Milan vs Lazio Prediction 30 November 2025

📢 How will the clash between Milan and Lazio conclude in the 13th round of Serie A? One of the week's marquee matches takes place at San Siro, featuring teams comfortably positioned in the upper echelons of the table. Milan hold second place, while Lazio have climbed to eighth, with both sides rarely tasting defeat recently. Given this stability, neither team will be keen on dropping points.

Head-to-Head

📊 The head-to-head history between AC Milan and Lazio features 47 encounters in recent years. The "Rossoneri" hold a slight edge with 21 victories, while the Romans have claimed 13 wins, and 13 matches ended in draws. However, last season Milan couldn't secure a win against their rivals: they first drew away (2-2) and then suffered a home defeat (1-2).

Milan Team Overview

🔴 AC Milan have had a rollercoaster start to the season: they convincingly win against formidable opponents, yet consistently drop points in matches where they're expected to triumph. Take, for instance, their draws with Pisa (2-2) at San Siro and Parma (2-2) away – both games Milan should have closed out with victories. Despite these setbacks, the Rossoneri remain among the league leaders: 25 points from 12 matches, sitting in second place, just two points adrift of the top.

⚫ The previous round was crucial for Milan from a psychological standpoint. In the weekend's marquee matchup, they defeated Inter (1-0). Milan opted for a counter-attacking strategy, focusing on a solid defense – a plan that worked to perfection. Not only did they keep the Nerazzurri from finding the net, but they also scored on one of their few counterattacks. The victory's significance is further amplified by Inter's missed penalty in the 74th minute: former Milan player Hakan Çalhanoğlu failed to beat the goalkeeper.

Lazio Rome Team Overview

🔵 A transfer ban has significantly limited Lazio's ability to strengthen their squad, which led to them spending much of the autumn in the lower half of the table. However, in recent encounters, the "Eagles" have looked quite impressive. A string of successful matches has lifted them to eighth place, with their gap from the European competition spots reduced to just three points—a manageable deficit.

⚪ In the previous round, Lazio confidently dispatched Lecce at the Stadio Olimpico (2-0). Due to personnel issues, the Romans have often been forced to play a counter-attacking style this season, lacking the resources for sustained pressure. But against the "Salentini," it was a different story: the hosts controlled the match from start to finish. Lazio created numerous threats in front of goal, registering nine shots on target and could have won by a larger margin if not for some missed opportunities.

Latest news

Milan

📣 AC Milan head coach Massimiliano Allegri praised his team's defensive discipline following their 1-0 derby victory over Inter. "It was a great win, and the match was thrilling. When Inter pressed high, we remained very organized, setting up a proactive defense," he stated. Allegri emphasized that winning crucial matches is primarily important from a psychological standpoint: "A victory in a big game always brings joy, but there are seasons where you beat strong teams and drop points against underdogs. Today's result is significant, especially psychologically."

🚫 Milan face two personnel setbacks. Santiago Giménez is still recovering from an ankle injury and is expected to return in early December. Defender Zakaria Attikame is on a similar timeline due to a muscle issue.

Lazio Rome

📣 Lazio head coach Maurizio Sarri, following their 2-0 victory over Lecce, praised the team's performance: "For seventy minutes, we played at a high level. The only downside was keeping the suspense alive until the very end. The guys are improving with each match." However, the coach was outspoken about the excessive interference of VAR in the game: "You send me to bed angry. The use of VAR is becoming excessive and inappropriate. I can't stand it when they show slow-motion replays—any contact looks like a penalty in freeze-frame."

🚫 Lazio are facing significant personnel issues. Danilo Cataldi will be sidelined until mid-December due to a calf injury. Matteo Cancellieri is expected to return in early December after recovering from a muscle injury. Samuel Gigot and Nicolo Rovella remain doubtful.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

⚽️ Goal Prediction

AC Milan and Lazio rank among Serie A's top defensive teams, each conceding only 9 goals in 12 matches. Only three clubs in the league boast better records. Lazio's recent defensive form is particularly impressive; they've allowed goals in just one of their last six matches, which was against the formidable Inter away (0-2). Notably, all of Lazio's recent games have featured no more than two goals. In this context, betting on under 2.5 total goals seems like a reasonable decision.

🚩 Corner Prediction

As noted earlier, Lazio often plays on the counterattack this season, a strategy that directly impacts their corner stats. They average just 3.4 corners per match, placing them 15th in Serie A for this metric. With Milan playing at home, they are likely to control the game and create more chances near the opponent's goal. In such a scenario, betting on Lazio under 4.5 corners appears to be the most logical option.