Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction 22 November 2025

🔊 Can Chelsea break into the title race between Manchester City and Arsenal? While the leaders face contenders for European spots, the "Blues" have an away match against Premier League strugglers Burnley. The "Clarets" are hovering around the relegation zone, but at their home ground, Turf Moor, they often deliver commendable performances even against top teams. Will they manage to unsettle another giant? Let's delve into our editorial team's prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 In their last 10 Premier League encounters, Chelsea have not suffered a single defeat against Burnley. The Clarets managed to take points from the Blues only three times, thanks to draws. The remaining seven matches saw the Londoners claim victory. Notably, in 9 out of these 10 games, the total goals exceeded the 2.5 mark.

Burnley Team Overview

Not too long ago, Burnley managed to climb out of the Premier League relegation zone, thanks to victories over Leeds and Wolverhampton (2-0; 3-2). Scott Parker's side have shown they can compete at the lower end of the table. However, the Clarets can't expect much more at the moment, especially away from home. Their last match against West Ham ended in a defeat (2-3). Nevertheless, at Turf Moor, the Lancashire team put up a commendable fight. In five games, they only failed to earn points against Liverpool (0-1) and Arsenal (0-2).

The standout player for the Clarets over this four-match stretch has been Zian Flemming. During this period, the midfielder scored three goals, two of which came against Wolverhampton. That brace earned the Dutchman the Man of the Match title. Across all competitions, he has scored four goals. This level of productivity is not surprising despite his midfield position. Last season in the Championship, Flemming was the team's second top scorer with 14 goals.

Chelsea Team Overview

The "Pensioners" climbed to third place in the Premier League table following their recent triumph over Wolverhampton (3-0). Additionally, Enzo Maresca's squad extended their unbeaten run to four matches across all competitions. In total, the "Blues" have dropped points only twice in nine games. One of those instances was a Champions League match against Qarabag (2-2), where the head coach fielded a lineup similar to last season's Conference League roster.

João Pedro is edging closer to regaining his form at the start of the Premier League season. The summer signing for Chelsea recorded five goal contributions (2 goals, 3 assists) in the first four rounds of the championship. He then experienced a seven-match dry spell. However, in the last three games, the forward has scored twice, including a decisive goal against Tottenham (1-0).

Latest news

Burnley

🎙 Burnley's defender Maxime Esteve has become a symbol of the team's solid defense in last season's Championship campaign. Thanks in part to his efforts, the Clarets secured direct promotion to the Premier League, conceding just 16 goals over 46 matches. This summer, Tottenham and Crystal Palace showed interest in the Frenchman, but he opted to extend his contract with the Lancashire club. Here's how the player recently commented on his decision: “I wanted to make my choice as early as possible. I don’t like waiting because that’s just who I am. When I make a well-founded decision, it’s better for me, my family, and everyone else. So at that moment, I was fully focused on the club, and I had a serious conversation with the coach and the owner. They want me to stay with them for many more years if possible, so I made that choice and have no regrets. I am very, very happy here.”

❌ Armando Broja might miss the encounter with his former club. The Albanian forward was substituted during the World Cup qualifier against England due to a sprained right ankle. Otherwise, Burnley's injury list remains unchanged. Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni, and Connor Roberts have been out since the start of the season.

Chelsea

📝 As winter approaches, the usual transfer rumors surrounding Chelsea are intensifying. The London club has shown interest in Marcus Rashford, who is currently on loan at Barcelona. The Blues' head coach has described the Englishman as the perfect fit for his team. According to experts, Chelsea's management has significantly more resources than the Catalans. For Rashford to make a permanent move to the Blaugrana, he would have to accept a substantial pay cut. Chelsea have already initiated talks with the player's representatives to persuade him to move to the English capital.

❌ Joining Chelsea's familiar list of injured players—Levi Colwill, Dário Essugo, Cole Palmer, and Benoît Badiashile—is another casualty. Romeo Lavia started for the team against Qarabağ in the Champions League but was substituted after just eight minutes due to a thigh injury. The Belgian is sidelined for at least a month. This is his second injury of the season.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Peter Bankes, who averages 3.8 yellow cards per game over his last 20 Premier League matches. Chelsea have recently managed to steer clear of disciplinary issues. Under Enzo Maresca, they received nine red cards in 12 matches, but have now gone three games without a sending-off. However, in 12 of their last 13 away Premier League games, the Blues have picked up more than 1.5 yellow cards.

Burnley have a similar record, with more than 1.5 yellow cards in 6 of their last 7 matches, regardless of the venue. Considering the Clarets' formidable resistance at Turf Moor, even against top teams, we anticipate a fiercely contested match. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 3.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

In analyzing the head-to-head encounters between these teams, we've noted that their clashes tend to be quite entertaining. In 9 of their last 10 meetings, the total goals have exceeded 2.5, largely thanks to Chelsea. The Blues have scored more than 1.5 goals in six consecutive away matches. This trend continues in 4 of their last 5 away games across all competitions this season. Enzo Maresca's side is returning to their early season form, with new signings shining brightly. Besides João Pedro, Estevao has also hit top form. We believe Chelsea are capable of scoring more than 1.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Chelsea rank in the top two Premier League teams for the highest average number of corners over 11 rounds (6.45). This achievement is due to Enzo Maresca's attacking 4-2-3-1 setup. The Blues boast dynamic flanks, with Alejandro Garnacho and Estevao leading the charge in recent matches. Both players are in excellent form and can not only drive the ball into the box with individual skill but also contribute to team play through set-pieces. We suggest focusing on Chelsea's high corner count and opting for Chelsea total corners over 5.5.

Burnley have shown commendable resilience at Turf Moor, even in matches where they're the underdogs. In five of their seven home games, the Clarets have managed to score at least one goal. However, in the upcoming Premier League's Matchweek 12, they face a determined Chelsea side, against whom their home record is less than stellar. The last time the Blues dropped points in Burnley was back in 2017, and we don't foresee a change in that dynamic now. Thus, a bet on a Chelsea win seems most logical here. Nonetheless, the Clarets might manage to find the net, especially with the home crowd behind them. According to Scores24's editorial team, a likely scoreline would be a 2-1 victory for the visitors.