Barcelona vs Athletic Prediction 22 November 2025

🔈 Will the Blaugrana secure a victory in their debut match at the newly renovated Camp Nou? One of the most intriguing fixtures of La Liga's 13th round is the clash between Barcelona and Athletic in the Catalan capital. For the first time in 909 days, Barça fans will be able to return to their home ground to support their beloved team. Meanwhile, the Basques aim to spoil the party and extend their winning streak to two consecutive matches. However, bookmakers aren't expecting miracles from the visitors, giving the Blaugrana fivefold odds in their favor.

Head-to-Head

📊 Over their last 10 head-to-head encounters in La Liga, the Basques have yet to defeat the Blaugrana, with 2 draws and 8 losses. Last season, Athletic came up short both at Montjuïc (1-2) and at San Mamés (0-3). Notably, the average scoring during this stretch shows Barcelona at 2.1 and Athletic at 0.5. Interestingly, the Lions' last victory over Barça in La Liga dates back to the 2019/20 season (1-0). On the road, the Basques haven't tasted success since 2001, when they secured a 2-1 win.

Barcelona Team Overview

🔵 In their upcoming home matches, Barcelona have an extra incentive: a state-of-the-art arena that compels the players to give their all for the desired result. The victory-hungry crowd will also play a significant role, even though Camp Nou will be limited to a capacity of 45,000 until the start of the 2026/27 season. After their triumph over Celta Vigo (4-2) in the last La Liga round, Hansi Flick's squad have reduced the gap to Athletic to just three points. Additionally, Barça have reinforced their status as the league's most prolific team, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

🔴 In the previous La Liga round, the Blaugrana managed to outplay Celta Vigo (4-2) at Balaídos thanks to the individual brilliance of their players. Special mention goes to Robert Lewandowski, who, despite a noticeable dip in form, secured a hat-trick. We must also highlight the impressive condition of Marcus Rashford, who stands a strong chance of signing a permanent contract with Barcelona at the end of the season. Currently, the Englishman is the top assist provider in the Spanish league with seven assists. Effective positional play and proper distribution of responsibilities among players are elevating the Blaugrana to a new level.

Athletic Bilbao Team Overview

🔴 The "Lions" managed to break their three-match losing streak across all competitions in the last round, securing a home victory against Real Oviedo (1-0). The standout performer of the match was Nico Williams, who found the back of the net in the 25th minute. Despite their struggles on the pitch, the Basques have inched closer to the top-six zone, raising their points tally to 17. However, their scoring record remains a concern—averaging just one goal per game, ranking them 15th in the league. Away matches continue to be a sore point for Athletic fans, with only one win in five trips.

⚪ In the previous round of Spain's top tier, Athletic converted their dominance into a much-needed victory. Their victim was league newcomer Real Oviedo (1-0). Despite the narrow scoreline, the Bilbao side truly dominated. A glance at the expected goals tells the story: 1.7 to 0.22. Ernesto Valverde is renowned for instilling a cautious style of play focused primarily on defensive solidity. It's no coincidence that the Basques concede just 1.08 goals per game. The main issue remains attacking efficiency—Nico Williams is the top scorer with only two goals in this La Liga season.

Latest news

Barcelona

📰 Before the reopening of the revamped Camp Nou, Lionel Messi visited the stadium, sparking numerous rumors about a potential return of the Argentine magician to the Catalan club. Victor Font, a candidate for the Barcelona presidency, commented on this topic: "We must welcome Lionel Messi back as soon as possible and do everything to ensure he gets the role he mentioned last week, which all Barcelona fans would love to see him in. It's not enough to just erect a statue for him. Personally, as a fan, it gives me chills, but obviously, it all depends on him. What we shouldn't do is try to exploit him. I think Laporta has done this many times and has done it incorrectly. A particularly striking example was during the last elections. Another example of an unfulfilled promise."

❌ In the Catalan club's injury list are Gavi (knee injury), Pedri (muscle injury), and Marc-André ter Stegen (back injury). Due to suspension, Frenkie de Jong will miss the upcoming match. Meanwhile, the participation of Joan García, Lamine Yamal, and Raphinha remains uncertain due to injuries.

Athletic Bilbao

📰 One of the standout discoveries from Athletic's academy this season is Selton Sanchez. The 18-year-old Spanish midfielder made his debut in La Liga, starting in last week's match. Several Spanish insiders report that the club's management has even extended the contract of this emerging talent during the international break. Here's what Selton's youth coach, Luis Francisco Lorenzo, had to say: "After joining Athletic, Selton played in an end-of-season tournament in Arrigorriaga. I remember it vividly. A penalty was awarded in Athletic's favor, and I told his father, Pedro, that this kid could score a penalty with a rabona. And what did he do? He took the penalty with a rabona! Into the top corner, the goalkeeper didn't even move. Of course, everyone went crazy. He was just 10 years old, and in his first match for Athletic, he takes a penalty with a rabona! He's always had this rebellious desire to indulge himself. That's what sets Selton apart from others."

❌ Among the unavailable players for Athletic's upcoming league match are Yeray Alvarez (suspension), Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta (suspension), Unai Eguiluz (knee injury), Benat Prados (knee injury), Marouane Sannadi (knee injury), and Inaki Williams (groin injury).

⚽ Goal Prediction

⚽ Goal Prediction

In each of Barcelona's last 10 matches, there have been at least 3 goals scored. It's also worth noting that the Blaugrana are the league's top scorers, averaging around 2.67 goals per game. Given the heightened motivation for the Catalan club with their debut match at the renovated Camp Nou, we anticipate strong attacking play from the hosts and high scoring from their side. Our editorial choice is Barcelona's individual total over 2 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

It's important to consider the average number of corners earned by each side this season: Barcelona averages 6.8, while Athletic averages 5.6. Barcelona's attacking line is in fantastic form and consistently benefits from wing play. Based on this, it's reasonable to expect a flurry of attacks from both sides, inevitably leading to a significant number of corners. Our betting pick is total corners over 9.5.

Given their significant personnel and performance issues, it's hard to expect Athletic to secure a victory in the upcoming clash. Moreover, the head-to-head record doesn't favor the visitors either; since 2001, the 'Lions' have been unable to triumph in an away match against Catalonia's Barcelona. Hansi Flick's side, however, are incredibly motivated and aim to kickstart a new era at the renovated stadium. We predict a final score of 3-1, with the key bet being Barcelona to win with a -1 handicap.