Hamburger vs Dortmund Prediction 8 November 2025

🔊 The Volksparkstadion is set to host the Bundesliga's 10th round clash between Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund. The hosts have suffered three consecutive defeats, while Dortmund have picked up six points in their last two outings. However, Nico Kovac's side returns to Germany after a painful loss in Manchester. Can the "Black and Yellows" quickly regroup and continue their chase of Leipzig and Bayern? The head-to-head history suggests they can, as Borussia have won their last four encounters against Hamburg.

Head-to-Head

📊 The teams haven't faced each other since the 2017/18 season. In their overall head-to-head history, the visitors hold the advantage with Dortmund securing 15 victories compared to Hamburg's 9. There have been two draws as well.

Hamburger Team Overview

🔵 In the last round, Hamburg suffered a heavy away defeat to Cologne (1-4). A midfield error saw them concede in the 25th minute, and right after halftime, they let in a second goal from a free-kick. Jean-Luc Dompé's goal only reduced the deficit, but towards the end, the "City" were down to ten men following the dismissals of Immanuel Ferai and Fabio Vieira. In added time, Hamburg conceded twice more.

⚫ Merlin Polzin's side currently sit 13th with eight points. Notably, their two wins this season have come at home, where they have scored 6 of their 8 goals. Hamburg are one of the league's lowest-scoring teams, alongside St. Pauli and Heidenheim. A victory in this round could push the club closer to the top ten, while a loss might see them slide into the relegation zone.

Borussia Dortmund Team Overview

🟡 Niko Kovac's team continues to accumulate points with a pragmatic approach. Following a home victory against Cologne (1-0), the "Bees" narrowly defeated Augsburg on the road (1-0). Serhou Guirassy scored the decisive goal, ending his five-match goal drought. This win propelled Dortmund back into the top three with 20 points. A victory in Hamburg could see the team climb to second place, provided Leipzig falter.

🏆 However, the midweek fixtures proved challenging. In the Champions League, Borussia were thrashed by Manchester City (1-4). The visitors' lone goal came from Waldemar Anton, assisted by Ryerson. This defeat dropped the team from 6th to 14th in the group standings, making it crucial for Dortmund to redeem themselves in front of their fans.

Latest news

Hamburger

🎙 Merlin Polzin ahead of Saturday's match: "We are fully aware of who we're up against – a team with international players in every position. Achieving success requires a perfect alignment of many factors. But it's precisely these kinds of games that create special moments. We're ready to fight and aim to spring a surprise, relying on the support of our fans."

❌ In terms of squad losses, Warmed Omari is sidelined with an ACL injury, while Fabio Vieira and Immanuel Ferai are suspended.

Borussia Dortmund

🎙 Niko Kovač ahead of the game against Hamburg: "We're trying to keep the squad fresh, and we have players ready to start. We need to finish this stretch on a high note. Hamburg always bring special energy at home – the atmosphere there will be intense. It's a football celebration, and we want to win."

🚑 Julien Duranville remains sidelined with a shoulder injury. Rami Bensebaini might also miss the match due to a back issue. The participation of Niklas Süle and Julian Brandt is uncertain – a decision will be made after the final training session.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Tobias Reichel, who averages 4.4 yellow cards per game. Team averages are as follows: Hamburg – 2.6, Borussia – 1.7. Prediction: total over 3.5 yellow cards (has hit in 9 out of Hamburg's last 10 matches).

⚽ Goal Prediction

Dortmund have scored no more than one goal in six of their last seven matches. Hamburg have failed to score more than once in four consecutive games. Unlike their Champions League matches, Dortmund tend to play more pragmatically in the Bundesliga. This match is likely to follow suit – we opt for total under 3.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Regarding corners, Borussia are among the leaders in this statistic in the league after nine rounds, averaging 6 corners per game. Hamburg, as expected, are in the lower half of the table with an average of 3.9 corners. We bet on Hamburg's individual total under 5.5 corners, which has been successful in 7 of the last 8 Bundesliga matches for the "Citizens".

This will be Dortmund's fourth away game in just 11 days, which is bound to take a toll on their physical condition. Hamburg are likely to put up a fight, as they tend to perform more confidently at home. However, the "Black and Yellows" are at serious risk of losing their position in the standings and are unlikely to slip up here. We anticipate a cautious victory for Borussia. Considering the visitors' scoring ability and their demanding schedule, we predict it might be a narrow win—possibly 1-0.