Luxembourg vs Germany Prediction 15 November 2025

🔊 Germany are heading to the Stade de Luxembourg aiming to secure three points and maintain their lead in Group A, ahead of Slovakia, who will simultaneously host Northern Ireland. For the Germans, this away fixture presents a prime opportunity to boost their goal difference before the return match against Slovakia on November 17. However, neither Julian Nagelsmann's squad nor our editorial team should overlook the task at hand. Let's dive into the analysis of the match at the Stade de Luxembourg.

Head-to-Head

📊 A month ago in Sinsheim, at the PreZero Arena, the Germans thrashed the Luxembourgers 4-0. David Raum, Serge Gnabry, and Joshua Kimmich, who scored twice (once from a penalty), all found the back of the net.

Luxembourg Team Overview

🔴 Jeff Strasser took charge of the "Red Lions" on August 19, but the national team has yet to surprise anyone, losing all four previous Group A matches with a combined score of 1-10. Despite the progress in Luxembourg football and the emergence of players competing in the top German and Portuguese leagues, the overall level of the team still falls short of competing with their rivals. The closest Luxembourg came to earning points was in a September home match against Slovakia, but they narrowly lost (0-1). How the "Red Lions" can stand up to the "German machine," which has yet to secure its ticket to North America, remains unanswered. Following this encounter at Stade de Luxembourg, the team will head to Belfast for their final qualification match against Northern Ireland, who still have a chance at qualification. However, their prospects there are bleak, considering their home defeat (1-3).

Germany Team Overview

⚪ Germany and Slovakia are tied for first place in the group, each with nine points. The only thing keeping Nagelsmann's team at the top is goal difference: Germany boasts an 8:3 (+5) compared to Slovakia's 5:2 (+3). They are set to face off in the final qualifying match on November 17, with Germany hosting the game. Before that, Germany will travel to Luxembourg, while Slovakia will welcome Northern Ireland, who trail the leading duo by just three points. Interestingly, Germany have yet to officially qualify for the finals but have already unveiled their kit for the upcoming World Cup. Theoretically, if the "Mannschaft" defeat Luxembourg but lose to Slovakia in Leipzig, they would finish second, sending them to the playoffs. However, Nagelsmann's side must handle their business and win both matches if they truly aim to contend for the World Cup.

Latest news

Luxembourg

🎙️ Jeff Strasser on the upcoming fixture: "In any case, the start of the match in Germany wasn't as we had prepared, and we'll make a special effort to play the second leg as planned. The pressure from Germany was particularly intense in the first quarter-hour—they were striving hard to reach a certain block height. This is something we must generally try to avoid. However, when I watch Germany's games against other teams, they also showcased this strength against them. So, we need to find the right solution. We have to enter the game correctly and approach it in the best possible way."

❌ Defender Enes Mahmutovic and attacking midfielder Yvandro Borges Sanches are out of the squad for the upcoming two matches due to injuries.

Germany

🎙️ Julian Nagelsmann on the German national team's squad for the upcoming matches: "These players have been called up based on a combination of factors: ideally, having two players per position, current form, and team structure. The most crucial aspect is the confidence that these players can secure six points from the two matches and qualify for the World Cup. After a very poor start in the qualifiers, we're now in a good situation. The players have just gone through an intense phase with their clubs, having played many matches. In last month's games, we scored the necessary goals, but in my opinion, we didn't create enough attacking threat. We need to be a bit sharper up front."

❌ 'Die Mannschaft' captain Joshua Kimmich has picked up a minor injury. He will travel with the team to Luxembourg but won't play in tomorrow's match. Nico Schlotterbeck will also not take the field; however, there is hope that the defender will return for the decisive clash against Slovakia.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The main referee appointed for the match is John Brooks, who averages around four yellow cards per game. The "Red Lions" have accumulated 11 yellow cards over their last four matches—three in three games and one against Germany in Sinsheim. Meanwhile, the "Bundesmannschaft" players have received five cautions in the same period. We are backing a Luxembourg win in yellow cards—Strasser's squad have not been outdone in this category by anyone in their group.

⚽ Goal Prediction

Few believe Luxembourg will find the net, so we'll focus on Germany's attacking prowess. In reality, the "Red Lions" have not suffered a heavy defeat in official matches since 2023, when they conceded nine goals to Portugal. Since then, Luxembourg have played 15 official games, with only one significant loss occurring last month against Germany. Considering the "Bundesmannschaft" hold the top spot primarily due to goal difference, we predict an individual total for Germany over 2.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

The corners tally in their first head-to-head was 7-0 (obviously in favor of one side). Overall, in four group matches, Luxembourg have earned 10 corners, while Germany have secured 23. For those inclined towards the hosts, we suggest a bold bet—individual total for Luxembourg over 1.5 corners. This bet has come through in 10 of the last 11 matches for the "Red Lions".

Nagelsmann's squad needs to score as many goals as possible to maintain their top spot ahead of their clash with Slovakia. Meanwhile, Slovakia will be playing simultaneously against Northern Ireland on home turf in Košice, aiming for revenge after their sole group stage defeat in Belfast last month (0-2).

Additionally, the "Mannschaft" must build psychological confidence before their decisive home game, where everything will be at stake. Every player called up for these matches needs to prove they deserve a spot in the World Cup squad next summer. As for Luxembourg, we do not expect any heroics from them. We’re backing a Germany win with a -2.5 handicap, anticipating a dominant scoreline of 5-0.