Kazakhstan vs Belgium Prediction 15 November 2025

🔊 Can Belgium secure their World Cup spot with a result against Kazakhstan? The "Red Devils" top Group J in the World Cup qualifiers with a game in hand, making the match in Astana potentially decisive. However, it won't be a walk in the park. Since their managerial change, the "Hawks" have remained unbeaten in both matches of the October cycle. Can they extend their successful run at the Astana Arena? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on the odds for both teams.

Head-to-Head

📊 The national teams are set to face off in their second match of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers and their fourth encounter overall. Previously, they met twice during the Euro 2020 qualifiers. Belgium emerged victorious in all three meetings, keeping clean sheets each time. The overall scoreline stands at 11-0. The Red Devils' most dominant victory came in this current tournament with a 6-0 win.

Kazakhstan Team Overview

The Kazakhstan national team, under their new head coach Talgat Baysufinov, who took over after a heavy defeat to Belgium (0-6), are delivering impressive results. In the November World Cup qualifying cycle, the "Hawks" bounced back with a victory over Liechtenstein (4-0) and a draw against North Macedonia (1-1). However, Kazakhstan have already lost their chance to advance from the group, as they trail the Macedonians by six points for second place, and the head-to-head results do not favor Baysufinov's side.

Galymzhan Kenzhebek has been in excellent form recently. Over the last nine rounds of the Kazakhstan Championship, the Elimai forward has recorded nine goal contributions (6 goals and 3 assists). Additionally, he was involved in 3 of the 4 goals against Liechtenstein. His two goals and an assist earned him the title of Man of the Match.

Belgium Team Overview

The "Red Devils" are on the brink of securing their spot in the 2026 World Cup. With a game in hand, they lead North Macedonia by one point in Group J. Moreover, Belgium have navigated the current qualifiers without suffering a defeat. In their latest outing, Rudy Garcia's squad triumphed over Wales away (4-2), snapping a nine-match winless streak on the road.

As they approach the November qualifying cycle, Belgium aren't at full strength, a topic we'll delve into later. Nevertheless, Rudy Garcia's roster boasts enough depth to withstand the absence of key players. Leandro Trossard (Arsenal) and Jeremy Doku (Manchester City) have both hit a rich vein of form for their clubs, each contributing three goal involvements in their last four matches in England. Additionally, Doku, with three goals, is the second-highest scorer for the national team in the qualifiers.

Latest news

Kazakhstan

🎙 The head coach of Kazakhstan admitted that ahead of the match against North Macedonia, the national team's lineup underwent several changes due to injuries. He also evaluated the performance of one of his players. "As you saw today, we made changes to the lineup because of injuries to two players. Therefore, before the game, we told the guys: 'If you're not 100 percent ready, let us know immediately.' We thought this would be more beneficial for the team since we have young players who are ready to play. Galymzhan Kenzhebek is, of course, a key player, but he needs consistency — that's one thing. On the other hand, we noticed that opponents targeted his leg at every opportunity. You saw how they kicked him in the same spot on his leg three times. We were afraid he might get injured," shared Talgat Baysufinov.

❌ The biggest loss for Kazakhstan is Bakhtiyor Zaynutdinov — the national team's all-time top scorer with 15 goals. The Dynamo Moscow midfielder suffered an injury in his first match for the club following the October international break.

Belgium

🎙 Belgium's head coach received a yellow card in the match against Wales for arguing with the referee following Wales' second goal. As a result, Rudi Garcia will miss the upcoming game against Kazakhstan. Here's how the coach reacted to his suspension and the referee's decision: "For me, Wales' second goal was tainted by a foul. It seems I've been suspended for the match in Kazakhstan. That's fine; it spares me from a long trip."

❌ Belgium face significant squad issues ahead of the November World Cup qualifying cycle. Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku, Zeno Debast, and Malick Fofana are all sidelined due to injuries and won't be called up to the national team. Thibaut Courtois' participation is also in doubt.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Donatas Rumsas from Lithuania. His average number of yellow cards over the last 10 matches stands at 2.9. Kazakhstan have averaged 2.4 cautions in their past five games, while Belgium have averaged 1.4. With the change in coaching staff, the "Hawks" have regained their defensive solidity. Breaking through Kazakhstan's low block is challenging, partly due to their tactical fouling. For instance, they picked up five yellow cards in a draw against Macedonia. Considering their high average of "bookings" even under the previous management, it's expected that Kazakhstan's total yellow cards will exceed 2.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

The revamped structure within Kazakhstan's national team has brought new life to their attack. They have netted five goals in their last two matches—two more than in their previous four World Cup qualifiers. However, without their primary playmaker and top scorer, Bakhtiyar Zaynutdinov, they might struggle. Additionally, the "Hawks" have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 home games. Therefore, a bet on both teams to score (no) seems highly probable.

🚩 Corner Prediction

The new head coach of Kazakhstan has instilled stability in their defense, reverting to a low defensive block. Nevertheless, Talgat Baisufinov implements exclusively attacking formations: 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1. This allows them to quickly open up and transition into dynamic counterattacks. With their swift flanks, the "Hawks" can also capitalize on set pieces in the opponent's half. For instance, they have delivered two or more corners in 7 of their last 8 matches. We believe that without the extra pressure from tournament standings, especially in front of their home crowd, Kazakhstan won't sit back defensively for too long. Opportunities up front should allow the hosts to earn more than 1.5 corners.

Both national teams are dealing with key player absences, but the difference lies in Belgium's squad depth, which allows them to maintain their style of play despite missing several players. With Jeremy Doku and Leandro Trossard in top form up front, Belgium are poised for a comfortable victory even on the road. Moreover, the "Red Devils" ended a nine-match away winless streak by defeating Wales, boosting their morale ahead of the trip to Kazakhstan. The hosts will find it challenging to counter Belgium, especially without Bakhtiyor Zaynutdinov, and even with him, they failed to score in five of their last six home games. A logical prediction here is a 2-0 triumph for the visitors, making a bet on a Belgium win with a -1.5 handicap a sound choice.