Arsenal vs Bayern Prediction 27 November 2025

🔊 Who will come out on top in this clash? The marquee match of the fifth round of the Champions League takes place in London, where Arsenal face off against Bayern Munich. Both teams are showcasing impressive form both domestically and in Europe: they currently share the top spot in the Champions League, having secured maximum points without conceding a single goal. With phenomenal squads across all positions, these clubs are rightly considered two of the best in Europe right now. But can they determine who is stronger, just a third into the season? Bayern have yet to taste defeat this season, while Arsenal remain unbeaten at home. It's this home advantage that has bookmakers favoring the Gunners. Let's dive into the prediction for one of the standout games of the season so far.

Head-to-Head

📊 The head-to-head history favors the Munich side: seven wins compared to three for the Londoners. Two encounters ended in a draw. The clubs last faced each other in the quarter-finals of the 2023/24 Champions League season, where Bayern advanced to the semi-finals with an aggregate score of 3-2.

Arsenal Team Overview

🔴 Mikel Arteta's side are showcasing exceptional football, and with each passing week, more experts are suggesting that this could be Arsenal's year. At least in the English Premier League, where the Gunners are leading and have a six-point advantage over their closest rival, Chelsea, after 12 rounds. Following the international break last weekend, Arsenal took part in the North London derby as Tottenham visited the Emirates (4-1). The game was dominated by the hosts, with Eberechi Eze standing out by scoring his first hat-trick for the Gunners and the first hat-trick in this derby since 1978. Leandro Trossard started the goal fest. Arsenal are confidently at the top, but besides a challenging match against Bayern in a few days, they also face another London derby – Arteta's team will head to Stamford Bridge to try and extend their lead over Chelsea.

🏆 In the Champions League, Arsenal are equally impressive – the Gunners have defeated Athletic Bilbao, Olympiacos, Atletico Madrid, and Slavia Prague with an aggregate score of 11-0. The team shares the top spot with Bayern, trailing only in terms of goals scored. However, in the upcoming game, the Londoners could become sole leaders, while a setback might see them drop out of the top three. Yet, even such an outcome wouldn't be critical, as Arsenal are highly likely to secure a top-eight spot in their remaining matches against Club Brugge, Inter Milan, and Kairat. However, postponing this task isn't advisable: a victory over Bayern could not only solidify Arsenal's position at the top but also boost the team's confidence – especially since this season, the Munich side appear more formidable than giants like Liverpool and Manchester City, whom Arsenal have already faced.

Bayern Munich Team Overview

⚪ Bayern continue to dominate the German championship. After a surprising draw in Berlin against Union (2-2), Vincent Kompany's side hosted Freiburg at the Allianz Arena. By the 17th minute, the Munich team had conceded twice but managed to level the score before halftime. In the second half, Bayern turned on the style, netting four more goals against the "Brazilians of Breisgau" in a 6-2 victory. Lennart Karl contributed with a goal and an assist, Dayot Upamecano scored from a corner, while Kane and Jackson added one each. The standout performer was Michael Olise, who notched a brace and a hat-trick of assists. Bayern maintain a six-point lead over Leipzig and continue to boast the best attack and defense in the league (41:8). After their weekend clash with Arsenal, they will face St. Pauli, who are on an eight-game losing streak, likely setting the stage for another Bayern victory.

🏆 In the Champions League, Bayern have triumphed over Chelsea, Pafos, Brugge, and PSG with a combined score of 14-3, edging out Arsenal only by goals scored. Their recent match against PSG proved challenging, particularly in the second half. In the first half, Bayern dominated, but just before the break, they were reduced to ten men as Luis Diaz—who had started brilliantly with a brace—was sent off for a reckless tackle on Achraf Hakimi, ruling him out for the trip to London. In the second half, Bayern barely ventured out of their own half as PSG piled on the pressure, but Manuel Neuer made eight saves and was named man of the match despite conceding once. Bayern's situation mirrors Arsenal's: a win would solidify their lead, while a loss could drop them out of the top three. Following their London fixture, Bayern will face Sporting, Union Saint-Gilloise, and PSV in the group stage.

Latest news

Arsenal

🎙 Mikel Arteta summed up the match against Tottenham: "It was a fantastic day. I enjoyed every minute – starting from the preparation, from the moment the players returned after international duty. I felt they wanted to be together again, ready for the fight, for a big week, and the preparation was top-notch. Then it was about bringing that onto the pitch – with the energy our fans brought to the stadium. That made a huge difference. I think individually, the players were exceptional from the first minute. They dominated almost every phase of the game. It's a day to remember. You don't win a derby 4-1 every time, and I hope we made many Arsenal fans proud and happy."

❌ A key loss is center-back Gabriel Magalhães, who suffered a muscle injury during the international break. Kai Havertz has had a recurrence of a knee injury. Gabriel Jesus is continuing to regain fitness and is training with the team, but he will not take part in the match. Martin Ødegaard and Viktor Gyökeres remain doubtful.

Bayern Munich

🎙 Bayern Munich's CEO Jan-Christian Dreesen on the upcoming match: "We are confident and never nervous. Arsenal know we are currently in great form. Of course, we approach the game with respect. Arsenal are the Premier League leaders and, like us, unbeaten in the Champions League, and not without reason. This will undoubtedly be a serious test."

❌ Luis Diaz will miss the match due to a red card. Alphonso Davies and Jamal Musiala continue to regain their form. Serge Gnabry remains doubtful for the encounter against his former club.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

Marco Guida will officiate this game at the Emirates. Over his last 10 matches, he has averaged 3.6 yellow cards. After four rounds, the average number of yellows for the London side is 2.6, while for the Munich team, it's 1.8. Considering the significance of the match and the expected intensity, we opt for over 3.5 yellow cards. This outcome has occurred in three of Arsenal's four Champions League matches.

⚽ Goal Prediction

Arsenal are among the most reliable teams both in England and Europe, having conceded only six goals in the Premier League (the best record) and none in the Champions League. Bayern have conceded the fewest in the Bundesliga (eight), and three times in the Champions League. Despite both teams' impressive defenses, it's hard to imagine either side not scoring. The coaches are well aware of each other's attacking prowess and are preparing their teams for a high likelihood of conceding on Wednesday. Prediction: both teams to score (yes).

🚩 Corner Prediction

Arsenal have averaged 3.8 corners after four rounds, while Bayern have averaged 5.5. We go with under 11.5 total corners. This outcome has been seen in seven consecutive matches for the London side and in nine of the last ten matches for the Munich team.

It's no secret that Arsenal are the "set-piece kings" in England. Before the international break, the team had scored eight goals from set-pieces in the Premier League, accounting for 40% of their total goals. Surprisingly, none of the four goals against Tottenham came from set-pieces. Bayern conceded four goals from set-pieces in their last two Bundesliga matches, yet their attacking prowess remains formidable, with standout performances from Michael Olise (11+8) and Harry Kane (29+3). The absence of Gabriel Magalhães might affect Arsenal's defensive confidence, but this season Arteta has resources previously unavailable, offering a solid replacement for the Brazilian. His absence could also diminish Arsenal's set-piece threat, as he creates numerous chances.

Both teams boast elite defenses and attacks, promising high-quality football from two contenders for Europe's top honors. Our prediction is for a total of over 2.5 goals. Last weekend, former Crystal Palace teammates and off-field friends Eberechi Eze (three goals) and Michael Olise (2+3) delivered top performances for their respective teams. It would be fitting if this match ended in a 2-2 draw, with both players scoring braces.