Alaves vs Celta Prediction 22 November 2025

🔈 Can the "Celts" break through the solid defensive lines of the "Glorious"? The opening match of Saturday's La Liga schedule features a clash between Alaves and Celta at the Mendizorroza. Both clubs have several weaknesses that prevent them from achieving consistent results and strengthening their league positions. Nevertheless, this only heightens interest in the upcoming match and raises the question: who will be quicker and more effective in exploiting their opponent's weaknesses? Bookmakers slightly favor the home side, but they also acknowledge the high ambitions of the visitors.

Head-to-Head

📊 Let's look at the head-to-head statistics over the last 10 games: Alaves have secured 2 wins, there have been 2 draws, and Celta have claimed victory 6 times. Last season, Alaves failed to triumph in their encounters, losing 1-2 at Balaidos and drawing 1-1 at Mendizorroza. Turning to average scoring over the same period: Alaves, known as the "Bean Destroyers," have a rate of 1, while Celta, the "Sky Blues," boast a 2.1 average.

Deportivo Alaves Team Overview

⚪ Eduardo Coudet's squad, despite their inconsistent results, are showing significant progress on the pitch. At present, the "Glorious" do not appear to be a team at risk of being dragged into a relegation battle. Their current 10th place standing with 15 points from 12 matches is evidence of that. Notably, Alaves boast one of the most effective defensive lines in Spain's top division, conceding approximately 0.92 goals per game (the 3rd best in the league). The "Mendizorroza" has become a fortress for the club from Vitoria-Gasteiz, with only one home defeat this season (against Sevilla, 1-2).

🔵 In the last round, the "Bean Destroyers" had an unsuccessful trip to "Montilivi," suffering a defeat to local side Girona (0-1). It's important to note that luck was not on the visitors' side. The expected goals ratio was 1.84 to 0.85 in favor of Alaves. The intensity generated from the "Glorious" transitional phases failed to convert into goals. Nevertheless, a special mention goes to the club's goalkeeper from Vitoria-Gasteiz, Antonio Sivera. The 29-year-old Spaniard has conceded more than one goal in a match only once this season—against Sevilla (1-2). This also highlights the high level of organization and cohesion within their defensive line.

Celta de Vigo Team Overview

🔵 After a rocky start to the season, the "Celts" have found their stride, suffering just one defeat in their last nine matches across all competitions. This solid form has positively impacted their standing in the national league, where they currently sit in 13th place. Notably, Celta have been effective on the road, with only one loss in their last five away games. On average, they score 1.25 goals per game while conceding 1.5. We'll soon find out if the "Sky Blues" can pull off another successful away trip.

📌 In the last round of La Liga, Claudio Giráldez's squad was outmatched in their head-to-head with Barcelona (2-4). Defensive lapses and a lack of midfield balance were key reasons for their defeat at Balaídos. The Spanish tactician has been shaping Celta into a cohesive unit based on a counter-pressing tactical model for several years now. This system features a formation with three central defenders, allowing freedom for the wing players. A standout performer is Vigo's attacking spearhead, Borja Iglesias, who has already netted five goals and provided two assists in the current La Liga campaign, ranking as the 7th top scorer in the league.

Latest news

Deportivo Alaves

🎤 Ahead of La Liga's 13th round, Alavés newcomer Lucas Boyé shared a brief interview as he continues to adapt to his new environment: “My love for football is immense. You have to handle both criticism and praise. I have the competitive Argentine spirit. When you feel lost, it weighs on me internally. Fighting is something that comes naturally to me. I've had battles in life, but the intensity on the pitch amplifies, and you transform. I'm just a regular person, nothing special. Like anyone else, I have my ups and downs. Whenever I join a new club, I strive to improve. I feel great here, I feel valued. The group is very healthy and there's serious competitiveness within it.”

❌ Among the unavailable Alavés players for the upcoming match, Facundo Garcés stands out as he continues to serve his suspension.

Celta de Vigo

📰 Consistent defensive lapses have been a perennial issue for the club this season. The last match vividly illustrated 34-year-old Marcos Alonso's inability to single-handedly cover a crucial central defensive position. The Spaniard failed to win any aerial or ground duels. Moreover, his two individual errors led to shots on target from the Blaugrana. On a positive note, ahead of the recent clash with Barcelona (2-4), Fran Beltrán was honored with a commemorative award from the management for his 236th appearance in the Sky Blues' jersey. This achievement allowed him to surpass Aleksandr Mostovoi in the rankings. Now, the Spaniard ranks third in this category, trailing only Hugo Mallo (309) and Iago Aspas (382).

❌ In the Vigo club's injury list are Hugo Álvarez (ankle injury), Carlos Domínguez (ankle injury), Javier Rueda (thigh injury), and Williot Swedberg (ankle injury).

⚽ Goal Prediction

⚽ Goal Prediction

When considering the potential goal tally for this match, it's crucial to note the average goals scored by each side this season: Alaves average 0.9, while Celta Vigo average 1.3. The defensive strategy of the "Glorious Ones" has posed significant challenges for most opponents in this La Liga campaign. Given Celta's struggles against compact defenses, a similar scenario is anticipated. Our pick is under 2.5 total goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In Celta's last 5 matches, there have been no more than 10 corner kicks. A similar pattern is evident in 4 of Alaves' previous 5 games. Let's also consider the average number of corners conceded by each team this season: the "Glorious Ones" allow 4.3, while the "Celts" permit 4.8. Taking all this into account, a reasonable bet would be Alaves' individual corner total under 5.5.

It's worth noting Alaves' impressive performances at home, with just one defeat in the current La Liga campaign. Furthermore, the "Glorious" have only conceded more than one goal in a match once this season, highlighting the clear strategy of the club from Vitoria-Gasteiz. Meanwhile, the "Celts," as previously mentioned, struggle to break down solid defensive lines, leading to regular point losses. We predict a final score of 1-0. The key pick is Alaves to win with a handicap (0).