Bournemouth vs West Ham Prediction 22 November 2025

🔊 Can Bournemouth make their way back into the European competition spots? After suffering two consecutive defeats in the Premier League, Andoni Iraola's side have dropped from second to ninth place. In the 12th round, the level of opposition will decrease. Moreover, the Cherries will return to their home ground, the Vitality Stadium. However, they will face a West Ham side that has gained significant momentum following a managerial change. The Hammers come into this clash on a two-game winning streak and are determined to climb out of the relegation zone. Can Nuno Espírito Santo's squad build on their recent success? We'll assess the odds for both teams in our editorial prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Since Bournemouth's return to the top tier of English football in 2022, the teams have faced off eight times. The Cherries have yet to taste victory. They've managed to snatch points from West Ham on four occasions, thanks to draws. In the other four encounters, the Londoners celebrated wins. In 6 out of these 8 meetings, the total goals scored did not exceed 3.5.

Bournemouth Team Overview

Just two rounds ago, Andoni Iraola's side were sitting in second place in the Premier League, enjoying a seven-match unbeaten run. However, after suffering two away defeats against Manchester City (1-3) and Aston Villa (0-4), they have slipped to ninth place. Yet, Bournemouth's current position is far from a disaster. They are only separated from the fifth spot, which guarantees European competition, by goal difference—a significant gap of 10 goals.

Despite the heavy away loss to Aston Villa in the 11th round of the Premier League (0-4), Bournemouth's performance shouldn't be seen as a failure. Half of Birmingham's goals came from set-pieces, while the others were long-range efforts, one of which took a series of deflections. Moreover, Andoni Iraola's men had a chance to get back into the game, but at 0-2, their top scorer Antoine Semenyo missed a penalty. In open play, the visitors actually created more dangerous opportunities, taking 13 shots with an xG value of 1.99 compared to Villa's 16 shots with an xG of 1.53.

West Ham United Team Overview

Nuno Espirito Santo continues to prove his worth in the Premier League, justifying his presence once again. With his new club, West Ham, he has finally turned the tide after a string of setbacks. Following his first triumph at the helm of the Hammers in the 10th round against Newcastle (3-1), another victory followed. Just before the international break, Burnley were defeated at the London Stadium (3-2). Although this win didn't lift the Londoners out of the relegation zone, they are only behind the safety of 17th place on goal difference.

West Ham's recent home victory over Burnley (3-2) wasn't as spectacular as their win over Newcastle in the 10th round of the Premier League. That match could be described as a showcase of goalkeeper blunders, with 3 out of 5 goals resulting from errors. The Clarets' keeper was particularly error-prone. To be fair, the hosts were far more threatening in attack. Their 15 shots resulted in 2.66 expected goals, while the visitors managed only 1.51 from their 16 attempts.

Latest news

Bournemouth

📝 As the winter transfer window approaches, interest in Bournemouth forward Antoine Semenyo is heating up among England's top clubs. Liverpool, Manchester City, and Tottenham have set their sights on the Cherries' top scorer this season. The 25-year-old winger has a release clause of £65 million in his contract, which can be activated during the first two weeks after the window opens. It's worth noting that in 2023, Semenyo made the move from Bristol City to Bournemouth for just £10 million. In the current Premier League campaign, the Ghanaian has netted six goals and provided three assists in 11 matches.

❌ Following the international break, Bournemouth saw two forwards return with injuries. The first is Ben Doak, who contributed two decisive actions (1 goal, 1 assist) in two matches for Scotland, helping his team secure direct qualification for the World Cup. The second is Antoine Semenyo, who was forced off in the 56th minute of a friendly against Japan due to an injury.

West Ham United

🎙 New details have emerged regarding Lucas Paquetá's betting case. The West Ham midfielder was accused in 2024 of influencing games for betting profits. However, in July 2025, he was acquitted. The prolonged investigation reportedly derailed a potential transfer to a more prestigious club, Manchester City. Here's how the Brazilian recently reflected on the situation: “I might have signed with City the week I received the letter from the Football Association. I missed out on that transfer from a professional standpoint—it could have been a significant step in my career. I think the situation affected me psychologically the most. The uncertainty about my future, even though I knew who I was, what I was doing, and what I had done. But the circumstances of the investigation and the way the federation acted instilled fear.”

❌ In the latest Premier League round, West Ham's injury list, which includes Niclas Füllkrug and Konstantinos Mavropanos, has grown with Freddie Potts joining them. However, the most significant loss for the Hammers will be Lucas Paquetá. He will miss the upcoming match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Thomas Bramall. Over his last 20 Premier League matches, he has averaged 3.6 yellow cards per game. Head-to-head clashes between these teams rarely become overly aggressive affairs: in 4 of their last 5 encounters, the total number of bookings stayed under 4.5. This trend is also evident in Bournemouth's matches individually. In 7 out of 8 games involving the "Cherries" in the Premier League, there were no more than four yellow cards shown. Considering Thomas Bramall's restrained style of officiating, we predict that at the Vitality Stadium, the total yellow cards will be under 4.5.

⚽️ Goal Predictions

Nuno Espírito Santo's teams are not typically known for prolific scoring. However, West Ham have found the back of the net six times in their last two matches — as many as in their previous seven games combined. Moreover, Bournemouth have failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their last 9 home games against the Londoners. We wouldn't be surprised if West Ham manage to score once again at the Vitality Stadium.

🚩 Corner Predictions

Under Nuno Espírito Santo, West Ham alternate between a 4-3-3 and a 4-2-3-1 formation. What remains constant is their emphasis on wing play. With players like Bowen and Summerville, the "Hammers" can rely on precise crosses not only from open play and counterattacks but also from set pieces. The Londoners rank in the top five Premier League teams for average corners per game (5.73 over 11 rounds). Therefore, it's reasonable to expect that West Ham will surpass the mark of 3.5 corners.

Despite the significant gap between the teams in the standings, their head-to-head clash promises to be intriguing. Bournemouth enter the match after two consecutive defeats, while West Ham have claimed victory twice in a row. Often, when teams are evenly matched, the spectacle suffers, and historically, encounters between these sides rarely deliver a goal-fest. In six of their last eight meetings, the total goals did not exceed 3.5. Additionally, key playmakers Antoine Semenyo and Lucas Paqueta will be absent on Saturday, which further supports a bet on total goals under 3.5. A fair outcome might be a high-scoring draw at 1-1.