Fiorentina vs AEK Athens Prediction 28 November 2025

📢 The Conference League is back on our screens, bringing excitement to our gadgets and TVs! In the fourth round of the group stage, Fiorentina face off against AEK Athens. This clash promises to be intriguing. Fiorentina, currently sitting 8th in the standings, are eager to improve their form. Similarly, AEK, who are in 15th place, are looking to climb up the table. How will their battle unfold? Check out the prediction below.

Head-to-Head

These teams have not faced each other before.

Fiorentina Team Overview

The last official match was part of the Serie A tournament, with Fiorentina hosting Juventus. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.

The match statistics were as follows (Fiorentina vs Juventus):

• possession: 41% vs 59%;
• corners: 7 vs 3;
• fouls: 11 vs 18;
• yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
• shots on target: 2 vs 4.

Fiorentina are navigating a challenging period, having suffered three losses and secured two draws in their last five matches. Despite this, the team maintains an attacking style of play, boasting an average of 2.4 goals per game. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding in 11 of their last 12 home fixtures. This instability could pose an issue against a well-organized opponent.

AEK Athens Team Overview

The most recent official match for the visitors took place in the Super League tournament, with AEK Athens as the home team and Aris as the visitors. The match concluded with a score of 1-0.

The game statistics were as follows (AEK Athens vs Aris):

• possession: 66% vs 34%;
• corner kicks: 10 vs 1;
• fouls: 13 vs 11;
• yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
• shots on target: 7 vs 3.

AEK Athens are showing confidence and consistency, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches to back it up. The "Double-Headed Eagles" favor a balanced approach, focusing on solid defense and swift counterattacks. They average around 1.89 goals per game while conceding just 0.89 on average. This form gives them hope for a positive outcome even against stronger opponents.

Prediction on the outcome

Statistics: Fiorentina vs AEK Athens

• matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
• wins: 4 vs 4;
• win percentage: 80% vs 44%;
• losses: 1 vs 1;
• draws: 0 vs 4.

Last 10 matches:

• wins: 2 vs 6;
• losses: 5 vs 3;
• draws: 3 vs 1.

• AEK Athens won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
• AEK Athens won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games.

Prediction on the over/under

Statistics: Fiorentina vs AEK Athens

• average total in the tournament: 3.2 vs 2.78;
• average total goals scored: 2.4 vs 1.89;
• average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.78;
• average total in the 2nd half: 1.4 vs 1.11;
• Fiorentina: average total at home in the tournament - 2.5;
• AEK Athens: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
• last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1.2).

• Fiorentina have conceded in 11 of last 12 home games.
• Fiorentina have conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
• AEK Athens have scored in 19 of last 21 games.
• AEK Athens have scored in 9 of last 10 away games.
• AEK Athens have scored in last 7 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).

Prediction on corners

Fiorentina: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.8; at home field - 7;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 5.4.

AEK Athens: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.22, away - 2.33;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; away - 5.

• AEK Athens have taken over 2.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).

Prediction on cards

Fiorentina: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.6; at home - 1.5;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 3.2.

AEK Athens: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.22, away - 3.33;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 2.8.

Prediction on BTTS

Statistics: Fiorentina vs AEK Athens

• number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
• number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 5;
• number of BTS matches for Fiorentina at home – 1 (50%);
• number of BTS matches for AEK Athens away – 3 (100%).

Last 10 matches:

• number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 3;
• BTTS matches for Fiorentina at home – 3 (60%);
• BTTS matches for AEK Athens away – 2 (40%).