France vs Ukraine Prediction 14 November 2025

🔊 Can Ukraine upset France in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers? We'll find out on Thursday when these two face off in a European Group D showdown. The hosts are understandably the bookmakers' favorites. But will they be able to prove their superiority on the pitch? Read our prediction for this match in our article.

Head-to-Head

📊 Over the past five years, these teams have faced each other three times. Two of those encounters ended in a draw, while the French celebrated victory once with a 2-0 win.

France Team Overview

🔵 The French national team are confidently navigating this qualifying cycle, sitting atop their group standings. Didier Deschamps' squad have amassed 10 points over four matches, boasting a goal difference of (+6) with a tally of 9 scored and 3 conceded. The first round of qualification saw Les Bleus go unbeaten, although a draw slightly marred their overall performance.

⚪ Notably, France conceded just one goal in their opening three matches, securing victories over Ukraine (2-0), Iceland (2-1), and Azerbaijan (3-0). In their latest outing, Deschamps' side drew against Iceland (2-2), pulling away to an unassailable lead. This ensures France will finish in the top two, but only the top spot guarantees a direct ticket to the World Cup!

Ukraine Team Overview

🟡 The Ukrainian national team currently sits in second place in Group D, three points ahead of Iceland and trailing France by the same margin. A win in the upcoming match would solve many problems for the "Yellow-Blues," but securing it on the opponent's turf is incredibly challenging. In this qualifying campaign, the opponents have already faced off, with Ukraine losing 2-0.

🔵 In their last two matches, Serhiy Rebrov's squad showcased impressive football, earning two well-deserved victories that reignited their pursuit of a spot at the 2026 World Cup. To recap, Ukraine defeated Iceland away with a 5-3 scoreline, and then claimed a 2-1 victory over Azerbaijan in what was technically a home game.

Latest news

France

🎙 France's head coach Didier Deschamps stated at a press conference that he does not plan to call up Olivier Giroud to the national team, even with injuries to some key players. "He made it clear. Even if he added the words: 'never say never.' If there is a widespread injury crisis, as long as he remains fit and playing, I will have to make a decision. Right now, I'm not considering this question and I hope I never have to," Deschamps declared.

❌ The French squad is dealing with injuries to several notable players whom Didier Deschamps cannot rely on. Among the absentees for Les Bleus are Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Eduardo Camavinga, and Jules Koundé.

Ukraine

❌ The Ukrainian national team faces a significant setback ahead of their upcoming match, as Nottingham Forest defender Oleksandr Zinchenko will be absent. The star of Ukrainian football is currently dealing with a groin injury, which has caused him to miss several Premier League and Europa League matches.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The upcoming match will be officiated by Slavko Vinčić from Slovenia. Over his last 100 matches, he averages 4.04 yellow cards per game with 25 fouls. In the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, France have averaged 1.7 yellow cards per game, while Ukraine have averaged 3.3. Given that Ukraine are receiving significantly more cautions in this qualifying cycle, a bet on the visitors to win the yellow card count seems insightful.

⚽️ Goals Prediction

France have an average individual total of 2.3 goals per match in the qualifiers, while Ukraine average 2. The goal-scoring in matches involving these teams stands at 3 for the hosts and 3.8 for the visitors. Considering these stats, it seems reasonable to bet on the match total being over 2.5 goals.

🚩 Corners Prediction

In their four World Cup 2026 qualifying matches, France have averaged 6.5 corners per game, while Ukraine have averaged 5.5. Both teams frequently attack down the wings and take plenty of shots, leading to corner kicks. Therefore, a bet on the total corners being over 8.5 looks promising.

This upcoming match holds significant importance for both teams in terms of standings: France could secure their spot in the World Cup early, while a win for Ukraine would solidify their position in the top two of their group standings. With both sides highly motivated, we anticipate a high-scoring game, as they have often delivered in the qualifiers—betting on over 2.5 goals. Considering that France have already defeated Ukraine in this qualifying campaign and will now play on home soil, we expect a victory for the hosts with a scoreline of 3-1.