Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction 9 November 2025

🔊 What can we expect from the clash between the contenders for European spots? Aston Villa, after a slow start to the season, find themselves in the bottom half of the table. However, they're just three points away from fifth-placed Bournemouth. On November 9th, at their home ground, Villa Park, Unai Emery's side have the chance to close the gap. Bookmakers see them as favorites for this matchup. For our editorial team's insights, check out the prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Between 2016 and 2022, Bournemouth dominated their head-to-head clashes with Aston Villa, securing four consecutive victories. However, with Unai Emery taking the helm as the Lions' head coach, the situation has shifted – the Cherries haven't claimed a single win in their last five encounters, losing three of those matches.

Aston Villa Team Overview

After a dismal start to the season, Aston Villa have found their stride with a six-game winning streak. However, in the latter part of October, the team hit a rough patch again, alternating between wins and losses over their last four matches. Their inexplicable defeat to Go Ahead Eagles (1-2) might be an outlier, but in their last Premier League outing, the Lions were deservedly beaten by Liverpool (0-2), frequently faltering under the opponent's press.

The Europa League provided some relief, as Unai Emery's side dispatched Maccabi Tel Aviv (2-0). It was a confident victory, though the Birmingham side allowed a less formidable opponent to register over one expected goal. Nevertheless, their unbeaten run in European competition extended to eight matches. Notably, this game marked the 300th appearance for club captain John McGinn.

Bournemouth Team Overview

Bournemouth are free from the burden of European competitions and exited the English League Cup back in August, allowing them to fully focus on the Premier League. And they're doing quite well in that regard. Although, it depends on how you look at it. On one hand, the Cherries' unbeaten run, which extended to seven matches, was only halted in the last round at the Etihad (1-3). On the other hand, Andoni Iraola's squad have struggled to secure victories in most of their matches since the start of autumn. However, their home form during this period has been impressive, with 10 points out of a possible 12. The only slip-up occurred in a match against Newcastle (0-0).

It's worth noting that the Cherries' main attacking force has seen a dip in productivity. Antoine Semenyo last contributed to a goal before the international break in October. It's now been five matches without goals or assists, even though the Ghanaian plays from start to finish for the club.

Latest news

Aston Villa

📝 The Athletic reports that Aston Villa have reached an agreement on a new and improved contract with their star player, Morgan Rogers. The 23-year-old Englishman has reportedly agreed to extend his stay in Birmingham. With his current contract running until 2030, Rogers is set to sign a new deal through 2031 in the coming days. This will make him one of the highest-paid players on the team.

❌ Aston Villa's injury list has thinned out. Youri Tielemans and Emiliano Buendia, who was recognized for scoring the Premier League's best goal in October, have returned to action. Only Andres Garcia and Tyrone Mings remain sidelined with injuries.

Bournemouth

🎙 Andoni Iraola on the upcoming match against Aston Villa: "It's true, we're facing them probably at the peak of their season. After a shaky start, they've returned to their usual form, as they've been very strong in previous seasons. They've played in the Champions League and now in the Europa League. They're a team of that caliber, so we're in for another tough match."

❌ Bournemouth have almost no injury concerns. The only player sidelined is Enes Ünal, who tore his ACL last season. However, the Turkish forward is nearing a return.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by John Brooks, who has overseen two Premier League fixtures this season, issuing a total of six yellow cards. However, over his last 10 league matches, his average is significantly higher at 4.7. As for the teams, Bournemouth, with their pressing style, tend to receive more bookings than Aston Villa—averaging 2.5 to 1.7 per game. When playing away, this figure rises to 2.8, making it reasonable to bet on Bournemouth's individual total over 2.5 yellow cards.

⚽️ Goal Predictions

Aston Villa have won five consecutive home games, keeping clean sheets in three of them. However, Man City, Bologna, and even Maccabi have all managed to create chances worth at least a goal based on xG. This indicates that Unai Emery's defense isn't entirely impenetrable. We believe Bournemouth will find a way past Emiliano Martinez, so we back both teams to score (yes)—a bet that has landed in 6 of the last 7 away games for the Cherries in the Premier League.

🚩 Corner Predictions

Both teams average over five corners per game this Premier League season. This alone suggests the potential for a high number of corners, but it's also worth noting that over 9.5 corners has hit in the last 6 head-to-head encounters between Aston Villa and Bournemouth in the league.

Aston Villa continue their strong home form, securing victories against various opponents, while Bournemouth have struggled on the road, managing just one away win so far. However, the Cherries have faced a challenging schedule, and the Lions have shown vulnerability at the back. Considering Bournemouth will be fresher, having not played midweek, we believe Andoni Iraola will avoid a second consecutive defeat and prevent Villa from overtaking them in the standings. The last meeting at Villa Park ended in a 1-1 draw, which is what we anticipate again this time around.

However, in our view, the best bet here doesn't focus on the outcome of the match itself. We expect a back-and-forth game with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities and, consequently, numerous corners. The suggested over 9.5 corners bet has consistently come through not only in the head-to-head clashes between these teams but also in eight of Aston Villa's last nine Premier League matches. Therefore, we'll go with this option.