PSG vs Havre Prediction 23 November 2025

🔊 Will PSG maintain their lead at the top of the standings after their clash with Le Havre? These teams face off on Saturday as part of the 13th round of the French championship. The Parisian club are the bookmakers' favorites, and for good reason. But can they truly demonstrate their superiority on the pitch? You'll find a prediction for the upcoming encounter in this analytical piece.

Head-to-Head

📊 Over the past five years, the teams have faced off in four official matches, with PSG demonstrating total dominance. The Parisians have won three of these encounters, while the other ended in a draw.

Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

🔵 In the current Ligue 1 campaign, PSG have suffered just one defeat, which came at the end of September when Luis Enrique's side faced Marseille (0-1). Since then, the Parisian club have only lost to Bayern Munich in the Champions League (1-2), while winning or drawing all their other matches.

🟠 Before the international break, PSG had a challenging and highly significant match against Lyon. That encounter ended with the reigning French champions securing a 3-2 victory, though they did not display clear dominance. The decisive goal came in the 90+5th minute from Portuguese midfielder João Neves.

Havre Team Overview

🔵 Le Havre are gradually turning things around after a rocky start to their Ligue 1 campaign. Before the international break, Didier Digard's side went on a four-match unbeaten run, lifting them to 12th place in the standings. However, their goal-scoring record remains concerning, with just 13 goals in 12 matches.

⚪ In their last two fixtures, Le Havre drew with Toulouse (0-0) and Nantes (1-1). While these results aren't bad, it's important to note that neither opponent is considered top-tier, which adds a significant caveat. Le Havre's record against teams from the upper echelons of the table isn't impressive, highlighted by losses to Marseille (2-6), Strasbourg (0-1), and Monaco (1-3).

Latest news

Paris Saint-Germain

❌ PSG have a significant number of players sidelined due to various injuries, leaving them unable to support their team in the upcoming match. Key absentees include Ousmane Dembélé (match injury), Désiré Doué (hamstring injury), Achraf Hakimi (ankle injury), and Nuno Mendes (knee injury).

Havre

❌ Tanzanian forward Mbwana Samatta will be unable to assist his teammates in the match against PSG due to a hip injury. This issue has plagued him throughout the season — he occasionally makes it onto the pitch, only to find himself back in the treatment room for recovery.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The upcoming match will be officiated by Mathieu Vernice. Over his last 82 matches, Vernice averages 4.18 yellow cards per game, with 30 fouls. In Ligue 1, across 12 matches, the yellow card stats are as follows: PSG average 1.3 per game, while Le Havre average 2. Both teams have been disciplined this season, making a bet on total yellow cards under 5.5 a reasonable option.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

PSG's average individual total in Ligue 1 stands at 2 goals per match, while Le Havre average 1.1. The overall scoring in their games is 2.9 for the home side and 2.5 for the visitors. Considering these stats, we suggest betting on total match goals over 2.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In the last twelve Ligue 1 fixtures, PSG have averaged 6.5 corners per game, and Le Havre have averaged 4.5. Both teams frequently utilize the flanks in their attacks, leading to corner opportunities. Therefore, we recommend betting on total corners over 8.5.

Comparing the level of PSG and Le Havre is challenging due to the vast gap in budget, player quality, and overall preparation between the two sides. We believe that on home turf, Paris will secure a confident victory with a scoreline of 3-0. PSG cannot afford to take risks at this stage, with many crucial matches ahead, so they need to dispatch such opponents quickly and with a comfortable goal margin. Therefore, we are backing a handicap of (-1.5) for the hosts.