Liechtenstein vs Wales Prediction 16 November 2025

🔊 Can Wales level with North Macedonia on points before their head-to-head clash? The Welsh side desperately need a convincing win against Liechtenstein. They trail by three points for the second spot in Group J and are six goals behind on goal difference. However, Craig Bellamy's squad often struggles against low defensive blocks. Can they break this trend and score a few goals at the Rheinpark Stadium in Vaduz? Let's assess the odds in our editorial prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 The national teams previously clashed during the qualification for the 2010 World Cup. Back then, Wales won both encounters with identical 2-0 scores. In the current qualifiers, the balance of power remains unchanged, but the goal advantage has slightly increased to 3-0.

Liechtenstein Team Overview

Liechtenstein are among the weakest national teams not only in Europe but worldwide. In the FIFA rankings, they sit at 206th out of 210. There seems to be no immediate prospect of improvement. In the current qualifiers, Konrad Fünfstück's side are the only team yet to score a goal. Their last goal in official matches came nearly a year ago, on November 18, in the Nations League against San Marino (1-3).

Looking at the current qualification campaign, at least two teams have a worse goal difference than Liechtenstein—Moldova and San Marino. However, the group for the "Red and Blues" is not the strongest. Yet, they managed to concede four goals against Kazakhstan, even amidst changes in their management (0-4). Konrad Fünfstück's squad generally struggle to find a path to the opponent's goal. Their attempts in the final third against the "Hawks" resulted in just three shots with a total xG value of 0.32.

Wales Team Overview

The Welsh maintain a solid chance of advancing to the playoffs in the current qualification round. They currently sit third in Group J, but after their match against Liechtenstein, they aim to level on points with North Macedonia, who are in second place. However, Craig Bellamy's side struggles with scoring against lower-tier teams. For instance, against both Liechtenstein and Kazakhstan, the "Dragons" couldn't score more than three times. Besides trailing by three points to the Macedonians, they also need to close the goal difference gap, which stands at six goals.

We've previously discussed Wales' challenges in breaking down teams with a low defensive block. Yet, the beauty of Craig Bellamy's counter-attacking football was evident in their two matches against Belgium. Against the "Red Devils," the Welsh scored five of their 13 qualification goals. However, in their last home game, they showed a lack of incisiveness in positional play. Despite having 65% possession, the "Dragons" managed only nine shots with a total xG of 1.07. Thus, the final score of 2-4 was an overperformance for the hosts.

Latest news

Liechtenstein

❌ Counting on an early goal from Liechtenstein in the qualifiers seems unlikely, as two forwards, Kenny Kindle and Fabio Luque-Notaro, will miss the international fixtures. Additionally, defender Jens Hofer is serving a suspension due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Wales

🎙 The head coach of the Wales national team reflected on their two matches against Belgium, both of which ended in defeat (3-4; 2-4). "Since I took over in September, I've been immensely proud to be their coach. After every training session, after every game, they told me that. I hope these two matches against one of Europe's strongest teams, Belgium, showed them what they're capable of. They need to understand how good they are. It was gratifying. I hope this gives us confidence and helps us become the team we want to be. We're moving forward," said Craig Bellamy.

❌ The Wales national team is preparing for the upcoming qualification cycle with a far from optimal squad. The upcoming game will see the absence of team captain Aaron Ramsey, first-choice goalkeeper Danny Ward, EURO 2016 bronze medalist Ben Davies, and Fulham's key midfielder Harry Wilson.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by the main referee Juxhin Xhaja from Albania. Over his last 10 matches across all competitions, he has averaged 4.9 yellow cards. Liechtenstein find it challenging to compete against more renowned opponents, including in physical play: in 4 out of 6 matches involving their team, the total number of cautions did not exceed 3.5. The "Red-Blue" themselves have averaged two yellow cards over this stretch. Considering the class difference with Wales, we don't anticipate the game turning overly aggressive. Our prediction: total yellow cards under 3.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

We've already mentioned Wales' struggles against defensive teams. Their key creators, Daniel James, Brennan Johnson, and David Brooks, excel in counter-attacking play. In matches against Group J's underdogs in the 2025 World Cup qualifiers, the "Dragons" haven't scored more than they did against the favorites. The total goals in 8 of Liechtenstein's last 9 home games did not exceed five. A similar trend is observed with Wales in 10 of their last 11 away games. Therefore, it seems reasonable to go with total goals under 4.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Craig Bellamy's team feels more comfortable playing on the counter. However, this won't be the case in Vaduz. Since the Welsh aren't particularly adept at positional attacks, the number of set-pieces near the opponent's goal might suffer as a result. Bookmakers offer an attractive high line for corners for the visitors in this match. We suggest taking advantage of it and betting on Wales' total corners under 9.5.

Wales need to catch up with North Macedonia not only in terms of points but also goal difference. Only then can they hope for a conditional draw with the "Red Lions" and advance to the playoffs based on additional criteria. However, as we've noted, the Welsh have struggled with finishing against weaker opponents. Their first match against Liechtenstein ended with a modest victory (3-0). This time, they need to surpass that margin. We believe the "Dragons" are capable of doing so, and therefore, our main bet is on Wales to win with a handicap of (-3.5). However, it's hard to envision a score larger than 4-0 in favor of the Welsh.