Armenia vs Hungary Prediction 14 November 2025

🔊 Can Armenia avenge their away defeat to Hungary in the World Cup 2026 qualifiers? The Hungarians have only fallen to the group favorites, Portugal, in Group F. However, two draws have kept them from pulling away from the chasing pack. They are just two points ahead of the Armenians. The upcoming clash will take place in Yerevan at the Vazgen Sargsyan Stadium. It's here that the hosts secured their sole qualifying victory against Ireland. Can they replicate that success against Hungary? Let's assess both teams' chances in our editorial prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 The national teams are set to face off for their second match in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers and only the second time in their history. The initial encounter in Budapest ended with a 2-0 victory for the hosts. Hungary dominated much of the game, although they did ease up a bit after netting their first goal in the 56th minute. Despite eight attempts from the visitors, they managed only 0.53 xG, while the Hungarians accumulated 1.8 xG.

Armenia Team Overview

Armenia kicked off their current qualifying campaign under the guidance of new head coach Yeghishe Melikyan, the third manager in just six months. They made a lively start with a surprising home victory over Ireland (2-1). However, that triumph remains their only win, as they struggled on the road against the "Green Army" and Hungary (0-1; 0-2), as well as Portugal, even though it was in Yerevan (0-5), making it difficult to expect much more.

The Caucasians have yet to secure points away from home. Their closest chance to break this trend came during an away match against Ireland in Dublin. Yeghishe Melikyan's squad managed to hold their ground territorially, even slightly edging out their opponents in possession (51% to 49%). Nevertheless, they struggled to create any meaningful attacking opportunities, registering only four shots with a combined xG of 0.29. The situation was further impacted by the 52nd-minute sending off of Tigran Barseghyan, one of the national team's leaders and a key player for Slovan Bratislava, where he has contributed 11 goal involvements this season (5 goals, 6 assists).

Hungary Team Overview

The Hungarians, unlike the Armenians, had a shaky start to their World Cup 2026 qualifying campaign, especially considering their caliber. In their opening match, they failed to secure a win against Ireland in Dublin, despite holding a two-goal lead during the game (2-2). Following this, they were narrowly defeated by Portugal in Budapest (2-3). However, Marco Rossi's squad deserves credit for their determination in that match, as they came from behind twice and only conceded the decisive goal in the 86th minute. The October qualifying stage was much more successful for them. First, the Hungarians confidently defeated Armenia at home (2-0). They then put up a commendable fight against Portugal on the road (2-2).

Let's take a closer look at Hungary's away game against Portugal in Lisbon (2-2). Despite the hosts dominating possession (65% to 35%), the Hungarians matched them creatively. With limited time on the ball, the visitors managed 17 shots with a total expected goals (xG) of 2, while Portugal had 20 shots with an xG of 2.23. The standout performer for Hungary was Dominik Szoboszlai. The Liverpool midfielder was the most accurate with his shots on target (three times), scoring a goal and providing an assist.

Latest news

Armenia

🎙 The head coach of the Armenian national team commented on their recent defeat to Ireland in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. "Yes, the red card changed the game, but it's my player's mistake, and therefore my mistake. Everything that happens with my players is my responsibility. However, we prepared well. We knew the opponent would change their formation during the match, and we adapted quickly. We managed to close down dangerous areas and create chances up front. I'm confident that if we had played with equal numbers, we could have scored. Even with a man down, we took risks and pushed forward — we were close to equalizing. I believe we're on the right track, and this team has a bright future," said Yeghishe Melikyan.

❌ Due to various circumstances, forwards Lucas Zelarayan (Belgrano, Argentina), David Davidyan (Rotor, Russia), and Artur Miranyan (Bnei Sakhnin, Israel) will miss the November training camp. Additionally, midfielder Tigran Barseghyan (Slovan Bratislava, Slovakia) is serving a suspension due to a red card and will miss a total of three matches.

Hungary

🎙 Hungary's head coach praised both his players and the opposition following their draw with Portugal in Lisbon. "After the final whistle, I want to say that my players showed courage, strength, and character. We played against a world-class team, which I consider one of the best national teams globally, alongside Spain, Brazil, and Argentina. Not necessarily in that order, but it's an elite level," said Marco Rossi.

❌ Hungary face a significant setback ahead of their match against Armenia, with the absence of two key attacking players: Roland Sallai (Galatasaray, Turkey) and Barnabás Varga (Ferencváros, Hungary). Both forwards are suspended and will only be available to help their team in the match against Portugal.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by the referee Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez from Spain. Over his last 20 La Liga matches, he averages 4.3 yellow cards. Armenia have picked up three yellow cards across four matches, while Hungary have accumulated eight (averaging two per match). With only two points separating the teams, the stakes are high; the Armenians could potentially challenge for second place, while Hungary might even contend for first, depending on the outcome between Portugal and Ireland. Considering Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez's refereeing style, we predict that the total yellow cards will exceed 3.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Hungary are not the most reliable team in the current World Cup qualifiers. Even within their group, the Hungarians concede more than third-placed Ireland. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six away games. On the other hand, Armenia have scored in 9 out of their last 11 home matches. Despite losing three forwards ahead of the November qualifiers, Armenia's creative force lies in midfielder Eduard Spertsyan, who is having an impressive season in Russia (7 goals and 10 assists across all competitions). We expect this to enable Armenia to score at least one goal.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Hungary's head coach Marco Rossi primarily employs an attacking 4-3-3 formation, which can shift to a 4-1-4-1 setup. The quick flanks in the first formation intersect with a midfield overload in the second. Both setups allow the Hungarians to create set-piece opportunities either through vertical play or positional attacks. Over their last five matches, Hungary average 4.4 corners per game, even playing one match with a man down. We anticipate that with full squads, Hungary's total corners could exceed 4.5.

Armenia have only managed to pick up points in Yerevan during this qualification, thanks to a win over Ireland. The team rarely concedes defeat on home soil without a fight; in fact, they have scored in 9 of their last 11 matches there. The impressive form of their star player, Eduard Spertsyan, could be crucial in capitalizing on opportunities.

The Hungarians, on the other hand, have shown solid performances on the road. In this qualification campaign, they remain unbeaten away, although they haven't secured all three points in either of their two matches. Against Ireland, a red card played a significant role against the "Magyars." They managed to equalize against Portugal only in injury time, indicating some defensive issues for Marco Rossi's squad. However, they are capable of tipping the scoreline in their favor even without key attacking players (2-1). Given these circumstances, betting on over 2.5 total goals could be a smart move.