TIPS - Swansea City VS Derby County

[(Swansea City A.F.C.) Strength]:
1. Swansea City A.F.C. currently rank 20th in the league table with 17 points, just 4 points above the relegation zone, placing them under immense pressure to avoid relegation. Playing at home against Derby County F.C. in this match, their objective is to fight for a victory to halt their losing streak and increase the gap from the relegation zone.
2. Swansea City A.F.C. defenders Josh Tymon and Benjamin Cabango return to the squad list for this match after serving their suspensions in the last game, leaving the squad relatively complete.
3. Swansea City A.F.C. performed excellently against Derby County F.C. in the league in the past, recently achieving a 3-match league winning streak, and boasting an impressive record of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 encounters.

[(Swansea City A.F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Swansea City A.F.C.'s recent overall form has been very poor, recording only 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 competitive matches, with a low winning rate of just 20%. More worryingly, the team are currently on a three-match losing streak.
2. Swansea City A.F.C.'s recent home performance is also unsatisfactory, recording only 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 league home matches. The team failed to display the necessary competitiveness at home, and their home advantage has nearly vanished.
3. Swansea City A.F.C. are facing issues with insufficient offensive efficiency, scoring very few goals recently, with only 4 goals in their last 6 league matches.
4. Swansea City A.F.C.'s defensive performance has been disastrous, conceding 12 goals in their last 6 matches, averaging 2 goals conceded per game.
5. Swansea City A.F.C. lost the previous 3 games and won only 3 of the last 10 home games in AH.

[(Derby County F.C.) Strength]:
1. Derby County F.C. currently rank 12th in the league table with 23 points. The team still need to fight to improve their ranking and achieve better results. Traveling to face out-of-form Swansea City A.F.C. in this match, they aim to strive for points to climb the league standings.
2. Derby County F.C.'s recent overall form is quite excellent, recording 5 wins and 1 loss in their last 6 matches, with a winning rate exceeding 80%.
3. Derby County F.C.'s recent away performance shows a clear upward trend. The team secured two consecutive away wins in the EFL Championship and only suffered 1 loss in their last 6 away matches.
4. Derby County F.C.'s attacking output is quite stable, having scored 11 goals in their last 6 matches, averaging close to 2 goals per game.
5. Derby County F.C. won 7 of the previous 10 games and 5 of the last 6 away games in AH.

[(Derby County F.C.) Neutral]:
1. Derby County F.C.'s defensive performance is decent, having conceded 6 goals in their last 6 Championship matches, averaging 1 goal conceded per game.

[(Derby County F.C.) Weakness]:
1. Derby County F.C. forward Carlton Morris left the last game with a knee injury, and defender Dion Sanderson is suspended due to accumulated yellow cards. Additionally, the team have multiple other injured players, including defender Max Johnston and midfielder Lewis Travis, who are unavailable to play.
2. Derby County F.C. have a poor record against Swansea City A.F.C. in the past, recently suffering 3 consecutive losses, and also losing in all of their last 3 visits to face the opponent, leaving them with no psychological advantage.

[Tips]:
Although Swansea City A.F.C. have the home advantage, their recent form is persistently low, their defense is riddled with weaknesses, and the overall strength is significantly compromised by the absence of their starting forward and the negative impact of a potential managerial change.

Despite Derby County F.C. facing a dilemma with multiple starters injured or suspended, their recent form is stable, their away performance is strong, and their offensive firepower is sufficient.

Their overall momentum is clearly superior to the home side's.

While Swansea City have the psychological advantage of a 3-match winning streak in historical home encounters against Derby County, their current terrible form and near-collapsing defense likely diminish this historical edge.

Considering Swansea City's poor spell, vulnerable defense, and managerial uncertainty, the recommendation for this match is for Derby County to remain unbeaten away from home.

[Recommended]:
Derby County F.C. (+0/0.5)