PSG vs Tottenham Prediction 27 November 2025

🔊 What can we expect from the remake of the August UEFA Super Cup clash? Back then, Tottenham surprisingly put up a strong fight against PSG, nearly clinching the trophy. However, bookmakers anticipate little suspense in the head-to-head encounter between the teams in the 5th round of the Champions League group stage. Luis Enrique's side will play at their home ground, Parc des Princes, and are therefore reasonably considered heavy favorites. In light of Spurs' recent thrashing in the North London derby, it's hard to argue against this. Nonetheless, when crafting our prediction, we will examine the upcoming match from various angles.

Head-to-Head

📊 On August 13, 2025, the teams faced each other for the first time at an official level. In the UEFA Super Cup match, Tottenham gave their fans hope for an upset by scoring twice from set pieces in the first half. Just when it seemed like Spurs were heading for victory, PSG staged a comeback with goals in the 85th and 94th minutes. In the penalty shootout, the Parisians proved luckier, winning 4-3.

Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

The Parisian giants are cruising through the autumn in a calm fashion. While they occasionally drop points, the team faces no major gameplay issues. Last weekend, they confidently dismantled Le Havre with a 3-0 victory, generating an impressive 3.62 expected goals, which helped them maintain their lead in Ligue 1.

In the Champions League, Luis Enrique's squad remains among the frontrunners (currently in 5th place), though they've already stumbled once. In the previous round, they faced off in a blockbuster match against Bayern Munich (1-2), starting poorly by conceding twice by the 32nd minute. Despite playing with a man advantage throughout the second half, they managed to claw back only one goal. The Parisians had a staggering advantage in shots (25-9).

Tottenham Hotspur Team Overview

The Super Cup clash against PSG instilled a sense of optimism among Tottenham fans for a brighter future. While that hope isn't entirely lost, the current state of the team is indeed concerning. This is especially true in the Premier League, where Spurs suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to Arsenal over the weekend, dropping them to ninth place.

In the Champions League, they currently sit tenth and remain unbeaten, yet Thomas Frank's squad hasn't been convincing. They haven't faced any top-tier opponents, yet they've already managed to drop points twice—during away matches against Bodø/Glimt (2-2) and Monaco (0-0). Both the Norwegian and French sides dominated Tottenham, each exceeding 2.5 goals in xG.

Latest news

Paris Saint-Germain

🎙 Luis Enrique after the recent match against Le Havre: “I'm very pleased and satisfied with the result because Le Havre played really well and perhaps deserved more. Everyone says Ligue 1 is easy, but in reality, it is very challenging, just like other leagues.”

📝 GOAL reports that PSG are highly interested in signing Bayern defender Dayot Upamecano. Negotiations are currently ongoing between the clubs. However, other big clubs, such as Real Madrid, might join the race.

⭐ The match against Tottenham will mark the 500th appearance for PSG captain Marquinhos.

❌ Paris have three significant absences, all notable. Due to injuries, Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, and Achraf Hakimi will not be on the matchday squad. Doué has been sidelined with a thigh injury since October, while Dembélé and Hakimi sustained injuries in the game against Bayern.

Tottenham Hotspur

🎙 Thomas Frank's comments after the North London derby: "I always take responsibility, as it was my decision to use that system. We changed it at halftime. In my opinion, it doesn't matter what formation we used today. If we don't win enough duels and fail to show the required intensity in key moments, winning the match becomes very difficult."

❓ Journalist Matt Law reports that Tottenham's management intends to give Thomas Frank time to rectify the current situation. Rumors suggest that some players would prefer Frank to focus more on the team's strengths rather than the opponent's, but it's unclear how widely this opinion is held.

⚡️ L’Equipe reports that Randal Kolo Muani is eager to play against PSG, the club that owns his contract. The Frenchman's loan agreement does not include a clause preventing him from facing the Parisians.

❌ Tottenham's injury list has thinned recently, but there are still several players sidelined. Dejan Kulusevski, Radu Dragusin, Yves Bissouma, Dominic Solanke, and James Maddison are all listed as injured. Additionally, Brennan Johnson will miss the match against PSG due to a red card received in the previous match against Copenhagen (4-0).

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by a German team of referees, led by Felix Zwayer. In this season's Champions League, Zwayer has overseen three matches, issuing only six yellow cards (averaging two per game). However, over his last ten matches across all competitions, his average is significantly higher at 4.3.

As for the teams, PSG play a dominant style of football, maintaining an average of 66% possession over their first four Champions League fixtures. Consequently, they commit relatively few fouls, averaging just one yellow card per match and trailing their opponents in this statistic. Meanwhile, Spurs receive two warnings per game, making a bet on Tottenham to win the yellow card battle more than reasonable.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Looking at the trends, the most notable suggests a PSG goal in the second half. Luis Enrique's side have scored after the break in nine consecutive home matches and in six straight Champions League games. Regardless of how the upcoming match unfolds, we believe a goal from the hosts in the second 45 minutes is inevitable. Whether through positional play or quick counter-attacks, they are likely to find a way past Guglielmo Vicario.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In their August encounter, the teams fell short of the over on corners, and we believe they will do so again. Tottenham average just 3.8 corners per game, which won't provide much assistance to PSG in this aspect. Among all betting options, we favor under 11.5 total corners, a bet that has hit in five consecutive matches involving the London side.

PSG cannot afford to lose a second consecutive Champions League match, especially against a struggling Tottenham side. However, the Parisians' style of play, focusing on short passes, might suit the Spurs' game plan well. It's possible that one of Tottenham's counterattacks or a rare set-piece could lead to a goal for the visitors, but we don't believe it will be enough to secure any points.

Arsenal recently dismantled Thomas Frank's team with ease, and Luis Enrique should achieve the same outcome on his second attempt. Scores24 anticipates a convincing performance from the hosts, predicting a final score of 3-1, despite PSG missing several key players. The safest betting option, given these circumstances, seems to be a PSG win with a -1 handicap. Additionally, a neutral bet on over 2.5 total goals could also be considered.