Dortmund vs Stuttgart Prediction 22 November 2025

🔊 The marquee matchup of Bundesliga's 11th round is set to take place at Signal Iduna Park, featuring Borussia Dortmund against Stuttgart. Both teams are neck and neck, occupying third and fourth places with 21 points each, though Dortmund boast a superior goal difference. Can the hosts extend their unbeaten home streak? Much will hinge on how both clubs fare after the international break. Notably, the Black and Yellows have struggled against Stuttgart since 2023, failing to secure a win in their last six encounters — one draw followed by five losses. Let's dive into the prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Last season, Borussia suffered a heavy defeat at the MHP Arena, losing 5-1, and in the second leg at Signal Iduna Park, they were edged out 2-1. The last time Dortmund defeated Stuttgart was in 2022.

Borussia Dortmund Team Overview

🟡 The international break might have come at just the right time for Borussia, as the start of November saw the "Black and Yellows" falter. After a heavy defeat in Manchester (1-4) in the Champions League, Dortmund traveled to Hamburg to face the league newcomers. However, Carney Chukwuemeka's goal wasn't enough to secure all three points, as they succumbed to a late equalizer in stoppage time (1-1).

⚫ This draw marks the third for Niko Kovac's side after 10 rounds. Currently, with six wins and one loss, Dortmund sit in third place, trailing Leipzig by two points and Bayern by six. At Signal Iduna Park, Borussia remain unbeaten this season, with three wins and one draw. However, given their recent encounters against Stuttgart and their scoring struggles—having failed to score more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 matches—maintaining their unbeaten home record will be challenging.

Stuttgart Team Overview

⚪ Stuttgart, alongside Bayern, continues to be one of the best home teams in the Bundesliga, boasting a perfect record with 5 wins out of 5 matches. Before the international break, Sebastian Hoeneß's squad pulled off a comeback victory at the "MHP Arena" against Augsburg, overcoming a two-time deficit to win 3-2. Maximilian Mittelstädt leveled the score with a precise penalty in the 18th minute, and Deniz Undav restored parity again in the 39th minute. Undav then secured the win for the Swabians with a decisive goal ten minutes before full time.

🔴 However, Stuttgart's away form has been less convincing. In their 5 away league matches, they have yet to draw, suffering three defeats and securing two wins. Playing at Dortmund's stadium is never easy for any team, but Stuttgart managed to claim victories there in the past two seasons. Given their current form, they have a reasonable chance of securing three points.

Latest news

Borussia Dortmund

🎙 Niko Kovac on the upcoming opponent and their head coach Sebastian Hoeness: "What he has achieved at Stuttgart is incredible. To firmly establish themselves in the league after escaping the relegation zone, winning the Cup, and playing in the Champions League – I think he is currently one of the leading figures among German football coaches. We must and want to win our home matches and we know what we need to do this weekend. It's an important game because we want to be at the top of the table before the winter break, progress further in the Cup, and earn points in the Champions League. The stadium in Dortmund, with its fantastic fans, is a significant factor. It's important for us, but of course, it also matters to our opponent."

❌ Niklas Sule has yet to return to training due to a toe issue. Ramy Bensebaini is still struggling with back pain.

Stuttgart

🎙 Sebastian Hoeneß on the upcoming match: "We are eagerly anticipating this game as we have the chance to test ourselves against a top team. Playing in Dortmund is one of the toughest challenges in the Bundesliga. Borussia have started the season very well and possess great potential. Niko Kovac has managed to re-establish their team play and is driving them forward. We need to give 100 percent in every position. We must create opportunities and attack with purpose—it’s well-known that Dortmund concede very few goals."

❌ Defenders Luca Hackes and Ramon Hendriks, who recently had muscle issues, have partially resumed training, and their participation in the match is uncertain. Ermedin Demirovic, Yannick Keitel, and Justin Diehl remain unavailable to play.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

Benjamin Brand is set to officiate at Signal Iduna Park. Over his last ten matches, he's averaged 4.5 yellow cards. Borussia Dortmund's average after 10 rounds is 1.6 yellow cards per game, while Stuttgart's is 1.9. We recommend betting on a total of over 3.5 yellow cards—this has hit in 5 of the last 6 head-to-heads and in 5 of Stuttgart's last 6 matches.

⚽ Goal Prediction

Dortmund are strong at home; not only have they remained unbeaten, but they've conceded just one goal in five games—matching Bayern Munich. Stuttgart are less consistent away, especially against top-table teams, as demonstrated by their 1-3 loss in Leipzig. Therefore, we suggest betting on Stuttgart's individual total of under 1.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Dortmund lead the league after 10 rounds in corners earned, averaging 6 per game. Stuttgart follow closely with an average of 5.9. We propose betting on Stuttgart's individual total of over 3.5 corners, a bet that has succeeded in 6 of the last 7 matches for the Swabians.

This game is of significant interest and could provide answers to key tournament questions. Should Borussia stumble again, they will complicate their pursuit of the "Silver Salad Bowl" and might find themselves in a battle with Leipzig for second place. A victory for Stuttgart would reinforce their ambitions for a top-four finish. Recent history favors the "Swabians," but this season shows that Hoeneß's side handle weaker or equally matched opponents well in both the Europa League and Bundesliga, yet often falter against equally strong or stronger teams. We are backing Borussia to win and suggest it could be a "clean sheet" victory for Kovac's side – a 2-0 result.