Ham away in the penultimate round, where they lost 3-2. Despite holding a territorial advantage with 57% possession compared to West Ham's 43%, they were less efficient with the ball, managing only 1.51 xG from 16 shots, while the hosts recorded 2.66 xG from 15 attempts. Burnley's home fixtures have been particularly challenging. Scott Parker's side fell to both league leaders, Arsenal and Chelsea, with identical 2-0 scorelines.

The encounters with Arsenal and Chelsea followed a similar pattern. On average, the Clarets had 45% possession. The only notable difference was that the Gunners applied more pressure, allowing just three shots on their goal, while the Blues conceded eight. However, this did not impact the expected goals metrics (0.47 and 0.53 respectively) or the final scorelines.

Latest news

Brentford

🎙 Brentford's head coach has thrown his support behind Igor Thiago, who missed a penalty in stoppage time against Brighton. "I haven't spoken to him much, but he'll be fine. He's in great form. He's scored a lot of goals. He's playing very, very well. He scored again today. I think it's generally tough for penalty takers right now—from the moment they're awarded the penalty to when they take it. The time it takes, the flow of the game, VAR checks, players confronting each other, going up to the referee, antics from the goalkeeper. So he'll be absolutely fine, and Thiago should not be blamed for this miss," said Keith Andrews.

❌ Midfielder Fábio Carvalho will miss the rest of the season. Ahead of the 12th round of the Premier League, the Portuguese player tore his cruciate ligaments. He joins a list of two other players recovering from similar injuries: Joshua Dasilva and Antoni Milambo.

Burnley

🎙 Burnley's head coach has assessed the form of Zian Flemming, one of the team's top two scorers. The player fully joined the Clarets this summer but was already familiar to the local crowd. Last season, he spent time on loan at Turf Moor in the Championship, netting 12 goals. Here's what Scott Parker says about him: "It's clear he didn't have a full pre-season. He got injured right at the start of the season. But he's come back and played brilliantly twice against Wolverhampton and once again showed incredible performance against West Ham, so I'm really happy for Zian. It's his first time playing in the league, and it gives him the confidence and belief that he can score goals in the Premier League. May it continue."

❌ Burnley's injury list remains unchanged: Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni, and Connor Roberts. However, Armando Broja has dispelled rumors about the severity of his right ankle ligament injury. The Albanian was forced off during a World Cup qualifier but came on as a substitute against his former club, Chelsea.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The appointed referee for the match is Samuel Barrott. Over his last 20 matches, he averages 4.5 yellow cards. Both teams are not known for their gentlemanly play. Brentford ranks in the top three in the Premier League for yellow cards at home, averaging 2.33 over six rounds. Burnley have received at least two warnings in their last five league games. Considering Barrott's strict officiating style, a bet on total yellow cards over 3.5 seems reasonable.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Contrary to the general perception of being outmatched in the Premier League, Burnley put up a respectable fight against their opponents. The Clarets do not give up without a struggle, even on the road, having scored in five consecutive matches. Over a longer stretch, they have found the net in 7 out of 8 away games. Jadon Anthony was impressive at the start of the season, while Zian Flemming has been notable recently. The editorial team believes there are solid grounds to predict that Burnley will score a goal.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Burnley's primary formation is 4-2-3-1, with Scott Parker often relying on a counter-attacking strategy. The Clarets do not maintain much possession and rarely engage in positional play, which impacts their set-piece numbers. They are the worst in the Premier League for average corners earned, with just 2.58 over 12 rounds. Based on the odds for the upcoming clash, the over-under for corners by the visitors is set conservatively. Therefore, betting on Burnley's total corners under 4.5 could be a smart play.

Brentford have been impressive at home, losing only to Manchester City in six matches on their turf. The rest of their opponents have all been from the top half of the Premier League table, reinforcing their status as favorites against a modest Burnley side, as reflected in the odds. Therefore, it's worth exploring more intriguing bets than just the outcome. Let's revisit the goal prediction section and remember that Burnley have shown solid scoring ability on the road, netting in 7 out of their last 8 away games. There's little doubt that Brentford will also find the back of the net at the Community Stadium. Given these factors, a bet on both teams to score (yes) seems likely to come through. We give a slight edge to the Bees with a predicted scoreline of 2-1.